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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (608)
    • News  (100)
    • Research  (395)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (1)
  • Faculty Publications  (97)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (608)
    • News  (100)
    • Research  (395)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (1)
  • Faculty Publications  (97)
Page 1 of 608 Results →
  • April 2002
  • Article

The Determination of Unemployment Benefits

By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert J. MacCulloch
While much empirical research exists on labor market consequences of unemployment benefits, there is remarkably little evidence on the forces determining benefits. We present a simple model where workers desire insurance against unemployment risk and benefits increase... View Details
Keywords: Unemployment; Compensation and Benefits
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert J. MacCulloch. "The Determination of Unemployment Benefits." Journal of Labor Economics 20, no. 2 (April 2002): 404–34.
  • November 2024 (Revised January 2025)
  • Case

MiDAS: Automating Unemployment Benefits

By: Shikhar Ghosh and Shweta Bagai
In 2015, the state of Michigan considered whether to nominate its Michigan Integrated Data Automated System (MiDAS) for a prestigious state technology award. Launched in 2013 amid severe budget pressures, the $47 million automated fraud detection system was designed to... View Details
Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; AI; Machine Learning Models; Algorithmic Data; Automation; Benefits; Compensation; Cost Reduction; Government; Fraud; Government Technology; Public Sector; Systems; Systems Integration; Unemployment Insurance; Waste Heat Recovery; AI and Machine Learning; Government Administration; Insurance; Decision Making; Digital Transformation; Employment; Public Administration Industry; United States; Michigan
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Ghosh, Shikhar, and Shweta Bagai. "MiDAS: Automating Unemployment Benefits." Harvard Business School Case 825-100, November 2024. (Revised January 2025.)
  • November 2004
  • Article

Unemployment Benefits As a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker

By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
In the many years since their introduction, positive theories of inflation have rarely been tested. This paper documents a negative relationship between inflation and the welfare state (proxied by the parameters of the unemployment benefit program) that is to be... View Details
Keywords: Unemployment; Welfare State; Compensation and Benefits; Inflation and Deflation
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Unemployment Benefits As a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker." Review of Economics and Statistics 86, no. 4 (November 2004): 911–23.
  • 2017
  • Working Paper

The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer

By: Marco Di Maggio and Amir Kermani
We assess the extent to which unemployment insurance (UI) serves as an automatic stabilizer to mitigate the economy's sensitivity to shocks. Using a local labor market design based on heterogeneity in local benefit generosity (defined as the percentage of household... View Details
Keywords: Unemployment Insurance; Automatic Stabilizers; Bartik Shocks; Aggregate Demand; System Shocks; Employment; Balance and Stability; Insurance; Volatility; Insurance Industry
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Di Maggio, Marco, and Amir Kermani. "The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-009, July 2016. (Revise and Resubmit to American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.)
  • December 2006
  • Article

Europe vs America: Institutional Hysteresis in a Simple Normative Model

By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
We show how the differences in US and European institutions can arise in a normative model. The paper focuses on the labor market and the government's decision to set unemployment benefits in response to an unemployment shock. The government balances insurance... View Details
Keywords: Optimal Unemployment Benefits; Labor Market Institutions; Hysteresis; Europe; United States
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Europe vs America: Institutional Hysteresis in a Simple Normative Model." Journal of Public Economics 90, no. 12 (December 2006): 2161–86.
  • Article

Early Withdrawal of Pandemic Unemployment Insurance: Effects on Earnings, Employment and Consumption

By: Kyle Coombs, Arindrajit Dube, Calvin Jahnke, Raymond Kluender, Suresh Naidu and Michael Stepner
In June 2021, 22 states ended all supplemental pandemic unemployment insurance (UI) benefits, eliminating benefits entirely for over 2 million workers and reducing benefits by $300 per week for over 1 million workers. Using anonymous bank transaction data and a... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Unemployment Insurance; Health Pandemics; Insurance; Employment; Financial Condition; Spending; Government Administration
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Coombs, Kyle, Arindrajit Dube, Calvin Jahnke, Raymond Kluender, Suresh Naidu, and Michael Stepner. "Early Withdrawal of Pandemic Unemployment Insurance: Effects on Earnings, Employment and Consumption." AEA Papers and Proceedings 112 (May 2022): 85–90.
  • February 2016
  • Article

