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      • Faculty Publications  (171)

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      • January 2009
      • Article

      Multinationals as Arbitrageurs? The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment

      By: Malcolm Baker, C. Fritz Foley and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Empirical evidence of imperfect integration across world capital markets suggests a role for cross-border arbitrage by multinationals. Consistent with multinational arbitrage as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) patterns, we find that FDI flows increase... View Details
      Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Valuation; Capital Markets; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Cost; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital; Stocks; Integration
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      Baker, Malcolm, C. Fritz Foley, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Multinationals as Arbitrageurs? The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment." Review of Financial Studies 22, no. 1 (January 2009): 337–369.
      • June 2008
      • Case

      Threadless: The Business of Community

      By: Karim R. Lakhani and Zahra Kanji
      Threadless.com, the online, Chicago-based t-shirt company, was not your typical fashion apparel company. The company, run by Jake Nickell, Jacob DeHart, and Jeffrey Kalmikoff, turned the fashion business on its head by enabling anyone to submit designs for t-shirts and... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Business Startups; Innovation and Invention; Product Design; Partners and Partnerships; Social and Collaborative Networks; Apparel and Accessories Industry
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      Lakhani, Karim R., and Zahra Kanji. "Threadless: The Business of Community." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Case 608-707, June 2008.
      • 2008
      • Chapter

      Identity Negotiation Processes Amidst Diversity: Understanding the Influence of Social Identity and Status Differences

      By: Jeffrey T. Polzer and Heather M. Caruso
      We integrate an identity negotiation framework with research on diversity, social identity theory, and status differences. This integration reveals the distinct advantages and challenges that high and low status people face when they engage in identity negotiation... View Details
      Keywords: Status and Position; Prejudice and Bias; Groups and Teams; Organizational Culture; Identity; Diversity; Power and Influence
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      Polzer, Jeffrey T., and Heather M. Caruso. "Identity Negotiation Processes Amidst Diversity: Understanding the Influence of Social Identity and Status Differences." In Diversity at Work, edited by Arthur P. Brief. United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, 2008.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Real investors and markets are too complicated to be neatly summarized by a few selected biases and trading frictions. The "top down" approach to behavioral finance focuses on the measurement of reduced form, aggregate sentiment and traces its effects to stock returns.... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Markets; Behavioral Finance; Stocks
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13189, June 2007.
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Investment Return; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Volatility; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Spring 2007): 129–151.
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1645–1680.
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by studying... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Return; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10449, April 2005. (First draft in 2003.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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      Baker, Malcolm, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10685, February 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • June 2004
      • Article

      A Catering Theory of Dividends

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We propose that the decision to pay dividends is driven by prevailing investor demand for dividend payers. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers, and by not paying when investors prefer nonpayers. To test... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Catering; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "A Catering Theory of Dividends." Journal of Finance 59, no. 3 (June 2004): 1125–1165.
      • February 2003
      • Background Note

      Leading Teams

      By: Jeffrey T. Polzer
      This note which describes the architecture and processes that characterize effective teams, begins by detailing the steps involved in designing a team, from diagnosing the complexity, interdependence, and objectives of the task to harnessing the key resources teams... View Details
      Keywords: Communication; Decision Making; Leadership; Managerial Roles; Performance Effectiveness; Groups and Teams
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      Polzer, Jeffrey T. "Leading Teams." Harvard Business School Background Note 403-094, February 2003.
      • January 2003 (Revised March 2004)
      • Case

      Army Crew Team, The

      By: Scott A. Snook and Jeffrey T. Polzer
      The coach of the varsity Army crew team at West Point assembled his top eight rowers into the first crew team and the second tier of rowers into the second team using objective data on individual performance. As the second boat continually beat the first boat in races,... View Details
      Keywords: Groups and Teams; Performance; New York (state, US)
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      Snook, Scott A., and Jeffrey T. Polzer. "Army Crew Team, The." Harvard Business School Case 403-131, January 2003. (Revised March 2004.)
      • August 2002
      • Other Article

