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  • 05 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 5

issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the financing costs faced... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Dec 2016
  • First Look

December 6, 2016

rate. In addition, the real rate forecasts returns on the low-minus-high volatility portfolio, though it appears unrelated with measures of the quantity of risk. Our results suggest that precautionary savings motives, and thus the real... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jul 2016
  • First Look

July 19, 2016

downgraded its sales forecast for the coming year, suggesting sales would now be flat. Meanwhile, online retailer Amazon was growing rapidly and, despite being less than one-quarter of the size of Walmart, now boasted a higher market... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 25

perceptions of firms' size and/or market power. Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly Authors:Malcolm Baker, Brendan Bradley, and Jeffrey Wurgler Publication:Financial Analysts Journal 67, no. 1... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 8

estimates. The goal of the framework is to focus the analysts' work on critical uncertainties and model a limited number of scenarios relevant to key investment debates. By outlining a bear, base, and a bull case, the analysts can present... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018

market explains just 1%. In addition, the real rate forecasts returns on volatile stocks, confirming our interpretation that changes in risk appetite drive the real rate. Increases in our measure of risk appetite are followed by a boom in... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 06 Jun 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017

two questions. First, when (and why) should a company’s strategy be developed by its CEO versus by some outside analyst or other insider? Second, how does strategy interact with vision (in the sense of a strong belief about the right... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Aug 2007
  • Research & Ideas

HBS Cases: Using Investor Relations Proactively

Following competitors allows you to position yourself against them. Observing analyst valuations and forecasts raises red flags internally when the market has different views on your company's performance... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Energy; Utilities
  • 28 Sep 2010
  • First Look

First Look: September 28, 2010

show that the magnitude of the forecast errors decrease is associated with the firm-specific differences between local GAAP and IFRS. Exploiting individual analyst level data and isolating settings where... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 1

Could Lose $100 Million On London Olympics; Ratings Not Expected To Beat Beijing," chimed in John Clarke with Forbes. Sandomir and Clarke were not alone in their damning prediction. Analysts and media put forth similar commentary... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 07 Feb 2012
  • First Look

First Look: February 7

and how quoted prices might reflect expectations that are hard to justify. Regardless of which valuation method is employed (e.g., residual income, discounted cash flow, multiples), the case provides a platform (i) to map the firm's key success and risk factors into... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 11

experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and analyst View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 10

trading volume, and more dispersion in analyst forecasts following the calls. Further, the capital market's response to linguistic complexity is limited to firms for which there is greater demand for... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: December 4

is best positioned to manage its own internal conflicts, often by pressing for deal terms that will overcome internal objections and by effectively "selling" the agreement to key constituencies. Far less frequently have analysts... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 15 Jan 2013
  • First Look

First Look: January 15

http://wber.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2012/12/09/wber.lhs031.short?rss=1 Do Analysts Add Value When They Most Can? Evidence from Corporate Spinoffs Authors:Feldman, Emilie R., Stuart C. Gilson, and Belén Villalonga... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Nov 2011
  • First Look

First Look: November 15

Analyst Recommendation and Earnings Forecast Anomaly Author:George Serafeim Publication:Chap. 3 in The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies: Translating Market Inefficiencies into Effective Investment... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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