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      • Faculty Publications  (175)

      Political RiskRemove Political Risk →

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      • November 2003 (Revised March 2006)
      • Case

      Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Alexandra de Royere
      What price should Dow Chemical bid for PBB, a petrochemical complex that is being privatized by the Argentine government? To answer this question, students are forced to consider the role of country risk, the underlying currency exposure of the business, and how to... View Details
      Keywords: Bids and Bidding; Privatization; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Cash Flow; Emerging Markets; Valuation; Business and Government Relations; Multinational Firms and Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Energy Industry; Argentina
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Alexandra de Royere. "Dow Chemical's Bid for the Privatization of PBB in Argentina." Harvard Business School Case 204-021, November 2003. (Revised March 2006.)
      • November 2003 (Revised March 2004)
      • Case

      Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho
      The Brazilian oil company, Petrobras, is evaluating the acquisition of an Argentine oil company, the Perez Companc Group (Pecom). The acquisition would increase Petrobras' oil reserves and expand its interests outside Brazil, a significant step for the largest company... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Non-Renewable Energy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Corporate Governance; Risk Management; Emerging Markets; State Ownership; Performance Evaluation; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Energy Industry; Argentina; Brazil
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho. "Drilling South: Petrobras Evaluates Pecom." Harvard Business School Case 204-043, November 2003. (Revised March 2004.)
      • November 2003 (Revised May 2016)
      • Case

      Weetman Pearson and the Mexican Oil Industry (A)

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Lisa Bud-Freirman
      Taught in the MBA Evolution of Global Business course, a business history course on the growth of multinationals. Explores the role of the British entrepreneur Weetman Pearson in developing the Mexican oil industry before 1914. Shows this entrepreneur's evolution from... View Details
      Keywords: History; Risk and Uncertainty; Non-Renewable Energy; Growth Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Entrepreneurship; Investment; Developing Countries and Economies; Energy Industry; Mexico
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Lisa Bud-Freirman. "Weetman Pearson and the Mexican Oil Industry (A)." Harvard Business School Case 804-085, November 2003. (Revised May 2016.)
      • July 2003
      • Background Note

      Expropriation in International Business

      By: Geoffrey G. Jones and Meghan Gallagher-Kernstine
      Covers several important expropriation cases in international business from the 20th century and highlights the legal and political difficulties these companies faced. Serves to explain expropriation, to stress the vulnerability of foreign direct investments to... View Details
      Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Global Strategy; Government and Politics; Common Law; Risk Management; Property; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Jones, Geoffrey G., and Meghan Gallagher-Kernstine. "Expropriation in International Business." Harvard Business School Background Note 804-020, July 2003.
      • April 2002
      • Article

      The Determination of Unemployment Benefits

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert J. MacCulloch
      While much empirical research exists on labor market consequences of unemployment benefits, there is remarkably little evidence on the forces determining benefits. We present a simple model where workers desire insurance against unemployment risk and benefits increase... View Details
      Keywords: Unemployment; Compensation and Benefits
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert J. MacCulloch. "The Determination of Unemployment Benefits." Journal of Labor Economics 20, no. 2 (April 2002): 404–34.
      • March 2002 (Revised June 2003)
      • Case

      MAC Development Corporation

      By: Richard G. Hamermesh and Colleen McCaffrey
      Deals with MAC Development's efforts to develop a 41-acre site near Chicago. Reviews two years of efforts and highlights the remaining issues of: 1) gaining town approval for development and tax reductions, 2) meeting the bank's debt covenants, including finding a... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Taxation; Financial Instruments; Borrowing and Debt; Asset Pricing; Construction Industry; Chicago
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      Hamermesh, Richard G., and Colleen McCaffrey. "MAC Development Corporation." Harvard Business School Case 802-140, March 2002. (Revised June 2003.)
      • November 2000 (Revised April 2004)
      • Case

      Airbus A3XX: Developing the World's Largest Commercial Jet (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Michael Kane
      In July 2000, Airbus Industries' supervisory board is on the verge of approving a $13 billion investment for the development of a new super jumbo jet known as the A3XX that would seat from 550 to 1,000 passengers. Having secured approximately 20 orders for the new jet,... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Budgeting; Valuation; Government and Politics; Demand and Consumers; Product Development; Product Positioning; Air Transportation Industry; Manufacturing Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Michael Kane. "Airbus A3XX: Developing the World's Largest Commercial Jet (A)." Harvard Business School Case 201-028, November 2000. (Revised April 2004.)
      • November 1999
      • Case