Labor Unemployment Insurance and Earnings Management

By: Yiwei Dou, Mozaffar N. Khan and Youli Zou
There is relatively little prior evidence on the potential impact of rank and file employees on financial reporting choices outside union negotiations. We contribute to the literature by providing new evidence that firms appear to manage long-run earnings upward in... View Details
Keywords: Earnings Management; Employment; Insurance; Financial Reporting
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Dou, Yiwei, Mozaffar N. Khan, and Youli Zou. "Labor Unemployment Insurance and Earnings Management." Journal of Accounting & Economics 61, no. 1 (February 2016): 166–184.
  • 2000
  • Working Paper

Unemployment Benefits as a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker

By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Unemployment Benefits as a Substitute for a Conservative Central Banker." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 00-094, June 2000.
  • November–December 2014
  • Article

Accountable? The Problems and Solutions of Online Ad Optimization

By: Benjamin Edelman
Online advertising might seem to be the most measurable form of marketing ever invented. Comprehensive records can track who clicked what ad—and often who saw what ad—to compare those clicks with users' subsequent purchases. Ever-cheaper IT makes this tracking... View Details
Keywords: Online Advertising; Fraud; Optimization; Incentives; Digital Marketing; Contracts; Marketing Strategy; Organizational Design
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Edelman, Benjamin. "Accountable? The Problems and Solutions of Online Ad Optimization." IEEE Security & Privacy 12, no. 6 (November–December 2014): 102–107.
  • Article

A Prescriptive Analytics Framework for Optimal Policy Deployment Using Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

By: Edward McFowland III, Sandeep Gangarapu, Ravi Bapna and Tianshu Sun
We define a prescriptive analytics framework that addresses the needs of a constrained decision-maker facing, ex ante, unknown costs and benefits of multiple policy levers. The framework is general in nature and can be deployed in any utility maximizing context, public... View Details
Keywords: Prescriptive Analytics; Heterogeneous Treatment Effects; Optimization; Observed Rank Utility Condition (OUR); Between-treatment Heterogeneity; Machine Learning; Decision Making; Analysis; Mathematical Methods
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McFowland III, Edward, Sandeep Gangarapu, Ravi Bapna, and Tianshu Sun. "A Prescriptive Analytics Framework for Optimal Policy Deployment Using Heterogeneous Treatment Effects." MIS Quarterly 45, no. 4 (December 2021): 1807–1832.
  • 1998
  • Working Paper

Some Evidence on the Optimal Welfare State Based on Subjective Data

By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
It is often difficult to evaluate all the costs and benefits of the welfare state. This paper suggests an alternative approach based on surveys of citizen satisfaction with welfare programs. In the first part of the paper we estimate the level of unemployment benefits... View Details
Keywords: Personal Characteristics; Employment; Surveys; Programs; Government and Politics; Age; Income; Residency; Welfare; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Cost vs Benefits; Satisfaction; United Kingdom
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Some Evidence on the Optimal Welfare State Based on Subjective Data." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 98-092, March 1998.
  • March 2016 (Revised August 2018)
  • Case

JPMorgan Chase after the Financial Crisis: What Is the Optimal Scope of the Largest Bank in the U.S.?

