Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

01 Apr 1996
News

Stasis and Turmoil: HBS Research for the Real World

The second in a series of occasional reports on current research from some of the many faculty members whose classroom presentations to alumni have been a cornerstone of recent HBS reunions, this month we report on Professor Howard H. Stevenson's examination of View Details

February 2024
Teaching Note

AB InBev: Brewing Up Forecasts during COVID-19

By: Mark Egan and C. Fritz Foley

Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 224-020. In July 2021, the CEO of AB InBev's European operations and his team strategized to position the company for success post-pandemic. As the world's largest beer company, boasting over 500 brands, revenue of $46 billion, and a... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting; Investor Relations; Beverage Industry; Corporate Finance; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Health Pandemics; Analytics and Data Science; Digital Transformation; Crisis Management; Business Model; Food and Beverage Industry; United States; Europe

Citation

Purchase

June 2018 (Revised October 2018)
Teaching Note

Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A), (B), and (C)

By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty

Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 218-095, 218-096, and 218-116. View Details

Citation

Purchase

June 2012 (Revised March 2014)
Case

Best Buy in Crisis

By: John R. Wells and Galen Danskin

In June 2012, Best Buy was in crisis. In 1996, Best Buy overtook Circuit City as the world's leader in consumer electronics retailing; however, 18 years later, Best Buy now found this position threatened. With $51 billion in revenues, it was still the biggest CE... View Details

Keywords: Change Management; Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Competitive Strategy; Ethics; Management Teams; Consumer Products Industry; Electronics Industry; Retail Industry

Citation

Educators

Purchase

2016
Working Paper

The Impact of Supplier Inventory Service Level on Retailer Demand

By: Nathan Craig, Nicole DeHoratius and Ananth Raman

To set inventory service levels, suppliers must understand how changes in inventory service level affect demand. We build on prior research, which uses analytical models and laboratory experiments to study the impact of a supplier's service level on demand from... View Details

Keywords: Customer Satisfaction; Forecasting and Prediction; Learning; Consumer Behavior; Service Delivery; Performance Expectations; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Service Industry

Citation

SSRN

Read Now

Portrait Project

Monica Sharma

inquire into all things. I will spend my life continuing to be inventive and inspired by the mysteries of the world. In the end, the best way to predict the future is to build it yourself. View Details

21 Jul 2009
First Look

First Look: July 21

9001 Quality Management System standard predicts changes in organizational outcomes such as profits. This is the first large-scale study to explore how employee outcomes such as employment, earnings, and health and safety change when... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

June 2012
Article

Consequence-Cause Matching: Looking to the Consequences of Events to Infer Their Causes

By: Robyn A. LeBoeuf and Michael I. Norton

We show that people non-normatively infer event causes from event consequences. For example, people inferred that a product failure (computer crash) had a large cause (widespread computer virus) if it had a large consequence (job loss), but that the identical failure... View Details

Keywords: Causal Inference; Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Failure

18 Oct 2004
Research & Ideas

The Bias of Wall Street Analysts

the commissions. After deregulation of rates in 1975, commission rates predictably dropped, and the brokerages were left with a fixed cost of sell-side analyst operations and a shortfall in revenues to fund these activities. Clearly, the... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen; Financial Services

05 Feb 2008
First Look

First Look: February 5, 2008

products can get from a hit's popularity. Economic Links and Predictable Returns Authors:Lauren Cohen and Andrea Frazzini Publication:Journal of Finance (forthcoming) Abstract This paper finds evidence of return View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

01 Jun 2014
News

Innovation: An Orchestra of One

technology that would adapt to my playing style in real time instead of forcing me to fit a recording." Chao was right. She found former concert oboist Christopher Raphael, now chair of computer science at Indiana University, who was using View Details

Keywords: Julia Hanna; Arts, Entertainment

Student-Profile

Do Yoon Kim

of this was theoretical work on the convergence of beliefs, wisdom of the crowds, and predicting collective action, but it was exciting theoretical work! This is what initially got me interested in networks of people, especially how... View Details

Web

Marketing AI Guidelines | About

Marketing AI Guidelines Context Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a significant impact on the marketing discipline in several areas including content creation, image generation/modification, chatbots, marketing automation, personalization, View Details

01 Mar 2008
News

India's Chidambaram Says Nation Is "Poor Rich"

poverty by the country’s growing economy, Palaniappan Chidambaram (MBA ’68), India’s finance minister, predicted in a speech at HBS in October. However, India remains a land of vexing contrasts and contradictions, with enormous inequities... View Details

Keywords: Administration of Economic Programs; Government

09 Jan 2006
What Do You Think?

Should More Transparency Extend to Education for Management?

students. Manohar Kamath put it this way: "We need to extend transparency. If grades do not predict work performance, then there is a problem in the design of management education." Michael Robbins wrote, "We need schools... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Education

01 Mar 2010
News

Noted & Quoted

afford to pay their mortgages but walk away from the property instead. (Boston Globe, December 22, 2009) “How predictable was it five years ago that probably well over 90 percent of pictures are taken off smartphones?” — Jim Balsillie... View Details

Keywords: Educational Services; Information

April 2005
Article

The Geography of Equity Analysis

By: Christopher J. Malloy

I provide evidence that geographically proximate analysts are more accurate than other analysts. Stock returns immediately surrounding forecast revisions suggest that local analysts impact prices more than other analysts. These effects are strongest for firms located... View Details

Keywords: Geographic Location; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Performance; Equity; Information; Prejudice and Bias; Agency Theory

Citation

Find at Harvard

Read Now

June 2000 (Revised March 2002)
Teaching Note

Iridium LLC TN

By: Benjamin C. Esty

Teaching Note for (9-200-039). View Details

Keywords: Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Information Technology; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Strategy; Performance; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Demand and Consumers; Communications Industry

Citation

Purchase

April 1998
Case

Jim Sharpe: Extrusion Technology, Inc. (C)

By: H. Kent Bowen and Barbara Feinberg

Jim Sharpe, president of Extrusion Technology, describes the first five years at the aluminum extrusion company he purchased. He begins with day one as he introduced himself to the employees in 1987 and assured them of the company's continuity. Over the next two years,... View Details

Keywords: Acquisition; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost Management; Profit; Innovation Strategy; Marketing Strategy; Problems and Challenges; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Mining Industry

Citation

Educators

Purchase