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  • All HBS Web  (8,430)
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  • All HBS Web  (8,430)
    • People  (24)
    • News  (2,272)
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  • 2018
  • Working Paper

Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts: When Is It Appropriate to Extremize or Anti-Extremize?

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose and Robert L. Winkler
Many organizations face critical decisions that rely on forecasts of binary events. In these situations, organizations often gather forecasts from multiple experts or models and average those forecasts to produce a single aggregate forecast. Because the average... View Details
Keywords: Forecast Aggregation; Linear Opinion Pool; Generalized Additive Model; Generalized Linear Model; Stacking.; Forecasting and Prediction
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose, and Robert L. Winkler. "Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts: When Is It Appropriate to Extremize or Anti-Extremize?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-041, October 2018.
  • 2007
  • Working Paper

I'll Have the Ice Cream Soon and the Vegetables Later: A Study of Online Grocery Purchases and Order Lead Time

By: Katherine L. Milkman, Todd Rogers and Max H. Bazerman
How do decisions made for tomorrow or two days in the future differ from decisions made for several days in the future? We use data from an online grocer to address this question. In general, we find that as the delay between order completion and delivery increases,... View Details
Keywords: Internet and the Web; Food; Decision Choices and Conditions; Conflict and Resolution; Emotions; Cognition and Thinking; Retail Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
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Milkman, Katherine L., Todd Rogers, and Max H. Bazerman. "I'll Have the Ice Cream Soon and the Vegetables Later: A Study of Online Grocery Purchases and Order Lead Time." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-078, April 2007. (Revised December 2007, May 2008, September 2008.)
  • January 2025
  • Case

North Forty: Managing Liquidity Through Change

By: Luis M. Viceira and Brad Towne
This case explores the interaction between spending and investment decisions at a family office, specifically the family office of Jeff and Tricia Raikes, with special emphasis on the management of spending, portfolio investments, and asset liquidity in the presence of... View Details
Keywords: Family Office; Forecasting and Prediction; Asset Management; Financial Liquidity; Financial Strategy; Investment Portfolio; Spending; Planning
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Viceira, Luis M., and Brad Towne. "North Forty: Managing Liquidity Through Change." Harvard Business School Case 225-061, January 2025.
  • October 1994
  • Case

Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corporation (Abridged)

By: Steven C. Wheelwright
Describes a decision facing Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corp. in June 1985: whether to continue to compete in the silicon steel business in the face of stiff competition from imports. Includes a complete description of the company's productivity improvement systems and... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Business Strategy; Performance Improvement; Management Systems; Technology; Steel Industry
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Wheelwright, Steven C. "Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corporation (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 695-023, October 1994.
  • Program

Investment Management Workshop

changes could affect your strategies and your business. You will emerge better prepared to navigate the industry landscape, make optimal investments, manage risk, and create value. Read More Gain strategic insight into all segments of the... View Details
  • 27 Sep 2011
  • Working Paper Summaries

Salience in Quality Disclosure: Evidence from the U.S. News College Rankings

Keywords: by Michael Luca & Jonathan Smith; Education; Information; Publishing
  • May 1980
  • Case

Kendall-Vetmat

Discusses the role of market research in a product manager's decision process. Traces the development of market research information for the introduction of a new product, and presents a manager's dilemma of receiving market data that are inconsistent with expectations... View Details
Keywords: Decision Making; Product Launch; Product Development
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Reibstein, David J. "Kendall-Vetmat." Harvard Business School Case 580-148, May 1980.
  • 2008
  • Working Paper

Rethinking the Role of History in Law & Economics: The Case of the Federal Radio Commission in 1927

By: David A. Moss and Jonathan B. Lackow
In the study of law and economics, there is a danger that historical inferences from theory may infect historical tests of theory.  It is imperative, therefore, that historical tests always involve a vigorous search not only for confirming evidence, but for... View Details
Keywords: Economic History; Decision Choices and Conditions; Government Legislation; Law; Media and Broadcasting Industry
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Moss, David A., and Jonathan B. Lackow. "Rethinking the Role of History in Law & Economics: The Case of the Federal Radio Commission in 1927." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-008, August 2008.
  • 01 Apr 2020
  • Blog Post

The Product Design Sprint - 5 Things I Learned in Launch Lab 1

Ventures, who invented the Sprint process, and popularized it in the book of the same name.  Jake ran the first two days, then handed over to faculty co-chairs Alan MacCormack and Russ Wilcox.  The pressure was on the teams to make... View Details
  • December 1998 (Revised January 2004)
  • Case

