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      Algorithmic Decision MakingRemove Algorithmic Decision Making →

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      • June 2005
      • Article

      Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows

      By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
      Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rate; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Asset Pricing; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., and T. Ramadorai. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows." Journal of Finance 60, no. 3 (June 2005): 1535–1566. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9101, August 2002 and Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 04-036, December 2003.)
      • June 2005
      • Article

      Inflation, Openness, and Exchange Rate Regimes: The Quest for Short-Term Commitment

      By: Laura Alfaro
      This paper further tests Romer's (1993) extension of Kydland and Prescott's (1977) predictions for dynamic-inconsistency problems in open economies. In a panel data set of developed and developing countries from 1973 to 1998, I find that openness does not play a role... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Economy; Currency Exchange Rate; Developing Countries and Economies; Inflation and Deflation
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      Alfaro, Laura. "Inflation, Openness, and Exchange Rate Regimes: The Quest for Short-Term Commitment." Journal of Development Economics 77, no. 1 (June 2005): 229–249.
      • May 2005 (Revised April 2010)
      • Case

      GlaxoSmithKline: Reorganizing Drug Discovery (A)

      By: Robert S. Huckman and Eli Strick
      Describes the reorganization of drug discovery at GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) following the formation of GSK from the merger of Glaxo Wellcome and SmithKline Beecham. This reorganization placed nearly 2,000 research scientists into six centers of excellence in drug discovery... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Operations; Organizational Structure; Performance Improvement; Research and Development; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Huckman, Robert S., and Eli Strick. "GlaxoSmithKline: Reorganizing Drug Discovery (A)." Harvard Business School Case 605-074, May 2005. (Revised April 2010.)
      • May 2005
      • Supplement

      GlaxoSmithKline: Reorganizing Drug Discovery (B)

      By: Robert S. Huckman and Eli Strick
      Supplements the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Decisions; Operations; Performance; Research and Development; Restructuring; Organizations; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Huckman, Robert S., and Eli Strick. "GlaxoSmithKline: Reorganizing Drug Discovery (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 605-075, May 2005.
      • May 2005
      • Exercise

      Forecasting the Adoption of E-books

      By: Elie Ofek
      Gives students an opportunity to understand the challenges inherent in forecasting the diffusions of innovations. Provides data for forecasting the adoption of electronic books. Students are encouraged to use the Bass Model framework, while being cognizant of its... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Framework; Books; Analytics and Data Science; Product Launch; Internet and the Web; Technology Adoption
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      Ofek, Elie. "Forecasting the Adoption of E-books." Harvard Business School Exercise 505-063, May 2005.
      • April 2005
      • Case

      Merrill Lynch in 2003: Sunny Skies Ahead?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and David Kiron
      Merrill Lynch (ML) is at a crossroads. Stan O'Neal became its CEO and implemented a radical cost-cutting program. In addition, the company dot-com continues to recover from the fallout from the Enron and dot-com scandals. What are the future prospects for ML? Can the... View Details
      Keywords: Management Teams; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Condition; Investment; Financial Services Industry; Insurance Industry; United States
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul M. Healy, and David Kiron. "Merrill Lynch in 2003: Sunny Skies Ahead?" Harvard Business School Case 105-067, April 2005.
      • April 2005 (Revised June 2006)
      • Case

      NTT DoCoMo, Inc.: Mobile FeliCa

      By: Stephen P. Bradley, Thomas R. Eisenmann, Masako Egawa and Akiko Kanno
      Managers of DoCoMo, Japan's largest mobile phone company, are formulating a strategy for mobile FeliCa: contactless integrated circuits that will be built into DoCoMo phones, allowing them to be used for quick and convenient retail or commuter fare payments, building... View Details
      Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Expansion; Alliances; Wireless Technology; Information Technology Industry; Communications Industry; Japan
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      Bradley, Stephen P., Thomas R. Eisenmann, Masako Egawa, and Akiko Kanno. "NTT DoCoMo, Inc.: Mobile FeliCa." Harvard Business School Case 805-124, April 2005. (Revised June 2006.)
      • 2005
      • Introduction

      A Decision Perspective on Negotiation and Conflict Resolution

      By: M. H. Bazerman
      Keywords: Negotiation; Conflict and Resolution; Decision Making
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      Bazerman, M. H. "A Decision Perspective on Negotiation and Conflict Resolution." Introduction to Negotiation, Decision Making, and Conflict Management. 3 vols. Edited by M. H. Bazerman. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2005.
      • 2005
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance

