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Publications

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  • 19 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 18

analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors and which are considered most important. We use survey data from 967 analysts ranking 837 companies to judge how their forecasts... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Jun 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=52718 Relative Performance Benchmarks: Do Boards Follow the Informativeness Principle? By: Ma, Paul, Jee Eun Shin, and Charles C.Y. Wang Abstract—Relative TSR (rTSR) is increasingly used by market participants to judge and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Apr 2008
  • First Look

First Look: April 15, 2008

specializing in building and managing prisons. Students must assess the firm's strategy and risks, evaluate key financial reports, derive forecasts of future performance, and use these View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 21 Jan 2009
  • First Look

First Look: January 21, 2009

misperceptions: People predict that they will behave more ethically than they actually do, and when evaluating past (un)ethical behavior, they believe they behaved more ethically than they actually did. We use the "want/should"... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 22, 2007

evaluate their theory by looking at the design evolution of two software product platforms through the modeling lens of design structure matrices (DSMs) and design rule theory. Our analysis shows that DSM models and options theory can... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 16 Jul 2019
  • News

The Making of a Movement

original donation total. With a second event complete, the two business school graduates at the helm were able to do a deep-dive analysis of their concept and forecast its future. From what they saw, it was positioned to grow rapidly in... View Details
Keywords: Greg Forbes Siegman; cancer
  • 27 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 27, 2007

Man, and operates ships that travel around the world. In analyzing the choices he faces, students must consider how the initial capitalization of Navigator contributed to its financial distress, evaluate several restructuring plans from a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Mar 2005
  • News

Venture Capital’s Comeback

employed more than 10 million American workers and generated $1.8 trillion in revenue in 2003, concluded a study by Global Insight, a leading economic and forecasting firm. HBS professors Paul Gompers and Josh Lerner, in their 2001 book,... View Details
Keywords: Roger Thompson; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance
  • 28 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 28

  Publications August 2013 Princeton University Press Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters By: Friedman, Walter A. Abstract—The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 8

to accomplish the following: mine your sales data to identify "homerun" products you're missing; reinvent your forecasting and pricing strategies; build end-to-end agility into your supply chain; establish incentives that align... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 05 Nov 2007
  • Research & Ideas

The Changing Face of American Innovation

with a complete characterization of these mechanisms can we begin to forecast future implications with accuracy. We can nevertheless agree that attracting and retaining these ethnic researchers is an important facet for maintaining U.S.... View Details
Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Technology
  • 20 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 20, 2007

(forthcoming) Abstract Abarbanell and Lehavy (2006) examine the effect of distributional properties of earnings and forecast data used by researchers who investigate 'Street' earnings. They perform a large number of analyses, and... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

Behavioral Decision Making The Impact of 'Display-Set' Options on Decision-Making By: Karmarkar, Uma R. Abstract—The way a choice set is constructed can have a significant influence on how individuals perceive and evaluate their options... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Oct 2015
  • First Look

October 13, 2015

"dynamic capabilities" triggered a flood of debate and discussion on the topic. Because strategy is a normative field, its theories must be evaluated in terms of how well they inform and impact practice. Judging by this... View Details
  • 14 Aug 2007
  • First Look

First Look: August 14, 2007

and practice of modern contingent claims analysis (CCA). The paper provides a new framework for adapting the CCA model to the sovereign balance sheet in a way that can help forecast credit spreads and View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 29 May 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 29, 2018

with its key theoretical arguments. This inconsistent reception warrants a thoughtful evaluation of research on disruptive innovation within management and strategy. We trace the theory’s intellectual history, noting how its core... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 15 Dec 2009
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 15, 2009

diminished focus on losses and heightened focus on gains when policies are evaluated in bundled form. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-147.pdf   PublicationsAssessing the Cost and Benefits of Brokers: A Preliminary... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Mar 2007
  • News

The Winning Season

pretty businesslike in your judgments,” he says, noting that even a backup player generally earns an annual salary of $1 to $2 million. “The financial skills I learned at HBS have been extremely useful in that sense. You need to be able to View Details
Keywords: Julia Hanna; Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries; Arts, Entertainment
  • 02 Feb 2016
  • First Look

February 2, 2016

international equity markets, with a highly significant average slope coefficient of 1.05. In sharp contrast, standard factor-model-based proxies fail to exhibit predictive power internationally. We show analytically and empirically that the importance of ROE in View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 11

of bank leverage and risk exposures contributes to a form of systemic risk. We compute bank exposures to system-wide deleveraging, as well as the spillover of a single bank's deleveraging onto other banks. We show how our model can be used to View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne