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      • March 2008
      • Course Overview Note

      Dynamic Markets

      By: Joshua D. Coval and Erik Stafford
      The Dynamic Markets course at Harvard Business School is organized around the hands-on application of financial decision making in a wide variety of capital market settings. The course relies heavily on in-class simulations of a range of market settings where students... View Details
      Keywords: Value Creation; Decision Making; Capital Markets; Competitive Strategy; Profit; Applications and Software; Information; Strategy; Price; Outcome or Result; Curriculum and Courses; Theory
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      Coval, Joshua D., and Erik Stafford. "Dynamic Markets." Harvard Business School Course Overview Note 208-143, March 2008.​
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Convertible Arbitrage

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand how convertible bonds can be viewed as a portfolio of simpler securities and to introduce an over-the-counter market. The convertible bonds that are available during the simulation are at-the-money and in-the-money so that... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Investment Portfolio; Price; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Convertible Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-116, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Equity Derivatives

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of these simulations is to understand the dynamic replication technique behind the Black-Scholes/Merton options model. The simulations focus on a single stock and a risk-free discount bond, which are used to replicate a contingent payoff. The underlying stock... View Details
      Keywords: Equity; Bonds; Stocks; Price; Risk Management
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Derivatives." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-117, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Equity Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the reliance of option values on volatility. When an investor trades an option, they are essentially trading volatility. Therefore, much of the focus in this lesson is on forecasting volatility. Students are able to use two... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Stock Options; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Value
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-118, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Index Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the patterns in index option prices that are not predicted by the Black-Scholes model. In particular, the simulation focuses on two properties of options prices. First, at-the-money implied volatilities from index options... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Stock Options; Investment; Price; Profit; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Index Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-119, January 2008.
      • 2008
      • Simulation

      Everest Leadership and Team Simulation

      By: Michael A. Roberto and Amy C. Edmondson
      This item is currently not available for purchase on this site. To order, please contact Customer Service - (800) 545-7685 or (617) 783-7600. **REVISED AUGUST 2009!** This web-based simulation uses the dramatic context of a Mount Everest expedition to reinforce student... View Details
      Keywords: Cooperation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Groups and Teams; Knowledge Sharing; Leadership
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      Roberto, Michael A., and Amy C. Edmondson. "Everest Leadership and Team Simulation." Simulation and Teaching Note. Boston: Harvard Business School Publishing, 2008. Electronic. (Product number 2650.)
      • 2008
      • Simulation

      Pricing Simulation: Universal Car Rental

      By: John T. Gourville
      This web-based simulation presents an engaging context in which students develop their knowledge of pricing by managing a rental car operation (Universal) in Florida and improve regional performance by developing a pricing strategy. The simulation involves three... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Consumer Behavior; Price; Profit; Renting or Rental; Auto Industry; Service Industry; Miami; Orlando; Tampa
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      Gourville, John T. "Pricing Simulation: Universal Car Rental." Simulation and Teaching Note. Harvard Business School Publishing, 2008. Electronic.
      • November 2007
      • Background Note

      Asset Allocation I

      By: Joshua D. Coval, Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zack Page and Paulo Passoni
      The goal of these simulations is to understand the mathematics of mean-variance optimization and the equilibrium pricing of risk if all investors use this rule with common information sets. Simulation A focuses on five to 10 years of monthly sector returns that are... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Capital; Investment Return; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua D., Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zack Page, and Paulo Passoni. "Asset Allocation I." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-086, November 2007.
      • November 2007
      • Background Note

      Event Arbitrage

      By: Joshua D. Coval and Erik Stafford
      The event arbitrage module includes two simulation sessions. The first simulation focuses on analyzing and evaluating individual merger transactions, while the second simulation emphasizes managing a portfolio of individual positions and the limitations of arbitrage... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Capital Markets; Financial Management; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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      Coval, Joshua D., and Erik Stafford. "Event Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-090, November 2007.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability

      By: Dale F. Gray, Robert C. Merton and Zvi Bodie
      This paper proposes a new approach to improve the way central banks can analyze and manage the financial risks of a national economy. It is based on the modern theory and practice of contingent claims analysis (CCA), which is successfully used today at the level of... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Central Banking; Risk Management
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      Gray, Dale F., Robert C. Merton, and Zvi Bodie. "New Framework for Measuring and Managing Macrofinancial Risk and Financial Stability." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13607, November 2007.
      • October 2007
      • Background Note

