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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,339)
      • Faculty Publications  (314)

      Behavioral FinanceRemove Behavioral Finance →

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      • July 2016
      • Article

      Do Prices Determine Vertical Integration?

      By: Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger and Andrew F. Newman
      What is the relationship between product prices and vertical integration? While the literature has focused on how integration affects prices, this paper provides evidence that prices can affect integration. Many theories in organizational economics and industrial... View Details
      Keywords: Price; Vertical Integration; Product
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      Alfaro, Laura, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger, and Andrew F. Newman. "Do Prices Determine Vertical Integration?" Review of Economic Studies 83, no. 3 (July 2016): 855–888. (Also NBER Working Paper 16118.)
      • Article

      High School Curriculum and Financial Outcomes: The Impact of Mandated Personal Finance and Mathematics Courses

      By: Shawn Cole, Anna Paulson and Gauri Kartini Shastry
      Financial literacy and cognitive capabilities are convincingly linked to the quality of financial decision-making. Yet, there is little evidence that education intended to improve financial decision-making is successful. Using plausibly exogenous variation in exposure... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Literacy; Cognitive Capability; Secondary Education; Personal Finance; Decision Making
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      Cole, Shawn, Anna Paulson, and Gauri Kartini Shastry. "High School Curriculum and Financial Outcomes: The Impact of Mandated Personal Finance and Mathematics Courses." Journal of Human Resources 51, no. 3 (Summer 2016): 656–698.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      The Great Training Robbery

      By: Michael Beer, Magnus Finnstrom and Derek Schrader
      In 2012 U.S. corporations spent $164.2 billion on training and education. Overwhelming evidence and experience shows, however, that most companies are unable to transfer employee learning into changes in individual and organization behavior or improved financial... View Details
      Keywords: Training; Organizations; Investment Return
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      Beer, Michael, Magnus Finnstrom, and Derek Schrader. "The Great Training Robbery." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-121, April 2016.
      • Spring 2016
      • Article

      Risk Neglect in Equity Markets

      By: Malcolm Baker
      The link between measures of risk and return within the equity market has been very weak over the past 47 years: in the United States, returns on high-risk stocks have cumulatively fallen short of the returns on low-risk stocks, during a period when the equity market... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Allocation; Equity Investment; Behavioral Finance; Private Equity
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      Baker, Malcolm. "Risk Neglect in Equity Markets." Journal of Portfolio Management 42, no. 3 (Spring 2016): 12–25.
      • March 2016 (Revised March 2022)
      • Teaching Note

      Evive Health and Workplace Influenza Vaccinations

      By: John Beshears
      Evive Health is a company that manages communication campaigns on behalf of health insurance plans and large employers. Using big data techniques and insights from behavioral economics, Evive deploys targeted and effective messages that improve individuals' health... View Details
      Keywords: Vaccination; Influenza; Flu Shot; Preventive Care; Health Care; Behavioral Economics; Choice Architecture; Nudge; Experimental Design; Randomized Controlled Trial; RCT; Causal Inference; Health Care and Treatment; Insurance; Health; Consumer Behavior; Health Testing and Trials; Communication Strategy; Insurance Industry; Health Industry
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      Beshears, John. "Evive Health and Workplace Influenza Vaccinations." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 916-049, March 2016. (Revised March 2022.)
      • March 2016
      • Article

      Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach

      By: Malcolm Baker, Brock Mendel and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We outline a dividend signaling model that features investors who are averse to dividend cuts. Managers with strong unobservable cash earnings separate by paying high dividends but retain enough to be likely not to fall short next period. The model is consistent with a... View Details
      Keywords: Investment
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      Baker, Malcolm, Brock Mendel, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Dividends as Reference Points: A Behavioral Signaling Approach." Review of Financial Studies 29, no. 3 (March 2016): 697–738.
      • Article

      The Perils of Proactive Churn Prevention Using Plan Recommendations: Evidence from a Field Experiment

