Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

September 2011
Article

Information Risk and Fair Value: An Examination of Equity Betas

By: Edward J. Riedl and George Serafeim

Using a sample of U.S. financial institutions, we exploit recent mandatory disclosures of financial instruments designated as fair value level 1, 2, and 3 to test whether greater information risk in financial instrument fair values leads to higher cost of capital. We... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Assets; Cost of Capital; Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Corporate Disclosure; Information; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; United States

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September 2008 (Revised June 2011)
Case

Examining the Adoption of Drug-Eluting Stents

By: Elie Ofek

Marketers are often tasked with exploring the factors that impact the long-run adoption of a new product or technology. The new product under consideration here is the drug-eluting stent: a device which props open a clogged artery to the heart and then releases... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Product Positioning; Consumer Behavior; Adoption; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry

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18 Mar 2014
First Look

First Look: March 18

simplicity of accepting an equal split with the costs of negotiating a differentiated allocation of founder equity. We test the predictions of the theory on a proprietary dataset comprised of 1,476 founders in 511 entrepreneurial... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

04 Dec 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 4, 2018

certification programs are understandable and largely predictable if the ideas, interests, and power of key actors are accurately assessed. When alignment and power are high, Northern programs will likely succeed. When they are low, they... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

July 2010
Teaching Note

Monmouth, Inc. (Brief Case)

By: Thomas R. Piper and Heide Abelli

Teaching Note for 4226. View Details

Keywords: Competitive Bidding; Forecasting; Stock Offerings; Mergers ＆ Acquisitions; Valuation, Margins; Stocks; Valuation; Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction; Bids and Bidding

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October 1990 (Revised May 1994)
Case

Confederated Pulp & Paper

By: David E. Bell

A rewritten version of an old case that updates the dates and prices and simplifies the economics. The issue is still one of determining a suitable inventory of wood for the mill to last through the winter. View Details

Keywords: History; Supply Chain Management; Spending; Forecasting and Prediction; Economic Growth; Information Management; Pulp and Paper Industry

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05 Jul 2017
What Do You Think?

Can Innovation Save Us From Ourselves?

Summing Up Do We Need to Give More Attention to the Dark Side of Innovation? Innovation may be able to help us deal with problems such as famine, pollution, and even global warming. But unless it can prove to be just as effective in combating destructive human traits... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Technology

24 Aug 2010
First Look

First Look: August 24

The Role of Employee Proactivity Authors:A. M. Grant, F. Gino, and D. Hofmann Publication:Academy of Management Journal (forthcoming) Abstract Extraversion predicts leadership emergence and effectiveness, but do groups perform more... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

24 Apr 2007
First Look

First Look: April 24, 2007

account for such agglomeration have been proposed. We note that these theories make different predictions about which pairs of industries should be coagglomerated. We discuss the measurement of coagglomeration and use data from the Census... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

05 Sep 2006
First Look

First Look: September 5, 2006

pressures. Aid in the Aftermath of Hurricane Katrina: Humanizing Victims Predicts Intergroup Helping Authors:Amy J. C. Cuddy, Mindi Rock, and Michael I. Norton Publication:Group Processes and Intergroup Relations (in press) Abstract This... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

2003
Article

Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns

By: Michael B. Clement, Richard Frankel and Jeffrey Miller

In this study we examine the association among confirming management forecasts, stock prices, and analyst expectations. Confirming management forecasts are voluntary disclosures by management that corroborate existing market expectations about future earnings. This... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Corporate Disclosure; Price; Stocks; Investment Return

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May 2021
Case

Roku 2021

By: David B. Yoffie and Daniel Fisher

This case is used to explore the strategic concept of "look forward, reason back." Roku in 2021 is trying to figure out the future of television and streaming media. Students are asked to provide a vision for television and streaming media (that is, Look Forward) by... View Details

Keywords: Television Entertainment; Forecasting and Prediction; Decision Choices and Conditions; Strategy; Strategic Planning; Media and Broadcasting Industry

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05 Oct 2022
News

Inside the Chip Shortage

Photo via Digital Chosun Photo via Digital Chosun The shortage of semiconductors that has hamstrung the automotive industry since 2020 isn’t over yet, and Renesas CEO Hidetoshi Shibata (MBA 2001) predicts the shortage will continue well... View Details

Keywords: Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing; Manufacturing

01 Jun 2001
News

High Stakes on the High Seas

In 1998, on the day after Christmas, 115 sailboats crossed the starting line in Sydney, Australia, bound for Tasmania, a 630-mile dash across the Bass Strait, one of the world’s most treacherous bodies of water. The fabled Sydney to Hobart race went ahead despite View Details

Keywords: Arts, Entertainment

05 Jun 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 5, 2018

Swiss Mechanical Watchmaking, 1970-2008 By: Raffaelli, Ryan Abstract—In 1983, 14 years after the introduction of the battery-powered quartz watch, mechanical watches and the Swiss watchmakers who built them were predicted to be obsolete... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

19 Feb 2008
News

The Scoop Behind the Silver Screen

Clayton up this weekend for seven Academy Awards. (Any predictions out there on the winners?) Samuels drew an analogy between the real estate industry and filmmaking. “I look at a movie script the same way I look at an empty piece of... View Details

Keywords: Arts, Entertainment; Business Schools & Computer & Management Training; Educational Services; Real Estate

01 Mar 2006
News

Venture Capital, Post-Dot Bomb

’96), managing director at Mayfield. Sean Dalton (MBA ’98), a managing general partner at Highland Capital, noted that dire predictions for the industry were nothing new. He counseled a simple, head-down approach: “Do good deals. Focus on... View Details

Keywords: Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance

01 Feb 1997
News

New Releases

Competing in the Age of Digital Convergence Edited by David B. Yoffie (Harvard Business School Press) In an introduction to this new collection of essays, David Yoffie, the School's Max and Doris Starr Professor of Business Admin-istration, View Details

May 2018
Article

Nowcasting Gentrification: Using Yelp Data to Quantify Neighborhood Change

By: Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim and Michael Luca

Data from digital platforms have the potential to improve our understanding of gentrification and enable new measures of how neighborhoods change in close to real time. Combining data on businesses from Yelp with data on gentrification from the Census, Federal Housing... View Details