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  • All HBS Web  (40)
    • Research  (37)
  • Faculty Publications  (14)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (40)
    • Research  (37)
  • Faculty Publications  (14)
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  • January 2014 (Revised November 2015)
  • Background Note

Rational Choice and Managerial Decision-Making

By: Willy Shih
This note discusses Herbert Simon's notion of bounded rationality: how managers may sometimes make suboptimal choices because of their limited ability to access or process information. View Details
Keywords: Rational Choice; Bounded Rationality; Satisficing; Herbert Simon; Agenda-setting; Choice; Alternatives; Decision Making; Decision Choices and Conditions; Decisions; Judgments
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Shih, Willy. "Rational Choice and Managerial Decision-Making." Harvard Business School Background Note 614-048, January 2014. (Revised November 2015.)
  • 1984
  • Working Paper

Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices

By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
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Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1559-84, April 1984.
  • April 2007
  • Article

Getting Big Too Fast: Strategic Dynamics with Increasing Returns and Bounded Rationality

By: Rebecca M. Henderson, John Sterman, Eric Beinhocker and Lee Newman
Keywords: Strategy
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Henderson, Rebecca M., John Sterman, Eric Beinhocker, and Lee Newman. "Getting Big Too Fast: Strategic Dynamics with Increasing Returns and Bounded Rationality." Management Science 53, no. 4 (April 2007): 683–696.
  • June 1986
  • Article

Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices

By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price
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Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
  • 2007
  • Working Paper

Choice, Rationality and Welfare Measurement

By: Jerry R. Green and Daniel A. Hojman
We present a method for evaluating the welfare of a decision maker, based on observed choice data. Unlike the standard economic theory of revealed preference, our method can be used whether or not the observed choices are rational. Paralleling the standard theory we... View Details
Keywords: Welfare Economics; Behavioral Economics; Psychology; Decision Making; Economics; Voting
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Green, Jerry R., and Daniel A. Hojman. "Choice, Rationality and Welfare Measurement." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series, No. 2144, November 2007.
  • Research Summary

Choice, Rationality and Welfare Measurement

By: Jerry R. Green
For the past century, economists have used the hypothesis that individual choice is based on rationality in their calculations of individual and collective welfare. The central ideas are that actual market choice reveal underlying preferences, and with a good set of... View Details
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Complexity and Hyperbolic Discounting

By: Benjamin Enke, Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea
A large literature shows that people discount financial rewards hyperbolically instead of exponentially. While discounting of money has been questioned as a measure of time preferences, it continues to be highly relevant in empirical practice and predicts a wide range... View Details
Keywords: Hyperbolic Discounting; Present Bias; Bounded Rationality; Cognitive Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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Enke, Benjamin, Thomas Graeber, and Ryan Oprea. "Complexity and Hyperbolic Discounting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-048, February 2024.
  • 2008
  • Working Paper

Learning Processes in Environmental Policy Making and Implementation

By: Alnoor Ebrahim
This paper explores how "learning" occurs in the context of environmental policy formulation and implementation. Rather than viewing policy learning as a rational and technocratic process, the emphasis here is on the political and institutional contexts within which... View Details
Keywords: Policy; Business and Government Relations; Natural Environment; Power and Influence; South Africa; Brazil
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Ebrahim, Alnoor. "Learning Processes in Environmental Policy Making and Implementation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-071, February 2008.
  • 2008
  • Chapter

Learning in Environmental Policymaking and Implementation

By: Alnoor Ebrahim
This paper explores how "learning" occurs in the context of environmental policy formulation and implementation. Rather than viewing policy learning as a rational and technocratic process, the emphasis here is on the political and institutional contexts within which... View Details
Keywords: Learning; Corporate Accountability; Policy; Government and Politics; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Natural Environment; Power and Influence; South Africa; Brazil
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Ebrahim, Alnoor. "Learning in Environmental Policymaking and Implementation." In Strategic Environmental Assessment for Policies: An Instrument for Good Governance, edited by Kulsum Ahmed and Ernesto Sanchez-Triana. Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 2008. (Was HBS Working Paper 08-071.)

    Thomas W. Graeber

    Thomas Graeber is an Assistant Professor of Business Administration in the Negotiation, Organizations & Markets Unit at Harvard Business School. He teaches Negotiations in the MBA elective curriculum.

