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- All HBS Web
(688)
- People (1)
- News (106)
- Research (518)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (2)
- Faculty Publications (301)
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- 2019
- Working Paper
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
This paper studies a novel, light-touch approach to aggregate judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and... View Details
Keywords: Judgment Aggregation; Creativity; Film Entertainment; Judgments; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-082, January 2019. (Revised September 2019.)
- Article
Optimality Bias in Moral Judgment
By: Julian De Freitas and Samuel G.B. Johnson
We often make decisions with incomplete knowledge of their consequences. Might people nonetheless expect others to make optimal choices, despite this ignorance? Here, we show that people are sensitive to moral optimality: that people hold moral agents accountable... View Details
Keywords: Moral Judgment; Lay Decision Theory; Theory Of Mind; Causal Attribution; Moral Sensibility; Decision Making
De Freitas, Julian, and Samuel G.B. Johnson. "Optimality Bias in Moral Judgment." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 79 (November 2018): 149–163.
- 2012
- Book
Judgment Calls: Twelve Stories of Big Decisions and the Teams That Got Them Right
By: Thomas H. Davenport and Brook Manville
This book includes twelve detailed stories of organizations that have successfully tapped their data assets, diverse perspectives, and deep knowledge to build an organizational decision-making capability. The book introduces a model that utilizes the collective... View Details
Keywords: Organizational Judgment; Decision-making; Decisions; Organizational Structure; Business Processes
Davenport, Thomas H., and Brook Manville. Judgment Calls: Twelve Stories of Big Decisions and the Teams That Got Them Right. Harvard Business Review Press, 2012. (Publisher's Weekly Top 10 Business Book of 2012.)
- 01 Nov 2012
- Research & Ideas
Book Excerpt: Judgment Calls
Editor's note. Organizations are living, growing, learning things, but this depth of experience and knowledge can be difficult to tap into. The secret, according to the authors of Judgment Calls: Twelve Stories of Big Decisions and the... View Details
- Article
Your Visual System Provides All the Information You Need to Make Moral Judgments about Generic Visual Events
By: Julian De Freitas and George A. Alvarez
To what extent are people's moral judgments susceptible to subtle factors of which they are unaware? Here we show that we can change people’s moral judgments outside of their awareness by subtly biasing perceived causality. Specifically, we used subtle visual... View Details
De Freitas, Julian, and George A. Alvarez. "Your Visual System Provides All the Information You Need to Make Moral Judgments about Generic Visual Events." Cognition 178 (September 2018): 133–146.
- October 2021
- Article
Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry
By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
We study a novel, low-cost approach to aggregating judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and investment costs... View Details
Keywords: Judgment Aggregation; Quality Uncertainty; Creative Industry; Project Evaluation And Selection; Creativity; Film Entertainment; Judgments; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen. "Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry." Management Science 67, no. 10 (October 2021): 6358–6377.
- 2013
- Book
Judgment in Managerial Decision Making
By: Max Bazerman and Don A. Moore
Is your judgment influenced by personal biases? In situations requiring careful judgment, we're all influenced by our own biases to some extent. But, with Judgment in Managerial Decision Making, you can learn how to overcome those biases to make better... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Management Practices and Processes; Management Skills; Managerial Roles; Performance Improvement; Prejudice and Bias
Bazerman, Max, and Don A. Moore. Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 8th ed. John Wiley & Sons, 2013.
- Article
Normative Judgments and Individual Essence
By: Julian De Freitas, Kevin P. Tobia, George E. Newman and Joshua Knobe
A growing body of research has examined how people judge the persistence of identity over
time—that is, how they decide that a particular individual is the same entity from one time to the
next. While a great deal of progress has been made in understanding the types... View Details
Keywords: Concepts; Essentialism; Normative Factors; Persistence; True Self; Morality; Identity; Moral Sensibility; Perception
De Freitas, Julian, Kevin P. Tobia, George E. Newman, and Joshua Knobe. "Normative Judgments and Individual Essence." Cognitive Science 41, no. S3 (2017): 382–402.
- Article
The Judgment Deficit
By: Amar Bhidé
Bhidé, Amar. "The Judgment Deficit." Harvard Business Review 88, no. 9 (September 2010): 44–53.
- 2005
- Book
Judgment in Managerial Decision Making
By: Max Bazerman
Bazerman, Max. Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 6th ed. John Wiley & Sons, 2005. (Also published in Polish, Russian, and Japanese. Ch. 2 has been reprinted in Psychological Dimensions of Organizational Behavior and summarized in the Harvard Management Update. Ch. 7 has been reprinted in Power and Negotiation in Organizations.)
- February 1987
- Case
Modified Final Judgment
Vietor, Richard H.K. "Modified Final Judgment." Harvard Business School Case 387-174, February 1987.
- 03 Apr 2013
- News
Judgment as the Essence of Leadership
- 03 Jan 2008
- What Do You Think?
Does Judgment Trump Experience?
Summing Up How is good judgment developed? Whether judgment trumps experience quickly gave way in this month's rich exchange of views to other questions about how (and the extent to which) View Details
Keywords: by Jim Heskett
- December 2008
- Article
Fundamental Dimensions of Social Judgment
By: A. Abele, A.J.C. Cuddy, C. Judd and V. Yzerbyt
Abele, A., A.J.C. Cuddy, C. Judd, and V. Yzerbyt. "Fundamental Dimensions of Social Judgment." European Journal of Social Psychology 38, no. 7 (December 2008): 1063–1065.
- 2017
- Conference Presentation
The Efficiency Principle in Moral Judgment
By: J. De Freitas and S. G. B. Johnson
- 07 Aug 2013
- What Do You Think?
Is There Still a Role for Judgment in Decision-Making?
Summing Up What is the Proper Role of Judgment in Decision-Making? There is a seemingly universal (and currently popular) quest for rational processes—what Hamilton Carvalho terms "cognitive repairs"—to counter the foibles of... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- Article
Law, Ethics, and Managerial Judgment
By: L. S. Paine
Paine, L. S. "Law, Ethics, and Managerial Judgment." Journal of Legal Studies Education 12, no. 2 (June 1994): 153–169. (Reprinted in A Companion to Business Ethics, Blackwell Companions to Philosophy, edited by Robert E. Frederick, 194-206. Malden, Massachusetts: Blackwell Publishers Ltd., 1999.)
- July 2024
- Case
Roja Garimella: Developing a Founder's Judgment
By: Reza Satchu and Patrick Sanguineti
Roja Garimella’s path to becoming a founder was anything but straight. Setting her sights on a career in medicine since childhood, she committed to medical school with her acceptance to college. And yet, throughout her studies, she continually explored alternative... View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Personal Development and Career; Entrepreneurial Finance; Business Startups; Judgments; Financial Services Industry; Health Industry
Satchu, Reza, and Patrick Sanguineti. "Roja Garimella: Developing a Founder's Judgment." Harvard Business School Case 825-006, July 2024.
- 16 Jun 2012
- News