      By: Eva Ascarza, Raghuram Iyengar and Martin Schleicher
      Facing the issue of increasing customer churn, many service firms have begun recommending pricing plans to their customers. One reason behind this type of retention campaign is that customers who subscribe to a plan suitable for them should be less likely to churn... View Details
      Keywords: Churn/retention; Field Experiment; Pricing; Tariff/plan Choice; Targeting; Customer Relationship Management; Price; Performance Effectiveness
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      Ascarza, Eva, Raghuram Iyengar, and Martin Schleicher. "The Perils of Proactive Churn Prevention Using Plan Recommendations: Evidence from a Field Experiment." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 53, no. 1 (February 2016): 46–60.
      • Article

      Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance

      By: Katherine Baicker, Sendhil Mullainathan and Joshua Schwartzstein
      A fundamental implication of standard moral hazard models is overuse of low-value medical care because copays are lower than costs. In these models, the demand curve alone can be used to make welfare statements, a fact relied on by much empirical work. There is ample... View Details
      Keywords: Insurance; Consumer Behavior; Health Care and Treatment; Insurance Industry
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      Baicker, Katherine, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Joshua Schwartzstein. "Behavioral Hazard in Health Insurance." Quarterly Journal of Economics 130, no. 4 (November 2015): 1623–1667. (Online Appendix.)
      • Article

      Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market

      By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
      Reaching for yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyzes this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for... View Details
      Keywords: Fixed Income; Reaching For Yield; Financial Intermediation; Insurance Companies; Insurance; Assets; Bonds; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management; Insurance Industry
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      Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Journal of Finance 70, no. 5 (October 2015): 1863–1902.
      • August 2015
      • Article

      Dollar Funding and the Lending Behavior of Global Banks

      By: Victoria Ivashina, David S. Scharfstein and Jeremy C. Stein
      A large share of dollar-denominated lending is done by non-U.S. banks, particularly European banks. We present a model in which such banks cut dollar lending more than euro lending in response to a shock to their credit quality. Because these banks rely on wholesale... View Details
      Keywords: Banks; Global Banks; Credit Supply; Dollar Funding; International Finance; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry
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      Ivashina, Victoria, David S. Scharfstein, and Jeremy C. Stein. "Dollar Funding and the Lending Behavior of Global Banks." Quarterly Journal of Economics 130, no. 3 (August 2015): 1241–1281.
      • April 2015
      • Article

      Money Creation and the Shadow Banking System

      By: Adi Sunderam
      Many explanations for the rapid growth of the shadow banking system in the mid-2000s focus on money demand. This paper asks whether the short-term liabilities of the shadow banking system behave like money. We first present a simple model where households demand money... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Instruments; Banks and Banking
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      Sunderam, Adi. "Money Creation and the Shadow Banking System." Review of Financial Studies 28, no. 4 (April 2015): 939–977.
      • Article

      The Effect of Providing Peer Information on Retirement Savings Decisions

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Katherine L. Milkman
      Using a field experiment in a 401(k) plan, we measure the effect of disseminating information about peer behavior on savings. Low-saving employees received simplified plan enrollment or contribution increase forms. A randomized subset of forms stated the fraction of... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Decision Choices and Conditions; Retirement
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Katherine L. Milkman. "The Effect of Providing Peer Information on Retirement Savings Decisions." Journal of Finance 70, no. 3 (June 2015): 1161–1201.
      • Article

      Waves in Ship Prices and Investment

      By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
      We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but forecast low... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Price; Investment; Shipping Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson. "Waves in Ship Prices and Investment." Quarterly Journal of Economics 130, no. 1 (February 2015): 55–109.
      • December 2014 (Revised July 2021)
      • Case