      The Determinants of National Innovative Capacity

      By: Jeffrey L. Furman, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern
      Motivated by differences in innovation intensity across advanced economies, this paper presents an empirical examination of the determinants of country-level production of international patents. We introduce a novel framework based on the concept of national innovative... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Growth and Development
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      Furman, Jeffrey L., Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern. "The Determinants of National Innovative Capacity." Research Policy 31, no. 6 (August 2002): 899–933.
      • February 2001 (Revised November 2009)
      • Case

      Amazon.com (C)

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport
      At the end of 1998, Amazon.com founder and CEO Jeff Bezos ponders the next moves for his company. Having secured the leadership position as the leading online book seller in the United States, Amazon.com has now moved into the product categories of CDs and videos by... View Details
      Keywords: Expansion; Internet and the Web; Business Growth and Maturation; Books; Growth and Development Strategy; Retail Industry; Germany; United Kingdom; United States
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., and Dickson Louie. "Amazon.com (C)." Harvard Business School Case 901-021, February 2001. (Revised November 2009.)
      • 2000
      • Working Paper

      The Drivers of National Innovative Capacity: Implications for Spain and Latin America

      By: Michael E. Porter, Jeffrey L. Furman and Scott Stern
      In the past decade, both academic scholars and policymakers have focused increasing attention on the central role that technological innovation plays in economic growth. There are at least two distinct reasons for this increased interest. First, though economists have... View Details
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      Porter, Michael E., Jeffrey L. Furman, and Scott Stern. "The Drivers of National Innovative Capacity: Implications for Spain and Latin America." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 01-004, May 2000.
      • 2000
      • Other Article

      Understanding the Drivers of National Innovative Capacity

      By: Jeffrey L. Furman, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern
      Motivated by R&D productivity differences across countries, we evaluate the determinants of country-level international patenting. Our framework is built on the concept of national innovative capacity. Our results suggest that (a) patenting is well-characterized... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Growth and Development
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      Furman, Jeffrey L., Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern. "Understanding the Drivers of National Innovative Capacity." Academy of Management Best Paper Proceedings (2000).
      • August 1999 (Revised October 1999)
      • Case

      RCA Records: The Digital Revolution

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport, Carin-Isabel Knoop and Cate Reavis
      In 1995, Bertelsmann-owned RCA Records was considered a "tired and old" record label. By 1999, the company represented a number of the "hottest" acts in the music industry. Nevertheless, the company's position (as well as that of the entire music industry) was under... View Details
      Keywords: Brands and Branding; Business Model; Competition; Corporate Strategy; Internet and the Web; Change Management; Marketing Strategy; Music Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; United States
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Cate Reavis. "RCA Records: The Digital Revolution." Harvard Business School Case 800-014, August 1999. (Revised October 1999.)
      • June 1998 (Revised January 2000)
      • Case

      Egghead.com

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport
      Egghead Software, an entrenched traditional chain retailer specializing in computer software and peripherals, had established a nationwide chain of mall and shopping center stores and a well-organized national brand. In early 1998, management made a highly unusual, and... View Details
      Keywords: Organizational Change and Adaptation; Digital Platforms; Internet and the Web; Applications and Software; Information Technology Industry; Retail Industry
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., Jeremy Dann, and Robert C Schmults. "Egghead.com." Harvard Business School Case 898-283, June 1998. (Revised January 2000.)
      • April 1998
      • Case

      Advent Israel Venture Capital Program, The

      By: Paul A. Gompers and Jeffrey M. Anapolsky
      Explores the decision by Advent, an international venture capital firm, to start a fund focused on Israel. Advent must decide who to hire to run the fund and how much money to raise. View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Global Strategy; Recruitment; Expansion; Business Strategy; Financial Services Industry; Israel
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      Gompers, Paul A., and Jeffrey M. Anapolsky. "Advent Israel Venture Capital Program, The ." Harvard Business School Case 298-072, April 1998.
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