probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

13 Jul 2010
First Look

First Look: July 13

associated with a decrease in non-performing loans and an increase in interest rate spreads, suggesting that foreign concerns bought domestic banks that had been making loans with low interest rates to parties that had a low probability... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

05 Nov 2009
Research & Ideas

A Market for Human Cadavers in All but Name?

cadavers. Such concern is also probably heightened by U.S. historical accounts of grave robbing (Goodwin 2006; Sappol 2002; Shultz 1991). Together these elements contribute to fears of "body-snatching." C. A Market in All but... View Details

Keywords: by Michel Anteby; Health

19 Nov 2007
Lessons from the Classroom

Teaching The Moral Leader

through her decision to publish. So it probably seemed like a no-brainer to send 2 fairly junior reporters to follow up on the break-in at the Democratic National Committee headquarters at the Watergate complex in Washington. But that... View Details

Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Education

02 Aug 2018
News

Can Marketing Help Halt the Heroin Epidemic?

lot of these things in place. Hanna: And you've been involved in this work for about 10 years now, which is quite a bit longer than you probably anticipated. Langford: That's right. Hanna: Why do you do it? Langford: Well, it's a good... View Details

04 Jun 2025
News

Slice of Life

up I'm even better. And I find great satisfaction in pushing myself to make something perfect knowing that I'm probably never going to make a pizza that I'm perfectly satisfied with, but the joy is in that journey. DM: You are a business... View Details

05 Mar 2020
News

Green Light

problem-solving, so you’re probably going to be able to see two or three solutions around something in a way that other people don’t.” The other benefit, the neurologist noted, was creativity. While Lo never saw herself as a creative... View Details

Keywords: Dan Morrell; photographed by Scott Nobles

31 Jul 2019
News

Skydeck Live: The Rise of the FOMO Sapiens

the payoffs are, and then the probability of each of the payoffs. But in this case, you talked about the information asymmetry, and it's very clear in the social media context, the fear of missing out totally miscalculates what the... View Details

12 Feb 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

retailers’ margins and even increase conversion. We demonstrate using a simple theoretical framework that inducing consumers to inspect higher-priced items first may simultaneously increase the average price of items sold and the overall expected purchase View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

20 Mar 2018
First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, March 20, 2018

aims to maximize revenue from multiple products with limited inventory constraints. As common in practice, the retailer does not know the consumer's purchase probability at each price and must learn the mean demand from sales data. We... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

08 Dec 2003
Research & Ideas

Is That Really Your Best Offer?

toss—and the pressure of real-world negotiations probably makes our actual performance even worse. Sometimes we don't realize we're being conned; other times, we wrongly suspect people who are telling us nothing but the truth.... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Wheeler

16 Sep 2008
First Look

First Look: September 16, 2008

increase in the probability of a reversal in preferences (from a baseline rate of 12%) ensues if the first of two sequentially rented movies has more should and fewer want characteristics than the second film. Finally, we find that as the... View Details

06 Feb 2025
News

How to Judge Your Next Job

and autonomy that comes with that, all the motivational pieces. And when I say that some of you out there are probably thinking, well, that's like PTSD. Actually all I feel is the anxiety of not knowing how to do that. We haven't trained... View Details

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Year in Review | Annual Report 2024

City of Boston Mayor’s Office, Harlem Children’s Zone, Equal Justice Initiative, Mercy Corps, and the Whitney Museum of American Art. Leadership Fellows Press Release 2024–2025 Leadership Fellows Audrey Atencio Draper Richards Kaplan Foundation Nabig Chaudhry View Details

19 Jun 2017
News

Can Neuroscience Find You the Perfect Job?

them. And so I sort of approached the investment process with some degree of skepticism in terms of how interested they would be, and it was a very fast turnaround. They basically decided in a day to invest in our seed round, and it was-- that was View Details

03 Mar 2017
News

Big Blue’s Big Bet

treated accordingly, his swelling decreased, and soon after Kevin was discharged. For a couple of years now, IBMers have told this story as a way to highlight Watson’s strengths, that if Watson were utilized it would have shown the doctors the View Details

Keywords: Paul Kix; illustrations by Dan Page

16 Jul 2013
First Look

First Look: July 16

Leadership Lessons from the Chilean Mine Rescue By: Rashid, Faaiza, Amy C. Edmondson, and Herman B. Leonard Abstract—Three years ago, when a cave-in at the San José mine in Chile trapped 33 men under 700,000 metric tons of rock, experts estimated the View Details

Keywords: Anna Secino

30 Nov 2009
Research & Ideas

Tracks of My Tears: Reconstructing Digital Music

preference to quality over quantity and designing smaller, more consistent bundles may be beneficial. In general terms, the same probably applies to other industries where digital channels could lead to an unbundling of products, such as... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Music

07 Aug 2000
Research & Ideas

The Business of Biotech

New Year's Eve 1999 gave revelers a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for celebration—the exhilarating thrill of ringing in a year that's always had an aura of science fiction mystery. When the champagne corks popped at midnight, however, most merrymakers View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Biotechnology; Health; Technology

22 Nov 2022
Blog Post

Alumni Leaders on Decarbonization Strategies for Combatting Climate Change

opportunities. While most of the IRA takes the form of incentives and tax credits, there are also some sticks and penalties in it. The most important one is probably the first-of-its-kind fee on methane emissions from the oil and gas... View Details

01 Jun 1999
News

Where Main Street Meets Wall Street

probably would have cost a consumer thousands of dollars." Into the Future With so much of Wall Street inside personal computers, consumer empowerment-and the democratization of financial services-has reached a significant new level. The... View Details

Keywords: Garry Emmons

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