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- Faculty Publications (4)
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- All HBS Web (18)
- Faculty Publications (4)
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- 2021
- Working Paper
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Experience; Interdependency; Strategic Foresight; Crowdfunding; Timeline; Delay; Forecasting; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Complexity; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development; Planning
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-123, January 2021. (Revised May 2021.)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of... View Details
Keywords: Foresight; Dynamic Capabilities; Managerial Judgment; Risk and Uncertainty; Management; Strategy
Scoblic, J. Peter. "Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-093, March 2020.
- December 2021
- Article
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Crowdfunding; Experience; Prediction; Timeline; Complexity; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Experience and Expertise; Forecasting and Prediction
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Art. 1. Strategic Management Journal 42, no. 13 (December 2021): 2357–2388. (Lead article.)
- 02 Apr 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
Keywords: by J. Peter Scoblic
- 2008
- Other Unpublished Work
Punctuated Identities and the Careers of Professional Women
This paper proposes a punctuated equilibrium model of identity change to explain how professional women's career goals and attitudes can change rapidly and dramatically during mid-career years. Data collected from interviews of 43 women alumni of an elite business... View Details
- 06 Dec 2004
- What Do You Think?
Why Do Managers Fail to Act on Their Predictions?
Summing Up Respondents to the December column produced such a lengthy list of reasons why managers fail to act on their predictions that it is a wonder that organizations are ever able to respond with the foresight needed to avert... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- Program
Driving Digital Strategy
practices from companies that have successfully navigated through the digital turbulence and also examine those that struggled. This will help you gain the foresight to anticipate disruptions, the adaptability to pivot with agility, and... View Details
- 31 Jan 2022
- Research & Ideas
Where Can Digital Transformation Take You? Insights from 1,700 Leaders
but also themselves. Everything is changing and technology is a key driver When we asked executives to join our roundtable conversations about “digital leadership,” they warned us that the term was too narrow: “leadership in the digital age” better describes the View Details
- 14 Feb 2022
- Research & Ideas
Curiosity, Not Coding: 6 Skills Leaders Need in the Digital Age
themselves. However, the qualities they need to develop aren’t the ones you might expect. You might think an organization in flux needs a steady hand, someone with foresight and experience who plots a sensible route to cautiously and... View Details
- Web
Named Fellowship Funds - Alumni
Alderbas (MBA 2013) Family Fellowship The Alderbas Family Fellowship was established through the generosity of Adel Alderbas (MBA 2013) in honor of his 5th Reunion to support students with demonstrated financial need. Alderbas is a director at Wafra, focusing on View Details
- Web
Donor Societies - Alumni
Giving Donor Societies Giving Donor Societies Leadership Giving Recognizing donor generosity and foresight Our donor societies celebrate the commitment of alumni and friends to ensuring the School's continued excellence. Members enjoy... View Details
- 13 Nov 2019
- Research & Ideas
Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet
Imagine a future in which a smart marketing machine can predict the needs and habits of individual consumers and the dynamics of competitors across industries and markets. This device would collect data to answer strategic questions,... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
J. Chadbourn Bolles
Under Bolles dynamic direction which spanned 34 years, Chadbourn grew from a small hosiery operation with $500,000 in annual sales to an international and diversified textile and apparel complex with $68 million in sales. Through View Details
Keywords: Fabric & Apparel
- 01 Oct 2001
- News
HBS Press Books in Brief
believes the key to making better strategic choices in turbulent markets lies in understanding the level of uncertainty faced in a given situation. 20/20 Foresight provides a framework for learning to... View Details
- 21 Nov 2006
- First Look
First Look: November 21, 2006
capital. Purchase this working paper from SSRN: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12592 Cases & Course MaterialsFriendster (A) Harvard Business School Case 707-409 In January 2006, the president of Friendster needs to choose between two View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 13 Oct 2003
- Research & Ideas
How to Pick Managers for Disruptive Growth
eight months, and quickly established offices in Europe and Asia. Within a year it had announced forty strategic partnerships with companies such as Compaq, Hewlett-Packard, and Citibank. Pandesic executives boldly announced their first... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Raynor
- 18 Sep 2007
- First Look
First Look: September 18, 2007
Underlying this change is a story of foresighted strategy and disciplined execution—of connecting knowing to doing. In strategic terms, the IBM transformation illustrates the ideas behind dynamic... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 01 Sep 2018
- News
September 2018 Alumni and Faculty Books
constantly changing environment, companies must deploy talent in new ways to remain competitive. The authors provide leaders with a new playbook for acquiring, managing, and deploying talent for today’s agile, digital, analytical, technologically driven View Details