      Adam Opel AG (A) and (B) (Condensed)

      By: Joseph L. Bower
      Focuses on the strategic issue of how to approach the East German market after the Berlin wall came down in late 1989. Within an unusually rich economic-political and organizational-personal context, the chairman of GM's German subsidiary has to respond to Volkswagen's... View Details
      Keywords: Adoption; Decision Choices and Conditions; Situation or Environment; Risk and Uncertainty; Auto Industry; Germany
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      Bower, Joseph L. "Adam Opel AG (A) and (B) (Condensed)." Harvard Business School Case 300-067, November 1999.
      • November 1999 (Revised April 2003)
      • Case

      Financing the Mozal Project

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Fuaad Qureshi
      It is June 1997, and a team from the International Finance Corp. (IFC) is recommending that the board approve a $120 million investment in a $1.4 billion aluminum smelter in Mozambique, known as the Mozal project. Four factors make the investment controversial: it... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Capital Markets; Emerging Markets; Projects; Financial Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Developing Countries and Economies; Metals and Minerals; Financial Strategy; Government and Politics; International Finance; Infrastructure; Mozambique
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Fuaad Qureshi. "Financing the Mozal Project." Harvard Business School Case 200-005, November 1999. (Revised April 2003.)
      • February 1998 (Revised March 2000)
      • Case

      Burma Pipeline, The

      By: Debora L. Spar and Lane LaMure
      In 1996, Unocal Corp. joined forces with the French Total company to construct an ambitious natural gas pipeline from the Andaman Sea across the southern tip of Burma and into Thailand. At an estimated cost of $1.2 billion, the pipeline was designed to bring sorely... View Details
      Keywords: Political Risk; Risk Management; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Social Issues; Foreign Direct Investment; Energy Industry; Asia
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      Spar, Debora L., and Lane LaMure. "Burma Pipeline, The." Harvard Business School Case 798-078, February 1998. (Revised March 2000.)
      • February 1998 (Revised December 1998)
      • Case

      Atlantic Energy/Delmarva Power & Light (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Mathew M Millett and Tracy Aronson
      Delmarva Power & Light and Atlantic Energy are neighboring electric utilities based in Delaware and New Jersey, respectively. In early 1996, they entered into merger negotiations, but were unable to reach an agreement on price because they could not agree on what... View Details
      Keywords: Valuation; Negotiation Offer; Government Legislation; Risk and Uncertainty; Mergers and Acquisitions; Contracts; Utilities Industry; Delaware; New Jersey
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Mathew M Millett, and Tracy Aronson. "Atlantic Energy/Delmarva Power & Light (A)." Harvard Business School Case 298-034, February 1998. (Revised December 1998.)
      • October 1997 (Revised May 1998)
      • Case

      Busang (A): River of Gold

      By: Debora L. Spar
      In 1995, Bre-X Minerals, a tiny Canadian mining firm, struck gold. Deep in the heart of the Borneo jungle, it discovered what appeared to be one of the world's largest and most cost-effective gold deposits. Almost immediately, the firm's stock price shot upwards and... View Details
      Keywords: Business or Company Management; Partners and Partnerships; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Mining; Mining Industry; Canada; Indonesia
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      Spar, Debora L., Jeffrey Bell, Christine Dinh-Tan, and Phillip Purnama. "Busang (A): River of Gold." Harvard Business School Case 798-002, October 1997. (Revised May 1998.)
      • September 1997
      • Background Note

      Note on Political Risk Analysis

      By: Debora L. Spar
      Describes the emergence and subsequent decline of the political risk analysis industry. Discusses what political risk means for multinational firms and various ways in which firms have tried to analyze and grapple with these risks. View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Foreign Direct Investment; Government and Politics
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      Spar, Debora L., Heidi Deringer, and Jennifer Wang. "Note on Political Risk Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 798-022, September 1997.
      • December 1996
      • Background Note

