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- Article
Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates
By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of... View Details
Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
- Research Summary
Equity Valuation
Professor Wang’s research utilizes valuation theory to explain how firm fundamentals are related to the expected rates of equity returns and their term structures. His research provides strong evidence that valuation-based proxies of expected returns outperform the... View Details
- November – December 2007
- Article
Fundamentally Flawed Indexing
By: Andre F. Perold
A new theory of finance is being advanced as providing definitive proof that holding stocks in proportion to their market capitalizations is an inferior investment strategy. The claim is that capitalization weighting necessarily invests more in overvalued stocks and... View Details
Perold, Andre F. "Fundamentally Flawed Indexing." Financial Analysts Journal 63, no. 6 (November–December 2007). (Winner of Graham and Dodd Best Perspectives Award For excellence in financial writing.)
- December 2004
- Article
Market Valuation and Merger Waves
By: Matthew Rhodes-Kropf and S. Viswanathan
Does valuation affect mergers? Data suggest that periods of stock merger activity are correlated with high market valuations. The naïve explanation that overvalued bidders wish to use stock is incomplete because targets should not be eager to accept stock. However, we... View Details
Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Valuation; Market Transactions; Value; Cash; Stocks; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Bids and Bidding; Market Design; Stock Shares; Accounting Audits; Performance Evaluation
Rhodes-Kropf, Matthew, and S. Viswanathan. "Market Valuation and Merger Waves." Journal of Finance 59, no. 6 (December 2004): 2685–2718.
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Introduction
The purpose of this series of notes is to define the key "drivers" of the fundamental value of equity and to illustrate how these drivers determine the future cash flows and the "present value pattern" of the underlying common stock. The series includes one technical... View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Introduction." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-121, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- February 1992 (Revised July 1992)
- Background Note
Note on Cross-Border Valuation
By: W. Carl Kester and Julia Morley
Provides a fundamental technical review of valuation techniques used to assess cross-border investments. Discusses the discounting of free cash flows with a weighted average cost of capital, the use of adjusted present value, and the importance of considering real... View Details
Kester, W. Carl, and Julia Morley. "Note on Cross-Border Valuation." Harvard Business School Background Note 292-084, February 1992. (Revised July 1992.)
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Earnings
A technical note that defines earnings. View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Earnings." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-124, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- February 2024 (Revised February 2024)
- Case
CLSA: Integrating ESG in Stock Valuation
By: Shirley Lu, Aaron Yoon and Billy Chan
In 2023, a senior financial analyst at the Hong Kong-based stock brokerage firm CLSA was surprised to see that, based on his calculations, the financial impact from climate risks on a major Indian cement manufacturing company’s projected earnings could be massive.... View Details
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Advantage Horizon
A technical note that defines advantage horizon. View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Advantage Horizon." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-128, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Invested Capital
A technical note that defines invested capital (IC). View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Invested Capital." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-122, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- June 1985 (Revised December 2002)
- Background Note
Basic Ratio Analysis and Equity Valuation
By: David F. Hawkins
Describes the use of common financial ratios to analyze a firm's performance and financial condition. Discusses fundamentals of equity valuation. Based on an earlier note by the same author. View Details
Hawkins, David F. "Basic Ratio Analysis and Equity Valuation." Harvard Business School Background Note 185-149, June 1985. (Revised December 2002.)
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
A technical note that defines capital expenditures (CAPEX). View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-123, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- Web
Business Fundamentals Course - CORe | HBS Online
$2,650 Next 17-week session starts July 15th Next 10-week session starts September 3rd Apply to CORe Apply to CORe for Credit Designed to help you achieve fluency in the language of business, CORe is a business fundamentals program that... View Details
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Free Cash Flow
A technical note that defines free cash flow (FCF). View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Free Cash Flow." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-126, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- Article
The Cross Section of Expected Holding Period Returns and Their Dynamics: A Present Value Approach
By: Matthew R. Lyle and Charles C.Y. Wang
We provide a tractable model of firm-level expected holding period returns using two firm fundamentals—book-to-market ratio and ROE—and study the cross-sectional properties of the model-implied expected returns. We find that 1) firm-level expected returns and expected... View Details
Keywords: Expected Returns; Discount Rates; Holding Period Returns; Fundamental Valuation; Present Value; Valuation; Investment Return
Lyle, Matthew R., and Charles C.Y. Wang. "The Cross Section of Expected Holding Period Returns and Their Dynamics: A Present Value Approach." Journal of Financial Economics 116, no. 3 (June 2015): 505–525.
- August 2000 (Revised July 2002)
- Background Note
Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
A technical note that defines return on invested capital (ROIC). View Details
Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)." Harvard Business School Background Note 801-125, August 2000. (Revised July 2002.)
- Article
Expected Stock Returns Worldwide: A Log-Linear Present-Value Approach
By: Akash Chattopadhyay, Matthew R. Lyle and Charles C.Y. Wang
This study provides the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are... View Details
Keywords: Expected Returns; Discount Rates; Fundamental Valuation; Implied Cost Of Capital; International Equity Markets; Present Value; Investment Return; Equity; Markets; Global Range
Chattopadhyay, Akash, Matthew R. Lyle, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Expected Stock Returns Worldwide: A Log-Linear Present-Value Approach." Accounting Review 97, no. 2 (March 2022): 107–133.
- Web
Business Analysis and Valuation Using Financial Statements - Course Catalog
HBS Course Catalog Business Analysis and Valuation Using Financial Statements Course Number 1306 Associate Professor Joseph Pacelli Fall; Q1Q2; 3.0 credits 28 Sessions Project Assistant Professor Yuan Zou Spring; Q3Q4; 3.0 credits 27... View Details
- June 2024
- Article
Going Digital: Implications for Firm Value and Performance
By: Wilbur Chen and Suraj Srinivasan
We examine firm value and performance implications of the growing trend of non-technology companies engaging in digital transformation. We measure digital activities in firms based on the disclosure of digital words in the business description section of 10-Ks. Digital... View Details
Keywords: Digital Technologies; Valuation; Return Predictability; Financial Statement Analysis; Performance; Value; Information Technology
Chen, Wilbur, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Going Digital: Implications for Firm Value and Performance." Review of Accounting Studies 29, no. 2 (June 2024): 1619–1665.
- 2011
- Teaching Note
Juner New Materials: On the Road to IPO (TN)
By: F. Warren McFarlan, Donglin Xia, Ning Jia and Ziqian Zhao
Juner New Materials (Juner) is a private China-based company that develops, produces, and distributes modified plastic compounds. Founded in 1995 by female serial entrepreneur Xiaomin Chen, Juner has exhibited strong performance and growth potential in the past fifteen... View Details
Keywords: Emerging Markets; Entrepreneurship; Financial Statements; IPO; Valuation; Women Executives; China; Plastics; China
McFarlan, F. Warren, Donglin Xia, Ning Jia, and Ziqian Zhao. "Juner New Materials: On the Road to IPO (TN)." Tsinghua University Teaching Note, 2011.