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  • All HBS Web  (6,008)
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Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (6,008)
    • People  (11)
    • News  (905)
    • Research  (4,150)
    • Events  (26)
    • Multimedia  (55)
  • Faculty Publications  (2,856)
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  • 2009
  • Working Paper

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market—rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities—led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
Keywords: Housing; Mortgages; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; Mathematical Methods; Real Estate Industry; United States
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Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15362, September 2009.
  • Article

Risk Management—The Revealing Hand

By: Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes
Many believe that the recent emphasis on enterprise risk management function is misguided, especially after the failure of sophisticated quantitative risk models during the global financial crisis. The concern is that top-down risk management will inhibit innovation... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management
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Kaplan, Robert S., and Anette Mikes. "Risk Management—The Revealing Hand." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 28, no. 1 (Winter 2016): 8–18.
  • 2009
  • Working Paper

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market-rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities-led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
Keywords: Equity; Mortgages; Interest Rates; Price; Housing; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
Citation
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Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-023, September 2009. (Revised July 2010.)
  • 2016
  • White Paper

LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing World

By: Jurgen Weiss, Steven Levine, Yingxia Yang and Anul Thapa
The paper explores potential long-term revenue risks to LNG exports to the extent LNG competes with alternative energy sources (such as renewables) in LNG destination markets. Given the longevity of LNG infrastructure investments, the evolution of the attractiveness of... View Details
Keywords: LNG; Renewable Energy; Revenue; Risk and Uncertainty; Opportunities
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Weiss, Jurgen, Steven Levine, Yingxia Yang, and Anul Thapa. "LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing World." White Paper, Brattle Group, Boston, MA, January 2016.
  • Forthcoming
  • Article

How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks

By: Esther Shears, Jonas Meckling and Jared Finnegan
Central banks have begun to examine and manage climate risks, including both transition risks of moving from fossil fuels to clean energy and physical climate risks. Here we provide a systematic assessment of how and why central banks address climate risks on the basis... View Details
Keywords: Banks and Banking; Risk and Uncertainty; Climate Change; Transition; Risk Management
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Shears, Esther, Jonas Meckling, and Jared Finnegan. "How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks." Nature Energy (forthcoming). (Pre-published online February 28, 2025.)
  • Article

Risk and the Value Line Contest

By: Robert S. Kaplan and Roman L. Weil
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Value
Citation
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Kaplan, Robert S., and Roman L. Weil. "Risk and the Value Line Contest." Financial Analysts Journal (July–August 1973): 48–53.
  • 1996
  • Chapter

Measuring Risk and Return for Portfolios

By: D. E. Bell
Keywords: Investment Portfolio; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics
Citation
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Bell, D. E. "Measuring Risk and Return for Portfolios." In Wise Choices: Decisions, Games, and Negotiations, edited by Richard Zeckhauser, Ralph Keeney, and James Sebenius. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1996.
  • March 2003 (Revised August 2004)
  • Background Note

Note on Risk Arbitrage

Describes the investment strategy of risk arbitrage. View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Strategy; Investment
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Chacko, George C., Randolph B. Cohen, and Marc Chennault. "Note on Risk Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 203-001, March 2003. (Revised August 2004.)
  • 01 Dec 1985
  • Conference Presentation

Risk Sharing and Corporate Pension Policy

By: André Perold and Jay O. Light
Keywords: Compensation and Benefits; Risk Management
Citation
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Perold, André, and Jay O. Light. "Risk Sharing and Corporate Pension Policy." Paper presented at the American Finance Association Annual Meeting, December 01, 1985.
  • 18 Oct 2013
  • Working Paper Summaries

Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks

Keywords: by John Y. Campbell, Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
  • December 2010
  • Background Note

Risk and Reward in Venture Capital

By: William A. Sahlman
This note describes the payoff structure of investment in individual venture capital–backed companies and in venture capital portfolios. Venture Capital investments are characterized by high failure rate (0ver 50%) and a small number of given successes (greater than... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Venture Capital; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Analytics and Data Science; Failure; Performance; Information Technology
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Sahlman, William A. "Risk and Reward in Venture Capital." Harvard Business School Background Note 811-036, December 2010.
  • 2010
  • Other Unpublished Work

Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring

Uncertain times in organizational life are often accompanied by shifts in resources and power and can trigger a desire for people to affiliate with others. Yet little is understood about which network ties people activate when they feel uncertain about their standing... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Restructuring; Interpersonal Communication; Organizational Structure
Citation
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Srivastava, Sameer B. "Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring." November 2010.
  • 2015
  • Working Paper

