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- September 2025
- Article
Sticky Capital Controls
By: Miguel Acosta-Henao, Laura Alfaro and Andrés Fernández
There is much ongoing debate on the merits of capital controls as effective policy instruments. The differing perspectives are due in part to a lack of empirical studies that look at the intensive margin of controls, which in turn has prevented a quantitative... View Details
Keywords: Capital Controls; Macroprudential Policies; Stickiness; Intensive; (S, S) Costs; Capital; Management; Macroeconomics; Governance Controls; Mathematical Methods
Acosta-Henao, Miguel, Laura Alfaro, and Andrés Fernández. "Sticky Capital Controls." Art. 104104. Journal of International Economics 157 (September 2025).
- August 5, 2025
- Article
Data-driven Equation Discovery Reveals Nonlinear Reinforcement Learning in Humans
By: Kyle J. LaFollette, Janni Yuval, Roey Schurr, David Melnikoff and Amit Goldenberg
Computational models of reinforcement learning (RL) have significantly contributed to our understanding of human behavior and decision-making. Traditional RL models, however, often adopt a linear approach to updating reward expectations, potentially oversimplifying the... View Details
Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Behavior; Learning; Motivation and Incentives; Mathematical Methods
LaFollette, Kyle J., Janni Yuval, Roey Schurr, David Melnikoff, and Amit Goldenberg. "Data-driven Equation Discovery Reveals Nonlinear Reinforcement Learning in Humans." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 122, no. 31 (August 5, 2025).
- 2025
- Working Paper
Emotional Manipulation by AI Companions
By: Julian De Freitas, Zeliha Oğuz-Uğuralp and Ahmet Kaan-Uğuralp
AI-companion apps such as Replika, Chai, and Character.ai promise relational benefits—yet many boast session lengths that rival gaming platforms while suffering high long-run churn. What conversational design features increase consumer engagement, and what trade-offs... View Details
Keywords: Generative Ai; Chatbots; Emotional Manipulation; User Retention; Dark Side Of Technology; Consumer Welfare; Ethics
De Freitas, Julian, Zeliha Oğuz-Uğuralp, and Ahmet Kaan-Uğuralp. "Emotional Manipulation by AI Companions." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 26-005, August 2025.
- 2025
- Book
Concise Business Guide to Climate Change: What Managers, Executives, and Students Need to Know
Understanding the ground rules of climate change for business.
Climate has changed the game for businesses around the world. With climate-related disasters costing billions in damages and public pressure rising, over a hundred nations joined... View Details
Climate has changed the game for businesses around the world. With climate-related disasters costing billions in damages and public pressure rising, over a hundred nations joined... View Details
Trumbull, J. Gunnar. Concise Business Guide to Climate Change: What Managers, Executives, and Students Need to Know. Boston, MA: Harvard Business Review Press, 2025.
- 2025
- Working Paper
New Economic Forces Behind the Value Distribution of Innovation
By: Timothy F. Bresnahan, Shane Greenstein and Pai-Ling Yin
Advances in a general-purpose technology (GPT) enable many firms to invent complementary inventions, or co-inventions, making the GPT more valuable. This study examines the empirical implications of a straightforward model in which firms choose either incremental or... View Details
Bresnahan, Timothy F., Shane Greenstein, and Pai-Ling Yin. "New Economic Forces Behind the Value Distribution of Innovation." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 34090, August 2025.
- July 2025
- Teaching Note
Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM): The AI Journey
By: Shikhar Ghosh and Shweta Bagai
- July 2025
- Case
Toilets for the Underserved: The SURT Commercialization Challenge
By: Maria P. Roche, Anne Marie Knott and Alexander Oettl
In 2021, a breakthrough in sanitation technology developed under the Gates Foundation’s “Reinvent the Toilet” initiative stood ready for commercialization. The Single User Reinvented Toilet (SURT), engineered by Dr. Shannon Yee, offered an off-grid, self-contained... View Details
Keywords: Technological Innovation; Commercialization; Social Issues; Social Enterprise; Public Sector; Private Sector; Market Entry and Exit; Strategic Planning; Engineering; Infrastructure; Innovation Strategy; Utilities Industry; Consumer Products Industry; United States; South Africa; India; France
- July 2025
- Case
Insilico’s Rentosertib Dilemma: A Star in the Pipeline?
By: Michael Lingzhi Li, Brian Mao Fu and Billy Chan
In 2024, the AI biotech firm Insilico Medicine faced a pivotal decision about its new drug, Rentosertib. Discovered and designed using artificial intelligence to treat a lung disease, Rentosertib had successfully advanced to Phase II trials — a first in global... View Details
- July 2025
- Case
Osteoboost: Go-To-Market Strategy in a Healthcare Startup
Osteoboost focuses on how a health care Medtech startup with a new device for treating osteopenia. The firm decides among alternative go-to-market strategies, including B2B (the firm to healthcare providers), DTC (directly to consumers), or some combination of the two... View Details
- 2025
- Chapter
An Appraisal on 'Teaching the Early History of IB at Harvard Business School'
By: Geoffrey Jones
This chapter reviews new research about the origins of International Business as an academic discipline. Contrary to conventional wisdom that it originated in economics departments in the 1960s, this research highlights the importance of teaching at Harvard Business... View Details
Jones, Geoffrey. "An Appraisal on 'Teaching the Early History of IB at Harvard Business School'." Chap. 10 in The Historical Evolution of International Business: Growth Trajectory of an Academic Field of Study, edited by Lilac Nachum and Attila Yaprak, 227–232. Palgrave Macmillan, 2025.
