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  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry

By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
This paper studies a novel, light-touch approach to aggregate judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and... View Details
Keywords: Judgment Aggregation; Creativity; Film Entertainment; Judgments; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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  • October 2021
  • Article

Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry

By: Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher and Michael Wahlen
We study a novel, low-cost approach to aggregating judgment from a large number of industry experts on ideas that they encounter in their normal course of business. Our context is the movie industry, in which customer appeal is difficult to predict and investment costs... View Details
Keywords: Judgment Aggregation; Quality Uncertainty; Creative Industry; Project Evaluation And Selection; Creativity; Film Entertainment; Judgments; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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  • 27 Feb 2019
  • Working Paper Summaries

Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry

Keywords: by Hong Luo, Jeffrey T. Macher, and Michael Wahlen; Motion Pictures & Video
  • 12 Feb 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

immigrants. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54963 Judgment Aggregation in Creative Production: Evidence from the Movie Industry By: Luo, Hong, Jeffrey T. Macher, and... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Scaling Core Earnings Measurement with Large Language Models

By: Matthew Shaffer and Charles CY Wang
We study the application of large language models (LLMs) to the estimation of core earnings, i.e., a firm's persistent profitability from its core business activities. This construct is central to investors' assessments of economic performance and valuations. However,... View Details
Keywords: Large Language Models; AI and Machine Learning; Accounting; Profit; Corporate Disclosure; Analytics and Data Science; Measurement and Metrics
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  • 16 Nov 2010
  • First Look

First Look: November 16, 2010

Francesca Gino, Lisa L. Shu, and Chia-Jung Tsay Publication:Emotion Review (forthcoming) Abstract Moral problems often prompt emotional responses that invoke intuitive judgments of right and wrong. While emotions inform View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 Feb 2005
  • Op-Ed

Is Business Management a Profession?

reason that the issue of trust arises is that these individuals are expected to exercise judgment—based on specialized knowledge and methods of analysis that they alone are thought to possess—in areas in which their decisions affect the well-being of others. When the... View Details
Keywords: by Rakesh Khurana, Nitin Nohria & Daniel Penrice
  • 20 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: December 20

Nordgren, 2006), both modes of thinking have particular advantages: conscious thought can follow strict rules, whereas unconscious thought is better suited for integrating numerous decision attributes. Because most complex decisions require both adherence to precise... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 31 Oct 2004
  • What Do You Think?

Should the Wisdom of Crowds Influence Our Thinking About Leadership?

effective, have to have three characteristics: diversity of points of view, independence from each other's opinions, and decentralization (with access to and the ability to draw on "local knowledge"). And they have to have some kind of mechanism for View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 08 Nov 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Nov. 8

Dynamics of Warmth and Competence Judgments, and Their Outcomes in Organizations Authors:Amy J.C. Cuddy, Peter Glick, and Anna Beninger Publication:Research in Organizational Behavior (forthcoming) Abstract Two traits-warmth and competence-govern social View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Mar 2008
  • First Look

First Look: March 11, 2008

firm's balanced scorecard to provide useful information for detecting problems in its strategy. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-081.pdf No Harm, No Foul: The Outcome Bias in Ethical Judgments Authors:Francesca Gino,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Nov 2003
  • Research & Ideas

The Hard Numbers on Social Investments

million. CHI Inc. is now part of Enel Green Power, part of Enel, the world's largest publicly traded electric utility. There were positive IRR investments in the consumer goods category, Honest Tea and Zip Car being two examples, but this category of companies in View Details
Keywords: by Manda Salls
  • 28 Jul 2016
  • Op-Ed

Where is TripAdvisor for Doctors?

85 percent of consumers make a purchase after reading such online reviews. But in the world of doctors, nothing compares in assisting consumers to make decisions that are arguably more involved emotionally and with higher financial risk. Beyond checking public records... View Details
Keywords: by John A. Quelch; Health
  • 01 Nov 2010
  • Research & Ideas

How IT Shapes Top-Down and Bottom-Up Decision Making

category," Sadun says. "The reality is that IT is a huge, heterogeneous set of technologies." Similarly, when examining issues such as organization and productivity, industry and academic studies historically tend to treat information and communication... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 12 Oct 1999
  • Research & Ideas

Media Metamorphosis: Advertising in the Technology Age

rivals — including radio and television stations, magazine and newspaper publishers, billboard and direct marketing firms — that compete for bigger pieces of the advertising pie. That pie, however, which represents national advertisers' View Details
Keywords: by Peter K. Jacobs; Advertising
  • 19 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 19, 2010

http://hbr.org/product/handbook-of-leadership-theory-and-practice/an/12326-HBK-ENG Big Five Personality Factors, Hardiness, and Social Judgment as Predictors of Leader Performance Authors:Scott Snook, Paul T. Bartone, Jarie Eid, Bjorn... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 15, 2008

Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice Authors:Robin Greenwood, Jeremy C. Stein, and Samuel Hanson Abstract We argue that time-series variation in the maturity of aggregate corporate debt issues arises because firms behave as macro... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

aggregate demand, the national accounts, and the balance of payments. We find that much aid is consumed, primarily in the form of imported non-capital goods. Some aid is invested and aid has a positive, though statistically imprecise,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Apr 2012
  • First Look

First Look: April 10

worthy and also less unethical, and these judgments led them to act more unethically themselves. These vicarious effects were moderated by whether the miscreant was identified with a photograph and by the type of behavior. Psychological... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 28 Aug 2012
  • First Look

First Look: August 28

dispute and a trend analysis of over 400 total WTO disputes, I find that the WTO dispute settlement process is helping to legitimize the institution of free trade through its public display of rational authority and neutral expertise. At the same time, dispute panels... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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