      Discovery Limited

      By: Michael E. Porter, Mark R. Kramer and Aldo Sesia
      Discovery Ltd. is a South Africa-based insurance company. Started in the early 1990s, Discovery used behavioral economics and data collection to innovate in the health care insurance industry. Its founder Adrian Gore believed that the company's products needed to not... View Details
      Keywords: Shared Value; Health Care; Financial Services; Strategy; Value Creation; Health Care and Treatment; Insurance; Growth and Development Strategy; Financial Services Industry; Health Industry; Insurance Industry; South Africa
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      Porter, Michael E., Mark R. Kramer, and Aldo Sesia. "Discovery Limited." Harvard Business School Case 715-423, December 2014. (Revised July 2021.)
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      The Rise and Fall of Demand for Securitizations

      By: Sergey Chernenko, Samuel G. Hanson and Adi Sunderam
      Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS) backed by nonprime loans played a central role in the recent financial crisis. Little is known, however, about the underlying forces that drove investor demand for these... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Financial Markets; Financial Crisis
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      Chernenko, Sergey, Samuel G. Hanson, and Adi Sunderam. "The Rise and Fall of Demand for Securitizations." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 20777, December 2014.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Patent Trolls: Evidence from Targeted Firms

      By: Lauren Cohen, Umit G. Gurun and Scott Duke Kominers
      We provide the first large-sample evidence on the behavior and impact of non-practicing entities (NPEs) in the intellectual property space. We find that on average, NPEs appear to behave as opportunistic “patent trolls.” NPEs sue cash-rich firms—and target cash in... View Details
      Keywords: Patent Trolls; NPEs; PAEs; Innovation; Patents; Ethics; Lawsuits and Litigation; Innovation and Invention; Corporate Finance
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      Cohen, Lauren, Umit G. Gurun, and Scott Duke Kominers. "Patent Trolls: Evidence from Targeted Firms." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 15-002, July 2014. (Revised June 2018.)
      • July 2014
      • Article

      Smart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial Outcomes

      By: Shawn A. Cole, Anna Paulson and Gauri Kartini Shastry
      Household financial decisions are important for household welfare, economic growth and financial stability. Yet, our understanding of the determinants of financial decision-making is limited. Exploiting exogenous variation in state compulsory schooling laws in both... View Details
      Keywords: Personal Finance; Investment; Decisions; Behavior; Financial Condition
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      Cole, Shawn A., Anna Paulson, and Gauri Kartini Shastry. "Smart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial Outcomes." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 7 (July 2014): 2022–2051.
      • July 2014
      • Article

      Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows

      By: David H. Solomon, Eugene F. Soltes and Denis Sosyura
      We show that media coverage of mutual fund holdings affects how investors allocate money across funds. Controlling for fund performance, fund holdings with high past returns attract extra flows only if these stocks were recently featured in major newspapers. In... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Media; Investment Funds; Financial Services Industry
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      Solomon, David H., Eugene F. Soltes, and Denis Sosyura. "Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows." Journal of Financial Economics 113, no. 1 (July 2014): 53–72.
      • June 2014
      • Article

      Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds

      By: Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
      We document the consequences of money market fund risk taking during the European sovereign debt crisis. Using a novel data set of security-level holdings of prime money market funds, we show that funds with large exposures to risky Eurozone banks suffered significant... View Details
      Keywords: Money Market Mutual Funds; European Sovereign Debt Crisis; Runs; Contagion; Risk Taking; Investment Funds; Financial Crisis; Europe
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      Chernenko, Sergey, and Adi Sunderam. "Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 6 (June 2014): 1717–1750.
      • Article

      Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Brent Neiman and Roberto Rigobon
      We use a novel dataset of online prices of identical goods sold by four large global retailers in dozens of countries to study good-level real exchange rates and their aggregated behavior. First, in contrast to the prior literature, we demonstrate that the law of one... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Union; Law Of One Price; International Prices; Global Firm; Currency Exchange Rate; Price; International Finance
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Brent Neiman, and Roberto Rigobon. "Currency Unions, Product Introductions, and the Real Exchange Rate." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 2 (May 2014): 529–595.
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