- July 2025
- Article
Digital Lending and Financial Well-Being: Through the Lens of Mobile Phone Data
By: AJ Chen, Omri Even-Tov, Jung Koo Kang and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman
To mitigate information asymmetry about borrowers in developing economies, digital lenders use machine-learning algorithms and nontraditional data from borrowers’ mobile devices. Consequently, digital lenders have managed to expand access to credit for millions of... View Details
Keywords: Informal Economy; Digital Banking; Mobile Phones; Developing Countries and Economies; Mobile and Wireless Technology; AI and Machine Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Credit; Borrowing and Debt; Well-being; Banking Industry; Kenya
Chen, AJ, Omri Even-Tov, Jung Koo Kang, and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman. "Digital Lending and Financial Well-Being: Through the Lens of Mobile Phone Data." Accounting Review 100, no. 4 (July 2025): 135–159.
- July–August 2025
- Article
Don’t Let an AI Failure Harm Your Brand
How companies market their AI systems affects the repercussions they face when their products fail. Marketers must promote their AI products with potential failure in mind. To do that, they must first understand consumers’ unique attitudes toward AI. Marketers who... View Details
Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Brands and Branding; Product Marketing; Consumer Behavior; Attitudes
De Freitas, Julian. "Don’t Let an AI Failure Harm Your Brand." Harvard Business Review 103, no. 4 (July–August 2025): 126–133.
- July 2025
- Article
Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy
By: Marco Tabellini and Giacomo Magistretti
In this paper, we study the effects of economic integration with democratic partners on democracy. We assemble a large country-level panel dataset from 1960 to 2015, and exploit improvements in air, relative to sea, transportation to derive a time-varying instrument... View Details
Keywords: Democratization; Institutional Development; Economic Integration; International Trade; Democracy; Political Preferences; Institutions; Trade; Global Range; Economics; Government and Politics
Tabellini, Marco, and Giacomo Magistretti. "Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy." Review of Economic Studies 92, no. 4 (July 2025): 2765–2792. (Available also from VOX, VOXEU, Atlantico, The Economist, Domani, and Ideas for India. Longer NBER working paper version available here.)
- July 2025
- Article
On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity
By: Anke Becker
This paper studies the origins and function of customs and norms that intend to keep women from being promiscuous. Using large-scale survey data from more than 100 countries, I test the anthropological theory that a particular form of preindustrial... View Details
Keywords: Infibulation; Female Sexuality; Paternity Uncertainty; Concern About Women's Chastity; Pastoralism; Economic Anthropology; History; Gender; Social Issues; Culture
Becker, Anke. "On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity." Review of Economic Studies 92, no. 4 (July 2025): 2303–2329.
- 2025
- Working Paper
Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates
By: Max Miller, James D. Paron and Jessica Wachter
Sovereign debt yields have declined dramatically over the last half-century. Standard explanations, including aging populations and increases in asset demand from abroad, encounter difficulties when confronted with the full range of evidence. We propose an explanation... View Details
Miller, Max, James D. Paron, and Jessica Wachter. "Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 34021, July 2025. (Revise and Resubmit, Review of Financial Studies.)
- July 2025
- Module Note
Supply and Demand for Strategists
By: Quan Le
This module note introduces students to the foundational microeconomic principles of supply and demand. It uses the example of an aluminum plant (specifically, production quantity and shutdown decisions) to discuss short-run vs. long-run decisions, marginal costs, sunk... View Details
Keywords: Business Exit or Shutdown; Business or Company Management; Business Strategy; Competition; Competitive Advantage; Cost of Capital; Cost vs Benefits; Decision Making; Decisions; Demand and Consumers; Economics; Economic Systems; For-Profit Firms; Market Entry and Exit; Market Participation; Markets; Metals and Minerals; Microeconomics; Price; Revenue; Strategy; Supply and Industry; Manufacturing Industry
- July 2025
- Case
The Future in Sight: LumineticsCore and the First Autonomous AI for Diagnostics
By: Michael Lingzhi Li and Tinglong Dai
After two decades of research, Dr. Michael Abramoff successfully launched LumineticsCore—the first autonomous AI system authorized by the FDA to diagnose diabetic retinopathy without physician oversight. The case traces his journey across algorithm design, clinical... View Details
- June 2025
- Case
Crossing Borders, Dividing Politics: U.S. Immigration Policy and Political Polarization
By: Marco Tabellini and Alexis Lefort
This case explores the history and political dynamics of U.S. immigration policy, focusing on its evolution from the 18th century to 2025. It traces key legislative milestones, such as the 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act, DACA, and the 2025 Laken Riley Act,... View Details
- 2025
- Working Paper
Public Displays of Alignment: Firm Speech in Autocratic Regimes
By: Joris Mueller, Jaya Y. Wen and Cheryl Wu
Political speech by firms is increasingly common around the world. This paper
examines the government as an important, yet understudied, audience for
such speech, focusing on how Chinese firms rhetorically align with the state.
We introduce novel, general, and... View Details
Keywords: Business and Government Relations; Economic Systems; Power and Influence; Government Administration; Policy; China
Mueller, Joris, Jaya Y. Wen, and Cheryl Wu. "Public Displays of Alignment: Firm Speech in Autocratic Regimes." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-064, June 2025.
- Summer 2025
- Article
Does Marriage Have a Future?
By: Debora L. Spar and Aryanna Garber
The article explores how technology is reshaping the institution of marriage, highlighting significant changes in societal norms and personal relationships. It discusses the decline in marriage rates in industrialized nations, particularly Japan and the United States,... View Details
Spar, Debora L., and Aryanna Garber. "Does Marriage Have a Future?" New Atlantis: A Journal of Technology & Society 81 (Summer 2025): 20–33.