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- All HBS Web
(3,262)
- News (504)
- Research (2,482)
- Events (39)
- Multimedia (17)
- Faculty Publications (1,591)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(3,262)
- News (504)
- Research (2,482)
- Events (39)
- Multimedia (17)
- Faculty Publications (1,591)
- 2007
- Working Paper
Incorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting
By: Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur and Ananth Raman
Kesavan, Saravanan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman. "Incorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-056, March 2007.
- July–August 1995
- Article
The Power of Predictability
By: H. H. Stevenson and M. C. Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Stevenson, H. H., and M. C. Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." Harvard Business Review 73, no. 4 (July–August 1995).
- June 2020
- Supplement
Ride-Hailing Services: Forecasting Uber's Growth
By: E. Ofek, Eitan Muller and Barak Libai
- July 2019
- Article
'Forward Flow': A New Measure to Quantify Free Thought and Predict Creativity
By: Kurt Gray, Stephen Anderson, Eric Evan Chen, John Michael Kelly, Michael S. Christian, John Patrick, Laura Huang, Yoed N. Kenett and Kevin Lewis
When the human mind is free to roam, its subjective experience is characterized by a continuously evolving stream of thought. Although there is a technique that captures people’s streams of free thought—free association—its utility for scientific research is undermined... View Details
Gray, Kurt, Stephen Anderson, Eric Evan Chen, John Michael Kelly, Michael S. Christian, John Patrick, Laura Huang, Yoed N. Kenett, and Kevin Lewis. "'Forward Flow': A New Measure to Quantify Free Thought and Predict Creativity." American Psychologist 74, no. 5 (July 2019): 539–554.
- April 2011
- Teaching Note
Prediction Markets at Google (TN)
Teaching Note for 607088. View Details
- June 2021
- Article
From Predictions to Prescriptions: A Data-driven Response to COVID-19
By: Dimitris Bertsimas, Léonard Boussioux, Ryan Cory-Wright, Arthur Delarue, Vassilis Digalakis Jr, Alexander Jacquillat, Driss Lahlou Kitane, Galit Lukin, Michael Lingzhi Li, Luca Mingardi, Omid Nohadani, Agni Orfanoudaki, Theodore Papalexopoulos, Ivan Paskov, Jean Pauphilet, Omar Skali Lami, Bartolomeo Stellato, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, Kimberly Villalobos Carballo, Holly Wiberg and Cynthia Zeng
The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing measures to slow the disease, at... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Health Pandemics; AI and Machine Learning; Forecasting and Prediction; Analytics and Data Science
Bertsimas, Dimitris, Léonard Boussioux, Ryan Cory-Wright, Arthur Delarue, Vassilis Digalakis Jr, Alexander Jacquillat, Driss Lahlou Kitane, Galit Lukin, Michael Lingzhi Li, Luca Mingardi, Omid Nohadani, Agni Orfanoudaki, Theodore Papalexopoulos, Ivan Paskov, Jean Pauphilet, Omar Skali Lami, Bartolomeo Stellato, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, Kimberly Villalobos Carballo, Holly Wiberg, and Cynthia Zeng. "From Predictions to Prescriptions: A Data-driven Response to COVID-19." Health Care Management Science 24, no. 2 (June 2021): 253–272.
- August 2014
- Case
Four Products: Predicting Diffusion (2014)
By: John Gourville
An updated "Four Products" case. This 2014 version includes: raw lobster meat, electric-powered Formula One race cars, a 3D printer for cosmetics, and a "smart" tennis racket.
These four products form the basis to assess the drivers of new product adoption. In... View Details
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details
Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- January 1986 (Revised April 1987)
- Background Note
Models for Updating Demand Forecasts
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Models for Updating Demand Forecasts." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-180, January 1986. (Revised April 1987.)
- 08 Jan 2022
- News
Harvard And Stanford Professors Predict The Future Of Work
- August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
- Case
Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (A)
By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case follows VP of Marketing, Jill Wehunt, and analyst Mark Morse as they tackle a predictive analytics project to increase sales in the Mom & Baby unit of a nationally recognized retailer, PriceMart. Wehunt observed that in the midst of the chaos that surrounded... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Consumer Behavior; Forecasting and Prediction
Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (A)." Harvard Business School Case 119-025, August 2018. (Revised September 2018.)
- April 1995 (Revised April 2008)
- Teaching Note
L.L. Bean, Inc.: Item Forecasting and Inventory Management TN
Teaching Note for (9-893-003). View Details
- May 2019
- Supplement
Ride-Hailing Services: Forecasting Uber's Growth
By: E. Ofek, Eitan Muller and Barak Libai
- June 2020
- Teaching Note
Ride-Hailing Services: Forecasting Uber's Growth
By: Elie Ofek, Barak Libai and Eitan Muller
Teaching Note for HBS No. 519-097. View Details
- 07 Oct 2024
- Research & Ideas
Election 2024: Why Demographics Won't Predict the Next President
Pundits love a political horse race, parsing the latest polls to predict who might win an election. And in the final runup to the US presidential contest, these forecasts can... View Details
Keywords: by Jay Fitzgerald
- Article
Physical and Situational Inequality on Airplanes Predict Air Rage
By: K. A. DeCelles and Michael I. Norton
We posit that the modern airplane is a social microcosm of class-based society, and that the increasing incidence of “air rage” can be understood through the lens of inequality. Research on inequality typically examines the effects of relatively fixed, macrostructural... View Details
Keywords: Physical Inequality; Equality and Inequality; Behavior; Air Transportation; Situation or Environment
DeCelles, K. A., and Michael I. Norton. "Physical and Situational Inequality on Airplanes Predict Air Rage." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113, no. 20 (May 17, 2016): 5588–5591.
- October 1982
- Case
Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 183-096, October 1982.
- Article
Beyond Individualized Recourse: Interpretable and Interactive Summaries of Actionable Recourses
By: Kaivalya Rawal and Himabindu Lakkaraju
As predictive models are increasingly being deployed in high-stakes decision-making, there has been a lot of interest in developing algorithms which can provide recourses to affected individuals. While developing such tools is important, it is even more critical to... View Details
Rawal, Kaivalya, and Himabindu Lakkaraju. "Beyond Individualized Recourse: Interpretable and Interactive Summaries of Actionable Recourses." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 33 (2020).
- 24 Sep 2020
- News
Financial Meltdowns Are More Predictable Than We Thought
- April 1966
- Article
A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression
By: D. B. Crane and James R. Crotty
Keywords: Mathematical Methods
Crane, D. B., and James R. Crotty. "A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression." Management Science 13, no. 8 (April 1966).