    As an empirical behavioral and experimental... View Details

    • 2016
    • Other Teaching and Training Material

    Organizational Behavior Reading: Decision Making

    By: Francesca Gino, Max Bazerman and Katherine Shonk
    This Reading argues that decision making is systematically flawed and introduces methods to improve decision-making effectiveness. The Essential Reading section covers the rational decision-making model and three important ideas that challenge it: Herbert Simon's... View Details
    Keywords: Game Theory; Decision Making
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    Gino, Francesca, Max Bazerman, and Katherine Shonk. "Organizational Behavior Reading: Decision Making." Core Curriculum Readings Series. Boston, MA: Harvard Business Publishing 8383, 2016. Electronic.
    • 18 Jul 2012
    • Research & Ideas

    Penn State Lesson: Today’s Cover-Up was Yesterday’s Opportunity

    them immediately? Many leaders strive for such a high degree of perfection that they are unwilling to admit mistakes. They feel tremendous external pressure to be perfect, but in reality they are far more successful when they are authentic. Were they to think View Details
    Keywords: by Bill George; Education
    • Article

    Hinged Dissections Exist

    By: Timothy G. Abbott, Zachary Abel, David Charlton, Erik D. Demaine, Martin L. Demaine and Scott Duke Kominers
    We prove that any finite collection of polygons of equal area has a common hinged dissection. That is, for any such collection of polygons there exists a chain of polygons hinged at vertices that can be folded in the plane continuously without self-intersection to form... View Details
    Keywords: Folding; Reconfiguration; Hinge; Plygon; Refinement; Mathematical Methods
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    Abbott, Timothy G., Zachary Abel, David Charlton, Erik D. Demaine, Martin L. Demaine, and Scott Duke Kominers. "Hinged Dissections Exist." Discrete & Computational Geometry 47, no. 1 (January 2012): 150–186.
    • 2011
    • Working Paper

    Price Competition under Multinomial Logit Demand Functions with Random Coefficients

    In this paper, we postulate a general class of price competition models with Mixed Multinomial Logit demand functions under affine cost functions. We first characterize the equilibrium behavior of this class of models in the case where each product in the market is... View Details
    Keywords: Customers; Income Characteristics; Price; Product Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Competition; Segmentation
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    Allon, Gad, Awi Federgruen, and Margaret Pierson. "Price Competition under Multinomial Logit Demand Functions with Random Coefficients." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-030, October 2011.
    • Summer 2012
    • Article

    Epistemic Contests and the Legitimacy of the World Trade Organization: The Brazil–USA Cotton Dispute and the Incremental Balancing of Interests

    By: Arthur A. Daemmrich
    The World Trade Organization (WTO) features prominently in studies of international institutions, often cast either as a tool of rich-world domination over the poorer South or as a neutral mediator facilitating a tariff-free world of economic prosperity. This article... View Details
    Keywords: Organizations; Trade; Conflict and Resolution; Consumer Products Industry; Brazil; United States
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    Daemmrich, Arthur A. "Epistemic Contests and the Legitimacy of the World Trade Organization: The Brazil–USA Cotton Dispute and the Incremental Balancing of Interests." Special Issue on Dispute Settlement at the WTO. Trade, Law and Development 4, no. 1 (Summer 2012): 200–240.
    • 26 Feb 2008
    • First Look

    First Look: February 26, 2008

    (c) accountability in implementation. Examples are drawn from the experiences of South Africa and Brazil. Several preliminary factors are identified that may enhance policy learning, while acknowledging the constraints of bounded View Details
    Keywords: Martha Lagace
    • Web

    The Founding of U.S. Steel and the Power of Public Opinion | Baker Library | Bloomberg Center | Harvard Business School

    had an international presence in the world economy. “U.S. Steel was a giant—or a monster, depending on one’s perspective,” B. Mark Smith writes in Toward Rational Exuberance: The Evolution of the Modern Stock Market . 3 At Harvard... View Details
    • 03 Oct 2023
    • Research Event

    Build the Life You Want: Arthur Brooks and Oprah Winfrey Share Happiness Tips

    come from? So, then I started looking back, reading other columns. I called him up. I said, you know what? You should make a book of all those columns and put that together as a book. And he actually did. And bound it and sent it to me.... View Details
    Keywords: by HBS Staff
    • 05 May 2011
    • What Do You Think?

    How Ethical Can We Be?

    with whom we interact judge us differently than we judge ourselves? Phil Clark commented that "Ethics is in the 'eye of the beholder,' not the person carrying out the action." We may rationalize our behaviors depending on, as R.... View Details
    Keywords: by Jim Heskett
    • 24 Jun 2002
    • Research & Ideas

    Four Keys of Enduring Success: How High Achievers Win

    each individual. It is uneven and unstable; it's never frozen at a moment in time. It is both rational and emotional. In the interviews they have conducted so far with successful people—those deemed by their peers to be in the top of... View Details
    Keywords: by Martha Lagace
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