Banks' Risk Exposures

By: Juliane Begenau, Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider
This paper studies U.S. banks' exposure to interest rate and credit risk. We exploit the factor structure in interest rates to represent many bank positions in terms of simple factor portfolios. This approach delivers time varying measures of exposure that are... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Interest Rates; Credit; Banks and Banking; United States
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Begenau, Juliane, Monika Piazzesi, and Martin Schneider. "Banks' Risk Exposures." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 21334, July 2015.
  • March 2024 (Revised June 2024)
  • Case

Kashat: Navigating the Uncertainties of the Egyptian Fintech Market

By: Paul A. Gompers and Ahmed Dahawy
Karim Nour, the founder of Kashat, an Egyptian nano-lending fintech company, is contemplating how to manage the growth of his startup. Over the summer of 2022, Kashat's loan disbursements had grown by nearly 40%, fueled by macroeconomic instability in Egypt. However,... View Details
Keywords: Fintech; Business Model; Developing Countries and Economies; Acquisition; Business Exit or Shutdown; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Startups; Financing and Loans; Capital; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry; Egypt
Citation
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Gompers, Paul A., and Ahmed Dahawy. "Kashat: Navigating the Uncertainties of the Egyptian Fintech Market." Harvard Business School Case 824-055, March 2024. (Revised June 2024.)
  • March 2016
  • Article

The Role of Investor Gut Feel in Managing Complexity and Extreme Risk

By: Laura Huang
Securing financial resources from investors is a key challenge for many early stage entrepreneurial ventures. Given the inherent uncertainty surrounding a decision to invest in these ventures, prior research has found that experienced investors rely heavily on their... View Details
Keywords: Angel Investors; Gut Feel; Intuition; Entrepreneurship; Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Complexity; Decision Making
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Huang, Laura. "The Role of Investor Gut Feel in Managing Complexity and Extreme Risk." Academy of Management Journal 61, no. 5 (October 2018): 1821–1847.
  • December 2007
  • Article

Applying Modern Risk Management to Equity and Credit Analysis

By: Robert C. Merton
Traditional conventions of accounting and actuarial science distort the valuation of capital risk in corporations with pension plans because under these conventions, pension assets and liabilities are not included in balance sheet calculations. The modern risk... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management; Valuation; Financial Reporting; Decision Making; Credit; Financial Statements; Capital; Equity; Compensation and Benefits
Citation
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Merton, Robert C. "Applying Modern Risk Management to Equity and Credit Analysis." CFA Institute Conference Proceedings Quarterly 24 (December 2007): 14–22.
  • October–December 2022
  • Article

How Psychological Safety and Feeling Heard Relate to Burnout and Adaptation Amid Uncertainty

By: Michaela J. Kerrissey, Tuna Cem Hayirli, Aditi Bhanja, Nicholas Stark, James Hardy and Christopher Peabody
Background: Psychological safety—the belief that it is safe to speak up—is vital amid uncertainty, but its relationship to feeling heard is not well understood.
Purpose: The aims of this study were (a) to measure feeling heard and (b) to assess... View Details
Keywords: Burnout; Crisis; Psychological Safety; Feeling Heard; Process Adaptation; Interpersonal Communication; Well-being; Health Care and Treatment; Adaptation
Citation
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Kerrissey, Michaela J., Tuna Cem Hayirli, Aditi Bhanja, Nicholas Stark, James Hardy, and Christopher Peabody. "How Psychological Safety and Feeling Heard Relate to Burnout and Adaptation Amid Uncertainty." Health Care Management Review 47, no. 4 (October–December 2022): 308–316.
  • 2008
  • Other Unpublished Work

Accounting, Risk Management and the Aftermath of a Control Debacle

By: Anette Mikes
Despite the widespread adoption of risk management systems in the financial services industry, recent control debacles highlight the apparent lack of top managerial attention to risk controls. Yet in order to understand the workings and uses of risk controls (or any... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management; Governance Controls; Management Systems; Accounting; Conflict and Resolution; Trends; Financial Services Industry
Citation
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Mikes, Anette. "Accounting, Risk Management and the Aftermath of a Control Debacle." 2008.
  • December 1997 (Revised May 2017)
  • Teaching Note

Kidder, Peabody & Co.: Creating Elusive Profits

By: Robert Simons and Antonio Dávila
Teaching Note for (9-197-038). View Details
Keywords: Strategy And Execution; Management Control Systems; Internal Controls; Risk Management; Risk And Uncertainty; Risk Assessment; Profit
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Simons, Robert, and Antonio Dávila. "Kidder, Peabody & Co.: Creating Elusive Profits." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 198-036, December 1997. (Revised May 2017.)
  • October 2019 (Revised March 2022)
  • Teaching Note

Innovate Safely—CT Scanners and Radiation Risk

By: Hong Luo and Alberto Galasso
Teaching Note for HBS No. 719-486. View Details
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Luo, Hong, and Alberto Galasso. "Innovate Safely—CT Scanners and Radiation Risk." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 720-398, October 2019. (Revised March 2022.)
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