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(488)
- News (60)
- Research (335)
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- 2013
- Working Paper
Bank Failures and Output During the Great Depression
By: Jeffrey Miron and Natalia Rigol
In response to the Financial Crisis of 2008, macroeconomic policymakers employed a range of tools designed to prevent failures of large, complex financial institutions (“banks”). The Treasury and the Fed justified these actions by arguing that bank failures exacerbate... View Details
Miron, Jeffrey, and Natalia Rigol. "Bank Failures and Output During the Great Depression." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19418, August 2013.
- Research Summary
Output and asset price fluctuations
What are the sources of business cycles? How are these shocks propagated in the economy? Why are their effects so persistent? How can we explain asset price fluctuations? How are shocks transmitted internationally?To study these questions, I have developed a series... View Details
- Article
Incorporating Interpretable Output Constraints in Bayesian Neural Networks
By: Wanqian Yang, Lars Lorch, Moritz Graule, Himabindu Lakkaraju and Finale Doshi-Velez
Domains where supervised models are deployed often come with task-specific constraints, such as prior expert knowledge on the ground-truth function, or desiderata like safety and fairness. We introduce a novel probabilistic framework for reasoning with such constraints... View Details
Yang, Wanqian, Lars Lorch, Moritz Graule, Himabindu Lakkaraju, and Finale Doshi-Velez. "Incorporating Interpretable Output Constraints in Bayesian Neural Networks." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 33 (2020).
- March 2010
- Article
Sudden Stops: Determinants and Output Effects in the First Era of Globalization, 1880–1913
By: Michael D. Bordo, Alberto Cavallo and Christopher Meissner
We study the determinants and output effects of sudden stops in capital inflows during an era of intensified globalization from 1880 to 1913. Higher levels of exposure to foreign currency debt and large current account deficits associated with reliance on foreign... View Details
Keywords: Sudden Stops; Capital Flows; Economics; Macroeconomics; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Globalization; History
Bordo, Michael D., Alberto Cavallo, and Christopher Meissner. "Sudden Stops: Determinants and Output Effects in the First Era of Globalization, 1880–1913." Journal of Development Economics 91, no. 2 (March 2010): 227–241.
- October 1982
- Article
Monopolistic Price Adjustment and Aggregate Output
By: J. J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Price
Rotemberg, J. J. "Monopolistic Price Adjustment and Aggregate Output." Review of Economic Studies 49 (October 1982): 517–531.
- 2009
- Working Paper
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
By: Diego A. Comin, Mark Gertler and Ana Maria Santacreu
We develop a model in which innovations in an economy's growth potential are an important driving force of the business cycle. The framework shares the emphasis of the recent "new shock" literature on revisions of beliefs about the future as a source of fluctuations,... View Details
Keywords: Business Cycles; Economic Growth; Asset Pricing; Technological Innovation; Mathematical Methods; System Shocks; Technology Adoption
Comin, Diego A., Mark Gertler, and Ana Maria Santacreu. "Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-134, May 2009. (Revise and Resubmit at the Journal of Political Economy.)
- 02 Jul 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
- June 2024
- Article
Real Growth in Space Manufacturing Output Substantially Exceeds Growth in the Overall Space Economy
By: Tina Highfill and Matthew Weinzierl
Accurately measuring real economic output in the space economy is made difficult by the rapid increase in capabilities and decrease in prices of launch and satellite technologies achieved over the past two decades. Nominal measures of output in space will tend to... View Details
Highfill, Tina, and Matthew Weinzierl. "Real Growth in Space Manufacturing Output Substantially Exceeds Growth in the Overall Space Economy." Acta Astronautica 219 (June 2024): 236–242.
- 2001
- Working Paper
Measuring the 'Ideas' Production Function: Evidence from International Patent Output
By: Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern
- 2012
- Other Unpublished Work
Technology Innovation and Diffusion as Sources of Output and Asset Price Fluctuations
By: Diego A. Comin, Mark Gertler and Ana Maria Santacreu
- winter 1998
- Article
Impression Management in Computer-based Interviews: The Effects of Input Modality, Output Modality, and Distance
By: Y. Moon
Moon, Y. "Impression Management in Computer-based Interviews: The Effects of Input Modality, Output Modality, and Distance." Public Opinion Quarterly 62, no. 4 (winter 1998): 610–622.