      By: Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval and Jeremy Stein
      We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy of equity-financed growth will prefer a stock-for-stock merger to... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Behavior; Stocks; Mergers and Acquisitions; Policy; Investment; Financial Institutions; Equity; Corporate Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, Joshua Coval, and Jeremy Stein. "Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance." NBER Working Paper Series, April 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by studying... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Return; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10449, April 2005. (First draft in 2003.)
      • March 2005
      • Case

      Henkel Iberica (A)

      By: Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez, V.G. Narayanan and Lisa Brem
      In 2002, Esteban Garriga, customer service director at Henkel Iberica, questions whether Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) would help manage retail promotions and limit their impact on the stock-outs and obsolete inventory. Describes the... View Details
      Keywords: Business Subsidiaries; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Distribution Channels; Strategic Planning; Commercialization; Valuation; Rail Industry; Germany; Spain
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      Martinez-Jerez, Francisco de Asis, V.G. Narayanan, and Lisa Brem. "Henkel Iberica (A)." Harvard Business School Case 105-023, March 2005.
      • March 2005 (Revised May 2009)
      • Case

      Columbia's Final Mission

      By: Michael Roberto, Amy C. Edmondson, Richard M.J. Bohmer, Laura Feldman and Erika Ferlins
      On February 1, 2003, the Shuttle Columbia disintegrated upon re-entry into the Earth's atmosphere, and the seven astronauts onboard lost their lives. Explores Columbia's final mission from the perspective of six key managers and engineers associated with NASA's Space... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership; Crisis Management; Management Teams; Organizational Culture; Aerospace Industry
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      Roberto, Michael, Amy C. Edmondson, Richard M.J. Bohmer, Laura Feldman, and Erika Ferlins. "Columbia's Final Mission." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Case 305-032, March 2005. (Revised May 2009.)
      • 2005
      • Book

      Judgment in Managerial Decision Making

      By: Max Bazerman
      Keywords: Judgments; Management; Decision Making
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      Bazerman, Max. Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 6th ed. John Wiley & Sons, 2005. (Also published in Polish, Russian, and Japanese. Ch. 2 has been reprinted in Psychological Dimensions of Organizational Behavior and summarized in the Harvard Management Update. Ch. 7 has been reprinted in Power and Negotiation in Organizations.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Towards a Competitive Arousal Model of Decision Making: A Study of Auction Fever in Live and Internet Auctions

      By: Gillian Ku, Deepak Malhotra and J. Keith Murnighan
      Keywords: Competition; Decision Making; Auctions; Online Technology
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      Ku, Gillian, Deepak Malhotra, and J. Keith Murnighan. "Towards a Competitive Arousal Model of Decision Making: A Study of Auction Fever in Live and Internet Auctions." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 96, no. 2 (March 2005): 89–103.
      • February 2005 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Jorge Tarzijan and Jordan Mitchell
      Celulosa Arauco is a major Chilean producer of market pulp and wood products. Owning over 1.2 million hectares of forest in Chile, Argentina, and Uruguay, the company's key advantage is the ideal growing conditions in which the company's forests are located. As of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Competitive Advantage; Diversification; Expansion; Vertical Integration; Forest Products Industry; Chile
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Jorge Tarzijan, and Jordan Mitchell. "Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?" Harvard Business School Case 705-474, February 2005. (Revised March 2009.)
      • February 2005 (Revised November 2016)
      • Background Note

      Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product

      By: Elie Ofek
      Provides tools and methodologies that allow forecasting demand for innovative new products. Highlights the Bass model—the theory behind it and ways to determine its parameters. Provides a detailed example of how to use the Bass model to forecast demand for satellite... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Innovation and Invention; Marketing; Demand and Consumers; Mathematical Methods; Competition
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      Ofek, Elie. "Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product." Harvard Business School Background Note 505-062, February 2005. (Revised November 2016.)
      • February 2005
      • Case

      Bayside Motion Group (A)

      By: H. Kent Bowen and Bradley R. Staats
      After purchasing a business and successfully growing it for 18 years, the sole owner is presented with an attractive acquisition offer from a Fortune 500 company. The company's future is bright, but is now the right time to sell? Can he create more value by waiting?... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Decisions; Entrepreneurship; Cash Flow; Private Equity; Financing and Loans; Growth Management; Success; Private Ownership
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      Bowen, H. Kent, and Bradley R. Staats. "Bayside Motion Group (A)." Harvard Business School Case 605-040, February 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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      Baker, Malcolm, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10685, February 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • 2005
      • Book

      Negotiation, Decision Making, and Conflict Management

      By: M. H. Bazerman
      Keywords: Negotiation; Decision Making; Conflict and Resolution; Management
      Citation
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      Bazerman, M. H., ed. Negotiation, Decision Making, and Conflict Management. 3 vols. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2005.
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