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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(5,864)
- People (11)
- News (916)
- Research (4,204)
- Events (26)
- Multimedia (58)
- Faculty Publications (2,877)
- March 2001
- Background Note
Real Options Valuation when Multiple Sources of Uncertainty Exist
This case describes how multiple sources of uncertainty can be incorporated into a real-options-based analysis. It works through an example of a two-stage problem where a company has both an option to explore and an option to develop oil reserves. View Details
Meulbroek, Lisa K. "Real Options Valuation when Multiple Sources of Uncertainty Exist." Harvard Business School Background Note 201-106, March 2001.
- 07 Jul 2020
- Podcast
Uncovering and Pricing Climate Risk
How do managers within the different sectors of financial services identify and value climate risk? Professor George Serafeim talks with an asset manager, an insurer, a hedge fund manager, and an investment banker about their approaches to identifying and valuing... View Details
- 2011
- Article
Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China
By: Christopher Marquis, Jianjun Zhang and Yanhua Zhou
We develop a framework to analyze the closing gap between regulation and enforcement of environmental protection in China and present a number of resulting implications for doing business there. We identify three major dimensions that characterize change in regulatory... View Details
Keywords: Framework; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Law Enforcement; Growth and Development Strategy; Emerging Markets; Business Ventures; Alignment; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Environment; Motivation and Incentives; Management Practices and Processes; Competitive Strategy; China
Marquis, Christopher, Jianjun Zhang, and Yanhua Zhou. "Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China." California Management Review 54, no. 1 (Fall 2011): 39–63.
- 21 Aug 2015
- Working Paper Summaries
Banks’ Risk Exposures
- 01 Oct 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
- Article
Reliable Post hoc Explanations: Modeling Uncertainty in Explainability
By: Dylan Slack, Sophie Hilgard, Sameer Singh and Himabindu Lakkaraju
As black box explanations are increasingly being employed to establish model credibility in high stakes settings, it is important to ensure that these explanations are accurate and reliable. However, prior work demonstrates that explanations generated by... View Details
Keywords: Black Box Explanations; Bayesian Modeling; Decision Making; Risk and Uncertainty; Information Technology
Slack, Dylan, Sophie Hilgard, Sameer Singh, and Himabindu Lakkaraju. "Reliable Post hoc Explanations: Modeling Uncertainty in Explainability." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 34 (2021).
- 16 Feb 2017
- News
Growth uncertainty grips corporate boards: Survey
- March 2024 (Revised June 2024)
- Case
Kashat: Navigating the Uncertainties of the Egyptian Fintech Market
By: Paul A. Gompers and Ahmed Dahawy
Karim Nour, the founder of Kashat, an Egyptian nano-lending fintech company, is contemplating how to manage the growth of his startup. Over the summer of 2022, Kashat's loan disbursements had grown by nearly 40%, fueled by macroeconomic instability in Egypt. However,... View Details
Keywords: Fintech; Business Model; Developing Countries and Economies; Acquisition; Business Exit or Shutdown; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Startups; Financing and Loans; Capital; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry; Egypt
Gompers, Paul A., and Ahmed Dahawy. "Kashat: Navigating the Uncertainties of the Egyptian Fintech Market." Harvard Business School Case 824-055, March 2024. (Revised June 2024.)
- January 2014
- Article
Self-reported Ethical Risk Taking Tendencies Predict Actual Dishonesty
By: Liora Zimerman, Shaul Shalvi and Yoella Bereby-Meyer
Are people honest about the extent to which they engage in unethical behaviors? We report an experiment examining the relation between self-reported risky unethical tendencies and actual dishonest behavior. Participants’ self-reported risk taking tendencies were... View Details
Keywords: DOSPERT; Risk Taking; Honesty; Lying; Dishonesty; Unethical Behavior; Moral Sensibility; Cognition and Thinking
Zimerman, Liora, Shaul Shalvi, and Yoella Bereby-Meyer. "Self-reported Ethical Risk Taking Tendencies Predict Actual Dishonesty." Judgment and Decision Making 9, no. 1 (January 2014): 58–64.
- Research Summary
Measuring and Managing Risk in the Supply Chain
Understanding risk factors associated with supply chain decisions and how to appropriately model and quantify those factors. View Details
- April 2025
- Article
How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks
By: Esther Shears, Jonas Meckling and Jared Finnegan
Central banks have begun to examine and manage climate risks, including both transition risks of moving from fossil fuels to clean energy and physical climate risks. Here we provide a systematic assessment of how and why central banks address climate risks on the basis... View Details
Shears, Esther, Jonas Meckling, and Jared Finnegan. "How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks." Nature Energy 10, no. 4 (April 2025): 470–478.
- 2016
- White Paper
LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing World
By: Jurgen Weiss, Steven Levine, Yingxia Yang and Anul Thapa
The paper explores potential long-term revenue risks to LNG exports to the extent LNG competes with alternative energy sources (such as renewables) in LNG destination markets. Given the longevity of LNG infrastructure investments, the evolution of the attractiveness of... View Details
Weiss, Jurgen, Steven Levine, Yingxia Yang, and Anul Thapa. "LNG and Renewable Power: Risk and Opportunity in a Changing World." White Paper, Brattle Group, Boston, MA, January 2016.
- 2009
- Working Paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market—rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities—led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
- Article
Risk Management—The Revealing Hand
By: Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes
Many believe that the recent emphasis on enterprise risk management function is misguided, especially after the failure of sophisticated quantitative risk models during the global financial crisis. The concern is that top-down risk management will inhibit innovation... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management
Kaplan, Robert S., and Anette Mikes. "Risk Management—The Revealing Hand." Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 28, no. 1 (Winter 2016): 8–18.
Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China
This article analyzes the closing gap between regulation and enforcement of environmental protection in China and explores its implications for doing business there. It identifies three major dimensions that characterize change in regulatory systems: priorities and... View Details
- April 2024
- Article
Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads
By: Samuel G. Hanson, Aytek Malkhozov and Gyuri Venter
We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users' demand for
and constrained intermediaries’ supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect
compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital and for bearing convergence... View Details
Keywords: Swap Spreads; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Interest Rates; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
Hanson, Samuel G., Aytek Malkhozov, and Gyuri Venter. "Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads." Art. 103814. Journal of Financial Economics 154 (April 2024).
- fall 2007
- Article
Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts
By: Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman and Marshall L. Fisher
Gaur, Vishal, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman, and Marshall L. Fisher. "Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 9, no. 4 (fall 2007).
- 2009
- Working Paper
Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect
By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market-rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities-led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-023, September 2009. (Revised July 2010.)
- January 1991 (Revised June 1993)
- Case
Decision Analysis and the Risk Profile
By: Paul A. Vatter
Vatter, Paul A. "Decision Analysis and the Risk Profile." Harvard Business School Case 191-110, January 1991. (Revised June 1993.)
- April 2006
- Background Note
Legal Aspects of Management: Anticipating and Managing Risk
Describes the sixth and final module of the Harvard Business School MBA second-year elective course Legal Aspects of Management. This module deals with the way firms should approach business risks in order to avoid legal liability and how firms can use contracts to... View Details
Bagley, Constance E. "Legal Aspects of Management: Anticipating and Managing Risk." Harvard Business School Background Note 806-148, April 2006.