Predictability - Publications - Faculty & Research

22 Nov 2024
News

Will AI Kill Google? Past Predictions of Doom Were Totally Wrong.

December 2023
Supplement

Accounting for Loan Losses at JPMorgan Chase: Predicting Credit Costs

By: Jonas Heese and Jung Koo Kang

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Article

Interpretable Decision Sets: A Joint Framework for Description and Prediction

By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Stephen H. Bach and Jure Leskovec

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15 Aug 2016
Research & Ideas

Black Swans and Big Trends Can Ruin Anyone's Internet Prediction

investments are once again declining. Reasoning that today’s tech entrepreneurs and investors might value a history lesson, I’ve published Speed Trap as an ebook, which is downloadable for free in PDF format, and available in the iBooks Store for free and in the Kindle... View Details

Keywords: by Thomas R. Eisenmann; Technology

December 2021
Article

Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight

By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu

We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details

Keywords: Crowdfunding; Experience; Prediction; Timeline; Complexity; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Experience and Expertise; Forecasting and Prediction

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2023
Chapter

Analyzing Human Decisions and Machine Predictions in Bail Decision Making

By: Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig and Sendhil Mullainathan

BOOK ABSTRACT: Oriented toward the introductory student, The Inequality Reader is the essential textbook for today's undergraduate courses. The editors have assembled the most important classic and contemporary readings about how poverty and inequality are... View Details

Keywords: Equality and Inequality

Citation

9 May 2013 - 11 May 2013
Conference Presentation

Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors

By: Frank Nagle

Citation

31 Oct 2017
News

Predictions for the Future of Small Business Lending and Fintech

May 2006
Article

Detection Defection: Measuring and Understanding the Predictive Accuracy of Customer Churn Models

By: Scott Neslin, Sunil Gupta, Wagner Kamakura, Junxiang Lu and Charlotte Mason

Keywords: Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Customers

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June 7, 1990
Article

New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500

By: André Perold, Kenneth A. Froot and James F. Gammill Jr.

Keywords: Institutional Investing; Market Efficiency; Equities; Stock Market; Indexing; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance

Citation

21 May 2012
News

Predictable Time Off: The Team Solution To Overcoming Constant Work Connection

August 1999
Article

Positive Illusions and Biases of Prediction in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions

By: D. A. Moore, T. R. Kurtzberg, C. R. Fox and M. H. Bazerman

Keywords: Investment; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction

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1983
Chapter

Analyzing Competitors: Predicting Competitor Behavior and Formulating Offensive and Defensive Strategy

By: M. E. Porter

Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavior

Citation

2013
Article

Where Not to Eat? Improving Public Policy by Predicting Hygiene Inspections Using Online Reviews

By: Jun Seok Kang, Polina Kuznetsova, Yejin Choi and Michael Luca

Restaurant hygiene inspections are often cited as a success story of public disclosure. Hygiene grades influence customer decisions and serve as an accountability system for restaurants. However, cities (which are responsible for inspections) have limited resources to... View Details

Keywords: Safety; Food; Governance Compliance; Mathematical Methods; Applications and Software; Public Administration Industry; Retail Industry; Food and Beverage Industry

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