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Publications

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      • Apr 2009
      • Keynote Speech

      Digital Technology and Its Implications for Content Providers and Aggregators

      By: Anita Elberse
      Keywords: Information Technology; Business Ventures
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      Elberse, Anita. "Digital Technology and Its Implications for Content Providers and Aggregators." Microsoft Media & Entertainment Summit, Redmond, WA, April 2009.
      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Regional Trade Integration and Multinational Firm Strategies

      By: Pol Antras and C. Fritz Foley
      This paper analyzes the effects of the formation of a regional trade agreement on the level and nature of multinational firm activity. We examine aggregate data that captures the response of U.S. multinational firms to the formation of the ASEAN free trade agreement.... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Foreign Direct Investment; Globalized Economies and Regions; Multinational Firms and Management; Growth and Development Strategy; Agreements and Arrangements; Southeast Asia; United States
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      Antras, Pol, and C. Fritz Foley. "Regional Trade Integration and Multinational Firm Strategies." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14891, April 2009.
      • March 2009
      • Book Review

      Review of 'Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows' by A. Razin and E. Sadka

      By: Laura Alfaro
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      Alfaro, Laura. "Review of 'Foreign Direct Investment: Analysis of Aggregate Flows' by A. Razin and E. Sadka." Journal of Economic Literature 47, no. 1 (March 2009): 187–190.
      • December 2008
      • Article

      Style Investing and Institutional Investors

      By: Kenneth A. Froot and Melvyn Teo
      This paper explores institutional investors' trades in stocks grouped by style and the relationship of these trades with equity market returns. It aggregates transactions drawn from a large universe of approximately $6 trillion of institutional funds. To analyze style... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, Kenneth A., and Melvyn Teo. "Style Investing and Institutional Investors." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 43, no. 4 (December 2008): 883–906. (Revised from: Equity Style Returns and Institutional Investor Flows, Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 04-048, June 2004.)
      • October 2008
      • Case

      TripIt: The Traveler's Agent

      By: Lynda M. Applegate, Gabriele Piccoli and Kathryn Brohman
      In July 2008, the co-founders of TripIt, a free online travel organizer that aggregated travelers' bookings from many top travel websites, had recently secured $5.1 million in new financing. While the co-founders believed that their company offered travelers a unique... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Investment; Profit; Revenue; Growth and Development Strategy; Competition; Internet; Travel Industry
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      Applegate, Lynda M., Gabriele Piccoli, and Kathryn Brohman. "TripIt: The Traveler's Agent." Harvard Business School Case 809-059, October 2008.
      • Article

      An Exploration of Marketing's Impact on Society: A Perspective Linked to Democracy

      By: John A. Quelch and Katherine Jocz
      The authors propose a political theory perspective for examining the impact of the modern aggregate marketing system on consumer welfare and society. Specifically, they suggest that the benefits marketing delivers to consumers are similar to the conditions required for... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Marketing; Demand and Consumers; Welfare
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      Quelch, John A., and Katherine Jocz. "An Exploration of Marketing's Impact on Society: A Perspective Linked to Democracy." Journal of Public Policy & Marketing 27, no. 2 (Fall 2008): 202–206.
      • 2008
      • Working Paper

      Signaling Firm Performance Through Financial Statement Presentation: An Analysis Using Special Items

      By: Edward J. Riedl and Suraj Srinivasan
      This paper investigates whether managers' presentation of special items within the financial statements reflects economic performance or opportunism. Specifically, we assess special items presented as a separate line item on the income statement (income statement... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Reporting; Financial Statements; Decision Choices and Conditions; Corporate Disclosure; Performance
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      Riedl, Edward J., and Suraj Srinivasan. "Signaling Firm Performance Through Financial Statement Presentation: An Analysis Using Special Items." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 09-031, September 2008. (Conditionally accepted at Contemporary Accounting Research.)
      • June 2008 (Revised October 2008)
      • Case

      International Carbon Finance and EcoSecurities

      By: Andre F. Perold, Forest L. Reinhardt and Mikell Hyman
      In late 2007, EcoSecurities had to decide whether to undertake a new Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) project in China. EcoSecurities was an aggregator of carbon credits and also invested directly in projects that produced carbon credits. Governments and firms... View Details
      Keywords: Non-Renewable Energy; Cost Management; Investment Return; Business and Government Relations; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment; Cash Flow; Valuation; Pollutants; Environmental Sustainability; Financial Services Industry; China
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      Perold, Andre F., Forest L. Reinhardt, and Mikell Hyman. "International Carbon Finance and EcoSecurities." Harvard Business School Case 208-151, June 2008. (Revised October 2008.)
      • March 2008 (Revised March 2010)
      • Module Note

