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  • 23 Oct 2007
  • First Look

First Look: October 23, 2007

Review 49, no. 1 (fall 2007) Abstract The largely erroneous perception that breakthroughs are impossible to predict arises from the tendency to focus on just the breakthroughs while ignoring the iterative process of invention and its... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • February 1989 (Revised November 1991)
  • Case

Science Technology Co.--1985

By: Thomas R. Piper
The CEO of a U.S. electronics firm is assessing the financial forecasts and the financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Given the cyclicality of the industry and the volatility of the firm's performance, the CEO is unsure as to the usefulness of... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Change Management; Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Volatility; Electronics Industry
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Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co.--1985." Harvard Business School Case 289-040, February 1989. (Revised November 1991.)
  • February 1984 (Revised February 1986)
  • Case

E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide

By: W. Carl Kester, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr. and Stacy S. Dick
Disequilibrium in the $350 million TiO2 market has prompted Du Pont's Pigments Department to develop two strategies for competing in this market in the future. The growth strategy has a smaller internal rate of return than the alternative strategy due to large capital... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Investment Return; Growth and Development Strategy; Strategic Planning; Projects; Chemical Industry
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Kester, W. Carl, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr., and Stacy S. Dick. "E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide." Harvard Business School Case 284-066, February 1984. (Revised February 1986.)
  • April–May 2017
  • Article

Career Concerns of Banking Analysts

By: Joanne Horton, George Serafeim and Shan Wu
We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their forecasting behavior benefits both them and bank managers. We show that banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts... View Details
Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Forecasts; Analysts; Investment Recommendations; Career Advancement; Career Management; Labor Mobility; Labor Market; Prejudice and Bias; Personal Development and Career; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Banking
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Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu. "Career Concerns of Banking Analysts." Journal of Accounting & Economics 63, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2017): 231–252.
  • Article

Traveling Agents: Political Change and Bureaucratic Turnover in India

By: Lakshmi Iyer and Anandi Mani
We develop a framework to empirically examine how politicians with electoral pressures control bureaucrats with career concerns as well as the consequences for bureaucrats' career investments. Unique micro-level data on Indian bureaucrats support our key predictions.... View Details
Keywords: Framework; Government and Politics; Investment; Competency and Skills; Personal Development and Career; Rank and Position; Forecasting and Prediction; India
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Iyer, Lakshmi, and Anandi Mani. "Traveling Agents: Political Change and Bureaucratic Turnover in India." Review of Economics and Statistics 94, no. 3 (August 2012): 723–739.
  • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
  • Background Note

Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process

By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating. View Details
Keywords: Financial Markets; Credit; Bonds; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Services Industry
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Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
  • 21 Sep 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Excessive Executive Pay: What’s the Solution?

the predictably reckless choices made by some of its most powerful players—has brought our economy to the brink of collapse. To scold business may feel good and may even help move legislation along. But we need much more than a good... View Details
Keywords: by Roger Thompson
  • 16 Oct 2019
  • Research & Ideas

Read Our Most Popular Stories of the Quarter

What stories were readers like you diving into this summer on HBS Working Knowledge? Your interests varied dramatically, everything from how researchers use machine learning technology to predict CEO performance to the power of rituals in... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 13

results in terms of how much franchisors and franchisees believe that their relations will last or will be intensified in the future. We leverage on relational-contracts theory to develop our predictions and interpret our findings.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Sep 2012
  • First Look

First Look: September 25

experiment, individuals with a strong moral identity were less likely to act in self-interest, yet individuals with a weak moral identity were more likely to act in self-interest, when subjectively experiencing power. Finally, we predict... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 6

people start believing they will always go down. Success breeds success, and failure or loss breeds loss. The article argues for a broader explanation of behavior beyond economic instrumentality. It is time to turn again to psychology, sociology, and anthropology to... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Nov 2010
  • First Look

First Look: November 16, 2010

Publication:Journal of Public Economics (forthcoming) Abstract It is often difficult for donors to predict the value of charitable giving because they know little about the persons who receive their help. This concern is particularly... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Aug 2004
  • Research & Ideas

New Challenges for Long-Term Investors

long-term economic growth and inflation. The Fed can affect long-term rates only to the extent that it can influence those expectations. Long-term conservative investors should not probably be in the business of speculating on the direction of long-term rates, which... View Details
Keywords: by Ann Cullen
  • October 2011 (Revised March 2012)
  • Supplement

Cottle-Taylor: Expanding the Oral Care Group in India, Student Spreadsheet (Brief Case)

By: John A. Quelch and Alisa Zalosh
Keywords: Forecasting; Budgeting; International Marketing; Product Planning & Policy; Sales Promotions; Marketing Plans; Products; Consumer Behavior; Marketing; Product Design; Emerging Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Budgets and Budgeting
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Quelch, John A., and Alisa Zalosh. "Cottle-Taylor: Expanding the Oral Care Group in India, Student Spreadsheet (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 114-356, October 2011. (Revised March 2012.)
  • April 2007 (Revised April 2008)
  • Case

Corrections Corporation of America

This case illustrates a comprehensive valuation of a publicly traded firm specializing in building and managing prisons. Students must assess the firm's strategy and risks, evaluate key financial reports, derive forecasts of future performance, and use these forecasts... View Details
Keywords: Financial Statements; Buildings and Facilities; For-Profit Firms; Crime and Corruption; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; Valuation; Construction Industry; Public Administration Industry; Service Industry
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Riedl, Edward J. "Corrections Corporation of America." Harvard Business School Case 107-071, April 2007. (Revised April 2008.)
  • May 2022
  • Supplement

Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside

By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Fares Khrais
Maestro pizza opened its first store in 2013 after its founder, Khalid Al Omran, recognized an opportunity in Saudi Arabia to offer high quality pizza at affordable prices. The business grew rapidly and under the radar at first, but soon enough caught the attention of... View Details
Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Competition; Market Entry and Exit; Emerging Markets; Business Startups; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Product Positioning; Disruption; Disruptive Innovation; Advertising; Advertising Campaigns; Social Media; Forecasting and Prediction; Crisis Management; Growth and Development Strategy; Brands and Branding; Product Development; Production; Service Delivery; Business Growth and Maturation; Financial Statements; Cost Management; Analysis; Quality; Performance Consistency; Customer Satisfaction; Profit; Family Ownership; Food and Beverage Industry; Middle East; Saudi Arabia
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Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Fares Khrais. "Maestro Pizza (C): Taking the Fight Outside." Harvard Business School Supplement 722-401, May 2022.
  • 15 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 15

trade with arbitrageurs. Consistent with the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Oct 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is Leadership an Increasingly Difficult Balancing Act?

have little confidence in long-range planning, predictions of others, or their own biases. They will spend less time planning and more time fostering the organizational ability to develop and test new ideas. In a recent e-mail, Scott... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 10 Jun 2013
  • Research & Ideas

How Numbers Talk to People

the Eureka Story, the Mad Scientist Story, the Survey Story, the Prediction Story, and the "Here's What Happened" Story. The excerpt focuses on the first two. —Sean Silverthorne book excerpt Framing The Problem From: Keeping Up... View Details
  • 13 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 13, 2007

increase the reliance on FDI flows and alter the decision to deploy technology through FDI as opposed to arm's length licensing. Several distinctive predictions for the impact of weak investor protection on MNC activity and FDI flows are... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
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