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- 2021
- Working Paper
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Experience; Interdependency; Strategic Foresight; Crowdfunding; Timeline; Delay; Forecasting; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Complexity; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development; Planning
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-123, January 2021. (Revised May 2021.)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of... View Details
Keywords: Foresight; Dynamic Capabilities; Managerial Judgment; Risk and Uncertainty; Management; Strategy
Scoblic, J. Peter. "Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-093, March 2020.
- December 2021
- Article
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Crowdfunding; Experience; Prediction; Timeline; Complexity; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Experience and Expertise; Forecasting and Prediction
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Art. 1. Strategic Management Journal 42, no. 13 (December 2021): 2357–2388. (Lead article.)
- September 2005
- Article
Managerial Foresight and Attempted Rent Appropriation: Insider Trading on Knowledge of Imminent Breakthroughs
By: Gautam Ahuja, Russell W. Coff and Peggy M. Lee
In order to establish a competitive advantage, firms must acquire or create resources at a price below their value in use. Absent pure luck, this requires managers to exercise foresight about a resource's future value and/or complementarities with pre-existing... View Details
Ahuja, Gautam, Russell W. Coff, and Peggy M. Lee. "Managerial Foresight and Attempted Rent Appropriation: Insider Trading on Knowledge of Imminent Breakthroughs." Strategic Management Journal 26, no. 9 (September 2005): 791–808.
- 02 Aug 2019
- News
Will there be 2020 foresight regarding America's skills dilemma?
- 02 Apr 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
Keywords: by J. Peter Scoblic
- Summer 2014
- Article
When Does a Platform Create Value by Limiting Choice?
By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Hanna Halaburda
We present a theory for why it might be rational for a platform to limit the number of applications available on it. Our model is based on the observation that even if users prefer application variety, applications often also exhibit direct network effects. When there... View Details
Keywords: Platform Governance; Direct Network Effects; Indirect Network Effects; Complements; Tragedy Of The Commons; Equilibrium Selection; Coordination; Foresight; Strategy; Value Creation; Digital Platforms; Balance and Stability; Decision Choices and Conditions; Consumer Behavior; Applications and Software; Network Effects
Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Hanna Halaburda. "When Does a Platform Create Value by Limiting Choice?" Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 23, no. 2 (Summer 2014): 259–293.
- 13 Mar 2012
- News
Pepsi Chief Shuffles Management to Soothe Investors
- November 2009
- Article
What Would Peter Say?
Heeding the wisdom of Peter Drucker might have helped us avoid - and will help us solve - numerous challenges, from restoring trust in business to tackling climate change. He issued early warnings about excessive executive pay, the auto industry's failure to adapt and... View Details
Keywords: Judgments; Employee Relationship Management; Leadership; Goals and Objectives; Management Practices and Processes; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Business and Community Relations; Business and Government Relations; Business and Shareholder Relations
Kanter, Rosabeth Moss. "What Would Peter Say?" Harvard Business Review 87, no. 11 (November 2009).
- 2008
- Other Unpublished Work
Punctuated Identities and the Careers of Professional Women
This paper proposes a punctuated equilibrium model of identity change to explain how professional women's career goals and attitudes can change rapidly and dramatically during mid-career years. Data collected from interviews of 43 women alumni of an elite business... View Details
- 09 Sep 2015
- HBS Seminar
Judith A. Chevalier, Yale University
- Program
Driving Digital Strategy
practices from companies that have successfully navigated through the digital turbulence and also examine those that struggled. This will help you gain the foresight to anticipate disruptions, the adaptability to pivot with agility, and... View Details
- 14 Feb 2022
- Research & Ideas
Curiosity, Not Coding: 6 Skills Leaders Need in the Digital Age
themselves. However, the qualities they need to develop aren’t the ones you might expect. You might think an organization in flux needs a steady hand, someone with foresight and experience who plots a sensible route to cautiously and... View Details
- 31 Jan 2022
- Research & Ideas
Where Can Digital Transformation Take You? Insights from 1,700 Leaders
decisions. Analytics are important, but judgment and critical thinking ultimately set the roadmap. All employees, not just the data scientists, use data to develop new insights and foresight instead of relying on past experience. Given... View Details
- Web
Named Fellowship Funds - Alumni
foresight about globalization, his commitment to mentoring, and his entrepreneurial spirit. Joseph F. Trustey (MBA 1990) Memorial Fellowship The Joseph F. Trustey Memorial Fellowship was established through the generosity of friends,... View Details
- Web
Donor Societies - Alumni
Giving Donor Societies Giving Donor Societies Leadership Giving Recognizing donor generosity and foresight Our donor societies celebrate the commitment of alumni and friends to ensuring the School's continued excellence. Members enjoy... View Details
- 13 Nov 2019
- Research & Ideas
Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet
machine learning tools, says Amano, and employ people who can communicate effectively about data-based approaches. Ultimately, managers who have the foresight to collaborate with data analysts to design data collection efforts and stagger... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
- 01 Jun 2024
- News
Firm Foundation
Pampered Chef. It was an opportunity to “get out of the boardroom and into the real world,” she says, as well as another moment in which foresight served her well. While at HBS, Britt Cool did a field study on the intersection of... View Details
- 17 Dec 2008
- Lessons from the Classroom
‘Ted Levitt Changed My Life’
his humor was carefully orchestrated to make a point." Levitt's sheer foresight also came into play in the classroom; Beverly Brandt (HBS MBA '72) recalls one case discussion in particular that foreshadowed the rise of women in the... View Details
- 24 Apr 2014
- News
Medicine made personal
Entrepreneurship Club, Goyal has created the start-up Foresight Pharmaceuticals. Goyal and Levy secured a residency at the Harvard Innovation Lab and have pitched Foresight to HBS Business Angels, an alumni... View Details