      Price Formation

      By: Joshua D. Coval and Erik Stafford
      Investigates how prices are formed in competitive capital markets. Focuses on a single security called AOE. Students compete with computer traders and each other for market making and informed trading profits. Participants receive a variety of public news in the form... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Price; Profit; Corporate Disclosure; Newsletters; Industry Structures; Business Processes; Competitive Strategy
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      Coval, Joshua D., and Erik Stafford. "Price Formation." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-040, October 2007.
      • October 2007
      • Article

      The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market

      By: Anita Elberse and Bharat N. Anand
      One of the most visible and publicized trends in the movie industry is the escalation in movie advertising expenditures over time. Yet, the returns to movie advertising are poorly understood. The main reason is that disentangling the causal effect of advertising on... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Revenue; Quality; Mathematical Methods; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita, and Bharat N. Anand. "The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market." Information Economics and Policy 19, nos. 3-4 (October 2007): 319–343. (Special Issue on Economics of the Media.)
      • October 2007
      • Article

      The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies?

      By: Anita Elberse
      Is the involvement of star actors critical to the success of motion pictures? Film studios, which they regularly pay multimillion-dollar fees to star actors, seem driven by that belief. I shed light on the returns on this investment using an event study that considers... View Details
      Keywords: Talent and Talent Management; Film Entertainment; Investment Return; Revenue; Compensation and Benefits; Resource Allocation; Success; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita. "The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies?" Journal of Marketing 71, no. 4 (October 2007): 102–120. (Featured in HBS Working Knowledge.)
      • August 2007
      • Teaching Note

      Negotiation Strategy Simulation (TN)

      By: Michael A. Wheeler and Gregory M. Barron
      This tool can be used with the Negotiation Strategy Simulation. To access the tool please use this URL: http://hbsp.harvard.edu/multimedia/neg_strat/index.html. View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation; Strategy
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      Wheeler, Michael A., and Gregory M. Barron. "Negotiation Strategy Simulation (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 908-013, August 2007.
      • August 2007
      • Simulation

      Negotiation Strategy Simulation

      By: Michael A. Wheeler and Gregory M. Barron
      Keywords: Negotiation; Strategy
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      "Negotiation Strategy Simulation." Harvard Business School Simulation 908-701, August 2007.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Coupled Search Processes: Why Is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters?

      By: Nicolaj Siggelkow and Jan Rivkin
      Organizational design affects performance via coupled search processes. At low frequency, managers search for appropriate organizational designs. At higher frequency, managers use designs to search for high-performing operational choices. The two searches are coupled:... View Details
      Keywords: Competency and Skills; Operations; Organizational Design; Performance; Networks; Research; Cognition and Thinking; Strategy
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      Siggelkow, Nicolaj, and Jan Rivkin. "Coupled Search Processes: Why Is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-106, June 2007.
      • February 2007
      • Background Note

      BASIX Simulation Model

      By: Peter Tufano and Shawn A. Cole
      Explains how to use Crystal Ball to simulate the insurance decision in the BASIX case. View Details
      Keywords: Insurance; Business Model; Valuation; Decisions; Finance; Insurance Industry
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      Tufano, Peter, and Shawn A. Cole. "BASIX Simulation Model." Harvard Business School Background Note 207-108, February 2007.
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
      • March 2006 (Revised February 2007)
      • Case

      UBS: Towards the Integrated Firm

      By: Rajiv Lal, Nitin Nohria and Carin-Isabel Knoop
      In late June 2005, UBS Group CEO Peter Wuffli--anointed "Master of Zurich" by the financial press--was returning to Zurich from the firm's latest three-day Senior Leadership Conference (SLC). Tapping 600 top managers, this SLC featured an outdoor event at a former... View Details
      Keywords: Integration; Programs; Leadership; Talent and Talent Management; Trust
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      Lal, Rajiv, Nitin Nohria, and Carin-Isabel Knoop. "UBS: Towards the Integrated Firm." Harvard Business School Case 506-026, March 2006. (Revised February 2007.)
      • June 2005 (Revised October 2007)
      • Background Note

      Market Efficiency

      By: Joshua D. Coval, Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zachary Page and Paul Passoni
      Covers how prices react to information, the incentives for bringing information into prices, and the paradox of market efficiency in equilibrium--for investors to work hard keeping markets efficient, they must always be somewhat inefficient at the margin. Uses separate... View Details
      Keywords: Market Design; Price
      Citation
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      Coval, Joshua D., Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zachary Page, and Paul Passoni. "Market Efficiency." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-081, June 2005. (Revised October 2007.)
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