      Financial Engineering and Tax Risk: The Case of Times Mirror PEPS

      By: Peter Tufano
      Provides general background on the taxation of corporate securities, and shows how the inconsistent taxation of functionally-similar securities can permit financial engineers to bear tax risk to earn positive returns. Designed to be used with Times Mirror Co. PEPS... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Taxation; Corporate Finance
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      Tufano, Peter, Robert Santangelo, and Cameron Poetzscher. "Financial Engineering and Tax Risk: The Case of Times Mirror PEPS." Harvard Business School Background Note 297-056, December 1996.
      • April 1996 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Times Mirror Company PEPS Proposal Review

      By: Peter Tufano
      Times Mirror Co. (TMC) owns a substantial block of Netscape common stock purchased prior to Netscape's IPO, on which it has substantial unrealized gains. TMC is restricted from selling the stock in a public offering and is therefore considering a proposal by Morgan... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Stocks; Taxation; Corporate Finance; Telecommunications Industry; Media and Broadcasting Industry; United States
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      Tufano, Peter, and Cameron Poetzscher. "Times Mirror Company PEPS Proposal Review." Harvard Business School Case 296-089, April 1996. (Revised January 2006.)
      • November 1995 (Revised April 1996)
      • Case

      ENTel and the Privatization of Argentine Telecommunications

      By: Willis M. Emmons III
      Growing fiscal deficits, persistent economic recession, and underinvestment in the nation's telecommunications infrastructure lead the Argentine government to privatize its state-owned monopoly provider of telecommunications services, ENTel, in late 1990. The... View Details
      Keywords: Opportunities; Risk and Uncertainty; Communication Technology; Privatization; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Competition; Development Economics; Policy; Government and Politics; Performance Effectiveness; Telecommunications Industry; Argentina
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      Emmons, Willis M., III. "ENTel and the Privatization of Argentine Telecommunications." Harvard Business School Case 796-065, November 1995. (Revised April 1996.)
      • November 1994
      • Case

      Dow Corning and the Breast Implant Controversy (A)

      By: Willis M. Emmons III, Monica Brand and Greg Keller
      In early 1994, Dow Corning Corp. debates whether to participate in a proposed $4.2 billion product liability settlement. Specifically, the firm must decide whether to contribute $2 billion to end a class action suit filed by women suffering from connective tissue... View Details
      Keywords: Safety; Ethics; Health Disorders; Government Legislation; Crime and Corruption; Legal Liability; Risk and Uncertainty; Business Strategy; Communication Strategy; Lawsuits and Litigation; Health Industry; Beauty and Cosmetics Industry
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      Emmons, Willis M., III, Monica Brand, and Greg Keller. "Dow Corning and the Breast Implant Controversy (A)." Harvard Business School Case 795-047, November 1994.
      • September 1994
      • Case

      Otis Elevator Company: China Joint Venture (B-2)

      By: Michael Y. Yoshino
      Asks the students to evaluate the challenges a company faced in the summer of 1989 in the light of great political uncertainties. A rewritten version of an earlier case. View Details
      Keywords: Joint Ventures; Risk and Uncertainty; Business Strategy; Government and Politics; Globalization; Construction Industry; Manufacturing Industry; China
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      Yoshino, Michael Y. "Otis Elevator Company: China Joint Venture (B-2)." Harvard Business School Case 395-059, September 1994.
      • March 1994 (Revised October 1994)
      • Case

      Reading Energy

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt
      Reading Energy builds facilities that produce energy from nontraditional fuels. A privately held, entrepreneurial organization, it has spent six years developing a plan to build a waste-to-energy plant in the town of Robbins, Illinois. The plant would burn municipal... View Details
      Keywords: Energy Generation; Wastes and Waste Processing; Business and Community Relations; Business Plan; Agreements and Arrangements; Contracts; Risk and Uncertainty; Government and Politics; Environmental Sustainability; Business Strategy; Energy Industry; Utilities Industry; Illinois
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      Reinhardt, Forest L. "Reading Energy." Harvard Business School Case 794-102, March 1994. (Revised October 1994.)
      • November 1993 (Revised April 2007)
      • Case

      Continental Airlines--1992 (Abridged)

      By: Stuart C. Gilson
      The CEO is preparing a recommendation to the board regarding several potential outside investments in the company, which is currently operating in bankruptcy. In making his decision, the CEO has to consider various financial and strategic factors, including possible... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Structure; Cash Flow; Cost of Capital; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Investment; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Aerospace Industry; United States
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      Gilson, Stuart C. "Continental Airlines--1992 (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 294-058, November 1993. (Revised April 2007.)
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