Risk and Uncertainty - Publications - Faculty & Research - Harvard Business School

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1977
Working Paper

Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance

By: Jerry R. Green

A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of... View Details

Keywords: Social Insurance; Econometric Models; Public Sector; Government Administration; Policy; Human Needs; Social Issues; Risk and Uncertainty

2021
Working Paper

When Does Uncertainty Matter?: Understanding the Impact of Predictive Uncertainty in ML Assisted Decision Making

By: Sean McGrath, Parth Mehta, Alexandra Zytek, Isaac Lage and Himabindu Lakkaraju

01 Dec 1985
Conference Presentation

Risk Sharing and Corporate Pension Policy

By: André Perold and Jay O. Light

Keywords: Compensation and Benefits; Risk Management

2007
Article

Reputational Risk

By: Robert G. Eccles Jr. and Scott C. Newquist

Keywords: Reputation; Risk and Uncertainty

2010
Chapter

Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability: A New Framework

By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie

This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details

Keywords: Financial Statements; Economy; Financial Condition; Central Banking; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Management Practices and Processes; Risk Management; Measurement and Metrics; System Shocks

7 Mar 2013
Keynote Speech

Positive Risk and the Innovation Commons

By: Carliss Y. Baldwin

Keywords: Innovation ＆ Entrepreneurship; Entrepreneurship; Innovation and Invention

March 2003 (Revised August 2004)
Background Note

Note on Risk Arbitrage

Describes the investment strategy of risk arbitrage. View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Strategy; Investment

2002
Working Paper

Risk Aversion and Apparently Persuasive Advertising

By: Bharat Anand and Ron Shachar

2007
Working Paper

New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie

This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details

Keywords: Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Central Banking; Risk Management

February 2019 (Revised December 2019)
Case

Innovate Safely—CT Scanners and Radiation Risk

By: Hong Luo and Alberto Galasso

20 Mar 2018
Working Paper Summaries

Countering Political Risk in Colonial India: German Multinationals and the Challenge of Internment (1914–1947)

Keywords: by Christina Lubinski, Valeria Giacomin, and Klara Schnitzer

30 Nov 2018
Conference Presentation

Italian Banks and the Italy Risk

By: Dante Roscini

2016
Working Paper

The Effect of Shareholder Litigation Risk on the Information Environment: The Case of Cross-Listed Firms

By: Anywhere Sikochi

I document the causal link between shareholder litigation risk and cross-listed firms’ information environment by exploiting a quasi-natural experiment in the form of a reduction in litigation risk resulting from the 2010 Supreme Court ruling in Morrison v. National... View Details

Keywords: Cross-listing; Information Environment; Shareholder Litigation Risk; D＆O Insurance; Risk and Uncertainty; Lawsuits and Litigation; Business and Shareholder Relations

2017
Working Paper

The Need for Speed: Effects of Uncertainty Reduction in Patenting

By: Mike Horia Teodorescu

Patents are essential in commerce to establish property rights for ideas and to give equal protection to firms that develop new technologies. Young firms especially depend on the protection of intellectual property to bring a product from concept to market. However,... View Details

Keywords: Startups; Natural Language Processing; Machine Learning; Patents; Business Startups; Risk and Uncertainty; Outcome or Result; Green Technology Industry

12 May 2020
Working Paper Summaries

Elusive Safety: The New Geography of Capital Flows and Risk

Keywords: by Laura Alfaro, Ester Faia, Ruth Judson, and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

17 Dec 2001
Research & Ideas

Risks and Rewards of the Intrapreneur

Your company is forming an intrapreneurial venture, and has asked you to join the start-up team. Is this a career pick-me-up, or occupational suicide? It could be either one, and employees should carefully... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

December 16, 2009
Guest Column

Risks and Rewards of Celebrity Endorsements

By: Anita Elberse

July 1975
Article

An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty

By: Robert C. Merton

Keywords: Theory; Growth and Development; Risk and Uncertainty

Find at Harvard

1998
Book

Islamic Law and Finance: Religion, Risk and Return

By: Frank Vogel and Samuel Hayes

Find at Harvard

July 1997 (Revised September 1997)
Case

USAA: Catastrophe Risk Financing

By: Kenneth A. Froot and Mark Seasholes

Describes the first major risk financing using catastrophe bonds. Provides a basis for discussing the securitization of insurance risks. View Details

Keywords: Financial Management; Insurance; Capital Markets; Natural Disasters; Risk Management; Bonds; Insurance Industry; Financial Services Industry; United States

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