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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (29)
    • News  (9)
    • Research  (16)
  • Faculty Publications  (4)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (29)
    • News  (9)
    • Research  (16)
  • Faculty Publications  (4)
Page 1 of 29 Results →
  • Research Summary

Rare Consumption Disasters

By: Emil N. Siriwardane

Another defining feature of financial crises is consumption disasters, or large drops in aggregate consumption. Rather than taking the standard approach of seeking implications of such rare disasters for asset pricing in consumption data, Professor Siriwardane asks... View Details

  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk

By: Robert J. Barro and Gordon Y. Liao
A new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the overall stock market when disaster risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative agent with Epstein-Zin utility.... View Details
Keywords: Option Pricing; Rare Disaster; Price; Stock Options; Financial Crisis
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Barro, Robert J., and Gordon Y. Liao. "Options-Pricing Formula with Disaster Risk." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 21888, January 2016.
  • 2015
  • Working Paper

The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications

By: Emil Siriwardane
I analyze a rare disasters economy that yields a measure of the risk neutral probability of a macroeconomic disaster, p*t. A large panel of options data provides strong evidence that p*t is the single factor driving option-implied jump risk measures in the cross... View Details
Keywords: Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics
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Siriwardane, Emil. "The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-061, November 2015.
  • 01 Jun 2005
  • News

Lessons from the Tsunami Disaster

firsthand experience: He spent seven weeks during January and February helping the field leadership of five United Nations relief agencies develop overall strategy and serving as deputy director for Mercy Corps, an innovator in entrepreneurial View Details
Keywords: Administration of Environmental Quality Programs; Government; Social Assistance; Health, Social Assistance; Management
  • 02 Sep 2002
  • Research & Ideas

The Role of Government When All Else Fails

consumers to producers, has dramatically influenced the calculus of production in a large number of industries. Our federal disaster relief policy, meanwhile, has likely affected housing patterns all over the country. In fact, the list... View Details
Keywords: by Laura Linard
  • 23 May 2000
  • Research & Ideas

The Emerging Art of Negotiation

It's easy to come up with a recipe for disaster when the subject is negotiation. As in chess, once you sit down at the table every move counts. So many factors compete to undermine an optimal settlement: the emotions of both participants;... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • December 2010
  • Article

Organising Response to Extreme Emergencies: The Victorian Bushfires of 2009

By: Dutch Leonard and Arnold M. Howitt
How can people and organisations best respond to emergency events that are significantly beyond the boundaries of what they had generally anticipated, expected, prepared for-or even imagined? What forms of organisations are likely to be best able to cope with such... View Details
Keywords: Organizations; Management Practices and Processes; Natural Disasters; Crisis Management; Boundaries; United States
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Leonard, Dutch, and Arnold M. Howitt. "Organising Response to Extreme Emergencies: The Victorian Bushfires of 2009." Australian Journal of Public Administration 69, no. 4 (December 2010): 372–386.
  • 21 Jun 2011
  • First Look

First Look: June 21

Letters of credit, however, are rarely used by the exporter. As an importer develops a relationship with the exporter, transactions are less likely to occur on terms that require prepayment. During the recent crisis, the exporter was more... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Web

Profiles - MBA

Supranuclear Palsy, a rare and devastating neurodegenerative disease – I have trained in leading research laboratories since the age of 12 seeking to better understand and treat neurological disorders. My research at the interface of... View Details
  • 15 Dec 2021
  • Research & Ideas

The 10 Most Popular Articles of 2021

forward to taking delayed vacations. HBS faculty members shared books they planned to read during their downtime, pulling from the worlds of technology, history, and science fiction. 4. How to Learn from the Big Mistake You Almost Make A brush with View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost
  • 09 Dec 2002
  • Research & Ideas

Most Accountants Aren’t Crooks—Why Good Audits Go Bad

recognized? The interpretation and weighting of various types of information are rarely straightforward. As Joseph Berardino, Arthur Andersen's former chief executive, said in his congressional testimony on the Enron collapse, "Many... View Details
Keywords: by Max H. Bazerman, George Loewenstein & Don A. Moore; Accounting; Financial Services
  • 22 Aug 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Can Amazon Remake Health Care?

before the pandemic, to offer health care to its employees. The take up of that has been poor. Before the pandemic, they bought PillPack for something like $800 million. It’s not clear that PillPack has been able to displace any of the large pharmacies. They had a... View Details
Keywords: by Christina Pazzanese, Harvard Gazette; Health
  • Web

2024 Reunion Presentations - Alumni

Weinstein, and the Sackler family. But we rarely think about the many people who supported their unethical or criminal behavior—business partners, employees, investors, news organizations, and others. And whether we’re aware of it or not,... View Details
  • 05 Feb 2019
  • News

Protecting the Power Grid

electric grid. That same year, the NRC agreed to formally consider Popik and Mott’s spent-fuel pool petition, a regulatory intermediate step that is rare for citizen petitions. The two co-founders recruited top experts on critical... View Details
Keywords: Ralph Ranalli; terrorism; Electric Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution; Utilities
  • 01 Dec 2015
  • First Look

December 1, 2015

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50046 The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications By: Siriwardane, Emil Abstract—I analyze a rare disasters... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Sep 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Financial Meltdowns Are More Predictable Than We Thought

passed since risky mortgage lending, excessive borrowing, and soaring housing prices collided in 2008 to trigger one of the more severe financial crises in American history. Since then, economists have been studying the factors that led to that View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Financial Services
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

  Working PapersThe Political Economy of 'Natural' Disasters Authors:Charles Cohen and Eric D. Werker Abstract Natural disasters occur in a political space. Although events beyond our control may trigger a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Jun 2007
  • News

Alumni Books

professionals to eliminate IT waste and reduce capital expenses. The additional material covers IT governance and strategy, outsourcing, offshoring, data-center management, IT problem management, disaster recovery, systems security, and... View Details
Keywords: Publishing Industries (except Internet); Information
  • 20 Mar 2020
  • Research & Ideas

How Small Businesses Can Survive the Coronavirus Outbreak

the Trump Administration authorized $7 billion in disaster loans for small businesses affected by COVID-19. The program helps businesses in states that have declared emergency status borrow as much as much as $2 million and repay it over... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Service; Food & Beverage
  • Profile

Phillip Michael Strazzulla

prospective tech startup. His startup venture, LifeGuides.me, is essentially an online career advice service designed to help college graduates and young professionals make better, more informed career decisions so they can avoid a View Details
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