By: David Collis and Ashley Hartman
When Jamie Dimon took over as CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPMorgan Chase) in 2005, he reaffirmed the commitment to pursue a "universal bank" strategy—providing a full range of products and services to both retail and wholesale clients. Yet the merits of the universal... View Details
Keywords: Scope; Regulatory Reforms; Universal Banking; Synergy; Optimization; Simplification; Finance; Strategy; Business Strategy; Financial Crisis; Consolidation; Corporate Strategy; Diversification; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry
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Collis, David, and Ashley Hartman. "JPMorgan Chase after the Financial Crisis: What Is the Optimal Scope of the Largest Bank in the U.S.?" Harvard Business School Case 716-448, March 2016. (Revised August 2018.)
  • August 2014 (Revised March 2015)
  • Case

Optimization and Expansion at OpenTable

By: Benjamin Edelman and Karen Webster
OpenTable considers adjustments to increase its benefits to merchants, including a novel payments service that lets customers skip the multi-step process of using a credit card. View Details
Keywords: Payments; Pricing; Mobile; Rollout; Incrementality; Innovation Strategy; Credit Cards; Accommodations Industry; Information Technology Industry; United States
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Edelman, Benjamin, and Karen Webster. "Optimization and Expansion at OpenTable." Harvard Business School Case 915-003, August 2014. (Revised March 2015.) (request courtesy copy.)
  • 01 Jun 2008
  • News

Greed, Gullibility, and Optimism

underlying price of the asset is increasing. It lures people to overextend credit and to overinvest on the prospect that they too will benefit before the music stops. In this case, the music stopped, and as we know, people are falling off... View Details
Keywords: Deborah Blagg; Finance; Management; Real Estate
  • 05 Sep 2006
  • Working Paper Summaries

Optimal Reserve Management and Sovereign Debt

Keywords: by Laura Alfaro & Fabio Kanczuk
  • 2021
  • Article

Fair Influence Maximization: A Welfare Optimization Approach

By: Aida Rahmattalabi, Shahin Jabbari, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Phebe Vayanos, Max Izenberg, Ryan Brown, Eric Rice and Milind Tambe
Several behavioral, social, and public health interventions, such as suicide/HIV prevention or community preparedness against natural disasters, leverage social network information to maximize outreach. Algorithmic influence maximization techniques have been proposed... View Details
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Rahmattalabi, Aida, Shahin Jabbari, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Phebe Vayanos, Max Izenberg, Ryan Brown, Eric Rice, and Milind Tambe. "Fair Influence Maximization: A Welfare Optimization Approach." Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence 35th (2021).
  • 02 Sep 2015
  • News

Voting for Optimism in Baltimore

able to do that, especially from places like Baltimore. In Authentic Leadership Development, I realized my purpose is to bring realistic optimism to worthy causes. And if I’m going to do that, I have to start in my own home and my own... View Details
Keywords: April White; Justice, Public Order, and Safety Activities; Government
  • Article

Moment-to-moment Optimal Branding in TV Commercials: Preventing Avoidance by Pulsing

By: Thales S. Teixeira, Michel Wedel and Rik Pieters
We develop a conceptual framework for understanding the impact that branding activity (the audio-visual representation of brands) and consumers' dispersion of attention have on their moment-to-moment avoidance decisions during television advertising. It formalizes this... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Decision Choices and Conditions; Television Entertainment; Brands and Branding; Consumer Behavior; Mathematical Methods
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Teixeira, Thales S., Michel Wedel, and Rik Pieters. "Moment-to-moment Optimal Branding in TV Commercials: Preventing Avoidance by Pulsing." Marketing Science 29, no. 5 (September–October 2010): 783–804. (Lead Article.)
  • Research Summary

The Benefits of Selective Disclosure: Evidence from Private Firms

This paper explores an unexplored benefit of being privately-held: Non-SEC-filing private firms’ ability to disclose confidential information to selected investors minimizes the scope for information asymmetry between the firms and their investors. This decreases... View Details

  • October 2008
  • Article

Minimally Altruistic Wages and Unemployment in a Matching Model with Monopsony

By: Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Compensation and Benefits; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Economics
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Rotemberg, Julio J. "Minimally Altruistic Wages and Unemployment in a Matching Model with Monopsony." Supplement. Journal of Monetary Economics 55 (October 2008): 97–110.
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