      Global Capital and National Institutions: Crisis and Choice in the International Financial Architecture

      By: Laura Alfaro
      This module note presents a series of case studies taught in the Harvard Business School course Institutions, Macroeconomics, and the Global Economy (IMaGE). The course addresses the opportunities created by the emergence of a global economy and proposes strategies for... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Globalized Economies and Regions; Macroeconomics
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      Alfaro, Laura. "Global Capital and National Institutions: Crisis and Choice in the International Financial Architecture." Harvard Business School Module Note 708-041, March 2008. (Revised March 2010.)
      • June 2008
      • Article

      How Are Preferences Revealed?

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
      Revealed preferences are tastes that rationalize an economic agent's observed actions. Normative preferences represent the agent's actual interests. It sometimes makes sense to assume that revealed preferences are identical to normative preferences. But there are many... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Attitudes; Microeconomics
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "How Are Preferences Revealed?" Journal of Public Economics 92, nos. 8-9 (June 2008): 1787–1794.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      A Taste For Obscurity: An Individual-Level Examination of 'Long Tail' Consumption

      By: Anita Elberse
      Because online retailers are often able to provide products in a more cost-efficient manner than bricks-and-mortar stores, online channels are characterized by a vast assortment of products. Proponents of the "long tail" principle recently argued that the demand for... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Consumer Behavior; Distribution Channels; Product; Renting or Rental; Online Technology; Motion Pictures and Video Industry; Music Industry; Retail Industry
      Citation
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      Elberse, Anita. "A Taste For Obscurity: An Individual-Level Examination of 'Long Tail' Consumption." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-008, August 2007.
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Real investors and markets are too complicated to be neatly summarized by a few selected biases and trading frictions. The "top down" approach to behavioral finance focuses on the measurement of reduced form, aggregate sentiment and traces its effects to stock returns.... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Markets; Behavioral Finance; Stocks
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13189, June 2007.
      • 2006
      • Chapter

      Taxation and the Evolution of Aggregate Corporate Ownership Concentration

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Dhammika Dharmapala and Winnie Fung
      Keywords: Taxation; Expansion; Business Ventures; Ownership
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      Desai, Mihir A., Dhammika Dharmapala, and Winnie Fung. "Taxation and the Evolution of Aggregate Corporate Ownership Concentration." In Taxing Corporate Income in the 21st Century, edited by Alan Auerbach, James R. Hines Jr., and Joel Slemrod. Cambridge University Press, 2006.
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Taxation and the Evolution of Aggregate Corporate Ownership Concentration

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Dhammika Dharmapala and Winnie Fung
      Citation
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      Desai, Mihir A., Dhammika Dharmapala, and Winnie Fung. "Taxation and the Evolution of Aggregate Corporate Ownership Concentration." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w11469, July 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns

      By: Robin Greenwood
      Aggregate investment in cash and liquid assets as a share of total corporate investment is negatively related to subsequent U.S. stock market returns between 1947 and 2003. The share of cash in total investment is a more stable predictor of returns than scaled price... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Financial Liquidity; Cash; Investment Return; Corporate Finance
      Citation
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-014, April 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis

      By: Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho
      Modigliani and Cohn [1979] hypothesize that the stock market suffers from money illusion, discounting real cash flows at nominal discount rates. While previous research has focused on the pricing of the aggregate stock market relative to Treasury bills, the... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Cash Flow
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      Cohen, Randolph B., Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho. "Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11018, January 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
      Citation
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • June 2004
      • Article

      Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
      We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity-such as lower bid-ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover-predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational... View Details
      Keywords: Markets; Financial Liquidity; Price; Trade; Sales; Equity; Information; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Accounting Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeremy Stein. "Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator." Journal of Financial Markets 7, no. 3 (June 2004): 271–299.
      • July 2003
      • Article

      The Effects of Monetary Magnitude and Level of Aggregation on the Temporal Framing of Price

      By: John T. Gourville
      Keywords: Price
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      Gourville, John T. "The Effects of Monetary Magnitude and Level of Aggregation on the Temporal Framing of Price." Marketing Letters 14, no. 2 (July 2003): 125–135.
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