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  • All HBS Web  (2,970)
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    • Research  (2,202)
    • Events  (43)
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  • Faculty Publications  (1,433)
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  • 29 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 29, 2008

increases with organizational size, smaller adopters have such disproportionate influence because they allow observers better to infer that adoption will be profitable for their own organization. We elaborate the theory by predicting that... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 26 Nov 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Best Practices of Global Innovators

of problems that cannot be predicted in advance must be resolved. Dealing with uncertainty requires different organizational choices in terms of team design, contract structure, and IP management. Consider, for example, a typical practice... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Sep 2005
  • Research & Ideas

The Best Place for Retirement Funds

the 2004 SCF are released we may find that these programs have become pretty important for a lot of families. There are also tax-favored savings plans focused on medical rather than educational expenses. It's hard to predict what the... View Details
Keywords: by Ann Cullen
  • 21 Sep 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Excessive Executive Pay: What’s the Solution?

the predictably reckless choices made by some of its most powerful players—has brought our economy to the brink of collapse. To scold business may feel good and may even help move legislation along. But we need much more than a good... View Details
Keywords: by Roger Thompson
  • 22 Nov 2016
  • First Look

November 22, 2016

predict that the board will design incentive contracts that filter out common shocks in performance to motivate costly effort from the CEO—a process that entails the judicious selection of benchmarks for relative performance evaluation... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 23

these predictions empirically by examining how the 1996 repeal of certificate-of-need (CON) legislation in Pennsylvania affected the market for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery in the state. Within a few years of the repeal of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 07 Apr 2008
  • Research & Ideas

The Debate over Taxing Foreign Profits

the United States ran in 2004. As part of the American Jobs Creation Act, firms were allowed a "one-time" reduced tax on any profits repatriated back to the United States. Predictions varied at the time, but I don't think anyone... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jan 2021
  • In Practice

Leadership Advice for Biden: Restore a Sense of Calm

rules of the game? Companies like to know what the rules are and they like stability in those rules. I believe that businesses will welcome a higher level of certainty and predictability that I expect will come with the new... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 13 Nov 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Six Steps for Reinvigorating America

you can predict the dropout rate. Our high school dropout rate is much too high in the United States—a million children. I remember in the 1980s, the business community was incredibly concerned about K through 12 public education. A... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 6, 2007

larger class of financial and managerial consultants who sought to refine business decision-making through the introduction of statistical data and scientific analysis. The failure of most forecasting agencies to predict the stock market... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • July 2014
  • Article

Accounting for Crises

By: Venky Nagar and Gwen Yu
We provide among the first empirical evidence consistent with recent macro global-game crisis models, which show that the precision of public signals can coordinate crises (e.g., Angeletos and Werning, 2006; Morris and Shin, 2002, 2003). In these models,... View Details
Keywords: Corporate Disclosure; Mathematical Methods; Game Theory; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Accounting; Financial Crisis
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Nagar, Venky, and Gwen Yu. "Accounting for Crises." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 6, no. 3 (July 2014): 184–213.
  • 15 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 15

trade with arbitrageurs. Consistent with the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Oct 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is Leadership an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act?

have little confidence in long-range planning, predictions of others, or their own biases. They will spend less time planning and more time fostering the organizational ability to develop and test new ideas. In a recent e-mail, Scott... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 10 Jun 2013
  • Research & Ideas

How Numbers Talk to People

the Eureka Story, the Mad Scientist Story, the Survey Story, the Prediction Story, and the "Here's What Happened" Story. The excerpt focuses on the first two. —Sean Silverthorne book excerpt Framing The Problem From: Keeping Up... View Details
  • 13 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 13, 2007

increase the reliance on FDI flows and alter the decision to deploy technology through FDI as opposed to arm's length licensing. Several distinctive predictions for the impact of weak investor protection on MNC activity and FDI flows are... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 Nov 2006
  • Research & Ideas

CEO Succession: The Case at Ford

a very good record which are the LBOs, almost never go for that sort of CEO. They look for an industry figure who really knows a lot about the business and that company—often a retired CEO. Q: Is it easy to predict who's going to be the... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Aisner; Auto; Employment
  • 28 Feb 2005
  • Research & Ideas

How to Harness Auction Fever

little about why this sale surprised the auction community? Deepak Malhotra: Auctioneers are often able to predict selling prices pretty accurately. In this particular auction, actual prices were approximately seven times initial... View Details
Keywords: by Manda Salls; Web Services; Technology
  • 24 Sep 2001
  • Research & Ideas

How To Be an Angel Investor

in sales respectively. Most companies in the industry were valued at $1 million per employee, and this company had 40. However, NASDAQ had just dropped about 20% (April, 2000), and voices predicting the end of the tech stocks' ride were... View Details
Keywords: by David Amis & Howard Stevenson
  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

(Study 1). Product priming also increases the speed with which product-relevant individuals come to mind (Study 2). In Study 3, consumers felt subjectively closer to networks primed by specific products, and this felt closeness predicted... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jul 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 10, 2018

higher-priced items first can simultaneously increase the average selling price and the overall purchase rate. We test these predictions in a series of field experiments conducted with an online fashion and apparel retailer. Using... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
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