Singulus

By: Walter Kuemmerle and Chad S Ellis
Describes Singulus, the compact disk metallizer business of Leybold AG, a large German company, which has been put up for sale. In April 1995, buyout firm Schroder Ventures has to decide whether to acquire the business. The investment decision is complicated by a... View Details
Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Decision Choices and Conditions; Manufacturing Industry; Germany
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Kuemmerle, Walter, and Chad S Ellis. "Singulus." Harvard Business School Case 899-074, December 1998. (Revised January 2004.)
  • November 1999
  • Case

Adam Opel AG (A) and (B) (Condensed)

By: Joseph L. Bower
Focuses on the strategic issue of how to approach the East German market after the Berlin wall came down in late 1989. Within an unusually rich economic-political and organizational-personal context, the chairman of GM's German subsidiary has to respond to Volkswagen's... View Details
Keywords: Adoption; Decision Choices and Conditions; Situation or Environment; Risk and Uncertainty; Auto Industry; Germany
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Bower, Joseph L. "Adam Opel AG (A) and (B) (Condensed)." Harvard Business School Case 300-067, November 1999.
  • Web

Capstone | MBA

that will advance new drug discoveries and therapeutics with those equally passionate about changing the business of healthcare for the better. 2. The practicalities of business decisions meet the practicalities of hard science. Students... View Details
  • 20 Aug 2009
  • Working Paper Summaries

A Decision-Making Perspective to Negotiation: A Review of the Past and a Look into the Future

Keywords: by Chia-Jung Tsay & Max H. Bazerman
  • March 2013
  • Article

From Social Control to Financial Economics: The Linked Ecologies of Economics and Business in Twentieth Century America

By: Marion Fourcade and Rakesh Khurana
This article draws on historical material to examine the co-evolution of economic science and business education over the course of the twentieth century, showing that fields evolve not only through internal struggles but also through struggles taking place in adjacent... View Details
Keywords: Professions; Disciplines; Neo-Liberalism; Education; Economics; Finance; Society; United States
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Fourcade, Marion, and Rakesh Khurana. "From Social Control to Financial Economics: The Linked Ecologies of Economics and Business in Twentieth Century America." Theory and Society 42, no. 2 (March 2013): 121–159.

    Veil-of-Ignorance Reasoning Favors the Greater Good

    The “veil of ignorance” is a moral reasoning device designed to promote impartial decision-making by denying decision-makers access to potentially biasing information about who will benefit most or least from the available options. Veil-of-ignorance reasoning was... View Details

    • 15 Nov 2017
    • Research & Ideas

    How Does a Social Startup Decide to Commercialize? It May Depend on the Founder's Gender

    how does the founder of a social venture decide to create a hybrid rather than a traditional charity? New research suggests the decision has a lot to do with the founder’s gender. "in communities where female leadership of... View Details
    Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
    • 03 Mar 2008
    • First Look

    First Look: March 4, 2008

    Information, and Financial Education Programs Author:Annamaria Lusardi Abstract Individuals are increasingly in charge of their own financial security after retirement. But how well-equipped are individuals to make saving decisions; do... View Details
    Keywords: Martha Lagace
    • March 2003 (Revised November 2009)
    • Case

    Hudson Manufacturing Company

    By: Paul A. Gompers and Vanessa del Valle Broussard
    Concerns the decision by Brett Keith and Owen Colligan to purchase Hudson Manufacturing, a maker of heaters and air filtration units for the military. Keith and Colligan have organized a search fund and identified Hudson as a potential buyout. The decline in the... View Details
    Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment; Pollutants; Industrial Products Industry; Manufacturing Industry
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    Gompers, Paul A., and Vanessa del Valle Broussard. "Hudson Manufacturing Company." Harvard Business School Case 203-064, March 2003. (Revised November 2009.)
    • Teaching Interest

    Management of Technology: Strategies for the Digital Economy

    Companies make decisions daily to compete in the digital age; some are laying strategic building blocks for the future while others are toiling away on tactical distractions or leading their organizations headlong down the path to obsolescence. The advent of digital... View Details
    Keywords: Strategy; Technology Industry
    • September 2020
    • Case

    True North: Pioneering Analytics, Algorithms and Artificial Intelligence

    By: Karim R. Lakhani, Kairavi Dey and Hannah Mayer
    True North was a private equity fund that specialized in the growth and buyout of mid-market, India-centric companies. The leadership team initially believed that technology was not core to traditional businesses and steered clear of new age technology-oriented... View Details
    Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Information Technology; Management; Operations; Organizations; Leadership; Innovation and Invention; Business Model; AI and Machine Learning; Computer Industry; Technology Industry
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    Lakhani, Karim R., Kairavi Dey, and Hannah Mayer. "True North: Pioneering Analytics, Algorithms and Artificial Intelligence." Harvard Business School Case 621-042, September 2020.
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