- June 1996
- Article
Prices, Output and Hours: An Empirical Analysis Based on a Sticky Price Model
By: J. J. Rotemberg
Rotemberg, J. J. "Prices, Output and Hours: An Empirical Analysis Based on a Sticky Price Model." Journal of Monetary Economics 37 (June 1996): 505–534.
- March 2021
- Article
On the Direct and Indirect Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks
By: Laura Alfaro, Manuel García-Santana and Enrique Moral-Benito
We explore the real effects of bank-lending shocks and how they permeate the economy through buyer-supplier linkages. We combine administrative data on all Spanish firms with a matched bank-firm-loan dataset of all corporate loans from 2003 to 2013 to estimate... View Details
Keywords: Credit Supply Shocks; Bank Lending Channel; Input-output Linkages; Output; Mechanisms; Trade Credits; Price Effects; Economics; Credit; System Shocks; Employment; Investment; Spain
Alfaro, Laura, Manuel García-Santana, and Enrique Moral-Benito. "On the Direct and Indirect Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks." Journal of Financial Economics 139, no. 3 (March 2021): 895–921.
- 02 Apr 2024
- Research & Ideas
Employees Out Sick? Inside One Company's Creative Approach to Staying Productive
Absenteeism is so pervasive in Latin America and Asia that 10 percent of a business’ workers might not show up on any given day. This risk can create tremendous uncertainty, especially for businesses running on low margins, says Jorge Tamayo, an assistant professor at... View Details
- 2012
- Working Paper
The Determinants of National Competitiveness
By: Mercedes Delgado, Christian Ketels, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern
We define foundational competitiveness as the expected level of output per working-age individual that is supported by the overall quality of a country as a place to do business. The focus on output per potential worker, a broader measure of national productivity than... View Details
Delgado, Mercedes, Christian Ketels, Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern. "The Determinants of National Competitiveness." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18249, July 2012.
- 2008
- Dictionary Entry
Total Factor Productivity
By: Diego Comin
Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is the portion of output not explained by the amount of inputs used in production. The following definition describes the measurement and importance of TFP for growth, fluctuations and development as well as likely future directions of... View Details
Keywords: Business Cycles; Economic Growth; Measurement and Metrics; Production; Performance Productivity; Research
Comin, Diego. "Total Factor Productivity." In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. 2nd ed. Edited by Steven Derlauf and Larry Blume. Hampshire, U.K.: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008.
- March 1992 (Revised June 1992)
- Background Note
Strategic Industry Model: Emergent Technologies
By: Robert J. Dolan
Describes computer model and output from conjoint analysis and perceptual mapping for product line planning. View Details
Dolan, Robert J. "Strategic Industry Model: Emergent Technologies." Harvard Business School Background Note 592-086, March 1992. (Revised June 1992.)
- May 2021
- Article
Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics
By: Brian Fabo, Marina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf and Ľuboš Pástor
We compare the findings of central bank researchers and academic economists regarding the macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing (QE). We find that central bank papers find QE to be more effective than academic papers do. Central bank papers report larger effects... View Details
Keywords: Quantitative Easing; Career Concerns; Economic Research; Central Banking; Macroeconomics; Economic Growth
Fabo, Brian, Marina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor. "Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics." Journal of Monetary Economics 120 (May 2021): 1–20.
- February 2007
- Article
The Persistence of Inflation Versus that of Real Marginal Cost in the New Keynesian Model
By: Julio J. Rotemberg
This note provides an example where the New Keynesian Phillips Curve leads inflation to be substantially more persistent than the output gap. View Details
Rotemberg, Julio J. "The Persistence of Inflation Versus that of Real Marginal Cost in the New Keynesian Model." Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 39, no. 1 (February 2007): 237–239.