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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(3,072)
- People (5)
- News (697)
- Research (2,076)
- Events (8)
- Multimedia (14)
- Faculty Publications (907)
- June 1986
- Article
Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices
By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
- 2003
- Article
Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns
By: Michael B. Clement, Richard Frankel and Jeffrey Miller
In this study we examine the association among confirming management forecasts, stock prices, and analyst expectations. Confirming management forecasts are voluntary disclosures by management that corroborate existing market expectations about future earnings. This... View Details
Clement, Michael B., Richard Frankel, and Jeffrey Miller. "Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns." Journal of Accounting Research 41, no. 4 (2003): 653–679.
- 29 Apr 2015
- Lessons from the Classroom
Use Personal Experience to Pick Winning Stocks
Let's face it: in most cases, the stock market knows what it's doing. With millions of people performing their homework and investing money in stocks they hope will pay off,... View Details
- Article
Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor
By: Luis M. Viceira, John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes and Pascal J. Maenhout
Viceira, Luis M., John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes, and Pascal J. Maenhout. "Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor." European Finance Review 5, no. 3 (2001).
- 2005
- Working Paper
Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis
By: Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho
Modigliani and Cohn [1979] hypothesize that the stock market suffers from money illusion, discounting real cash flows at nominal discount rates. While previous research has focused on the pricing of the aggregate stock market relative to Treasury bills, the... View Details
Cohen, Randolph B., Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho. "Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11018, January 2005.
- 04 Aug 2022
- News
Restoring Shareholder Confidence When Your Stock Is Down
- 2024
- Working Paper
Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns
By: Shirley Lu, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu and George Serafeim
Using large language models to measure firms' climate solution products and services, we find that high-climate solution firms exhibit lower stock returns and higher market valuation multiples. Their stock prices respond positively to events signaling increased demand... View Details
Keywords: Technology; Generative Ai; Large Language Models; Climate Finance; Climate Change; Innovation and Invention; Environmental Sustainability; AI and Machine Learning; Investment; Financial Markets
Lu, Shirley, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu, and George Serafeim. "Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-024, November 2024.
- 1 Mar 2002 - 3 Mar 2004
- Conference Presentation
Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances
Villalonga, Belen, and Anita M. McGahan. "Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances." Paper presented at the Brigham Young University-University of Utah Winter Strategy Conference, March 1, 2002–March 3, 2004. (Also presented at the Strategic Management Society Annual International Conference, Paris, September 2002; MIT Organizational Economics lunch seminar, September 2002; NBER Productivity lunch seminar, Boston, April 2002; Harvard Business School Finance lunch seminar, September 2001; Academy of Management Association Annual Meeting, Washington DC, August 2001; Strategy Research Forum, Northwestern University, May 2001.)
- 19 May 2008
- Research & Ideas
Connecting School Ties and Stock Recommendations
Social networks matter for more than just efficient Internet communication. They're also crucial for the strong performance of stock recommendations by analysts, according to researchers at Harvard Business School and the University of... View Details
- 24 Feb 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds
- March 2007
- Article
Gender Effects and Stock Market Reactions to the Announcement of Top Executive Appointments
This study uses Kanter's token status theory to link announcements of top executives to shareholder reactions, highlighting possible gender effects. Using a sample of top executive announcements from 1990 to 2000, our results show that investor reactions to the... View Details
- May 2011
- Case
Oriental Fortune Capital: Building a Better Stock Exchange
By: Josh Lerner and Keith Chi-ho Wong
When ChiNext opened in October 2009 as the second tier market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE), it aimed to provide Chinese entrepreneurs with equity capital and to facilitate the exits of venture capital firms and other investors which had previously relied on... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Stocks; Financial Markets; Venture Capital; Private Equity; International Finance; Financial Services Industry; China
Lerner, Josh, and Keith Chi-ho Wong. "Oriental Fortune Capital: Building a Better Stock Exchange." Harvard Business School Case 811-105, May 2011.
- February 5, 2009
- Comment
In Praise of Marketing
By: John A. Quelch
Many dismiss marketing as manipulative, deceptive, and intrusive. Marketing, they argue, focuses too much of our attention on material consumption. More recently, Benjamin Barber, in his 2007 book Consumed, claims that marketing is "sucking up the air from every other... View Details
Keywords: Marketing; Consumer Loyalty; Local Vs. Global Branding; Multi-national Brands; Misleading and Fraudulent Advertising; Customer Value and Value Chain; Customer Satisfaction; Globalized Economies and Regions; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Multinational Firms and Management; Globalized Markets and Industries; Brands and Branding; Marketing Communications; Marketing Strategy; Product Positioning
Quelch, John A. "In Praise of Marketing." Harvard Business School Working Knowledge (February 5, 2009).
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
Analyst Disagreement, Forecast Bias and Stock Returns
- August 1999
- Article
How Are Stock Prices Affected by the Location of Trade?
By: K. A. Froot and E. Dabora
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Market Segmentation; International Markets; Law Of One Price; Behavioral Finance
Froot, K. A., and E. Dabora. "How Are Stock Prices Affected by the Location of Trade?" Journal of Financial Economics 53, no. 2 (August 1999): 189–216. (Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003. Also reprinted in Advances in Behavioral Finance, Vol. 2, edited by Richard Thaler. New Jersey: Princeton University Press; New York: Russell Sage Foundation, July 2005, 102-129.)
- Fast Answer
Stock prices: current & historical
Where do I find current or historical company stock prices? Bloomberg is best for current prices (Note: There is a 20-minute delay). Type a company ticker and then hit the EQUITY key; e.g., MSFT US [EQUITY] for... View Details
- Article
Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
By: Mark Seasholes, Radu Burlacu, Patrice Fontaine and Sonia Jimenez-Garces
This paper mathematically transforms unobservable rational expectation equilibrium model parameters (information precision and supply uncertainty) into a single variable that is correlated with expected returns and that can be estimated with recently observed data. Our... View Details
Keywords: Risk Premiums; Cross-sectional Asset Pricing; REE Models; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Investment Return
Seasholes, Mark, Radu Burlacu, Patrice Fontaine, and Sonia Jimenez-Garces. "Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Financial Economics 105, no. 3 (September 2012): 511–522.
- 2024
- Working Paper
What Drives Variation in Investor Portfolios? Estimating the Roles of Beliefs and Risk Preferences
By: Mark Egan, Alexander MacKay and Hanbin Yang
We present an empirical model of portfolio choice that allows for the nonparametric estimation of investors' (subjective) expectations and risk preferences. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of 401(k) plans from 2009 through 2019, we explore heterogeneity in asset... View Details
Keywords: Stock Market Expectations; Demand Estimation; Retirement Planning; Defined Contribution Retirement Plan; 401 (K); Finance; Investment Portfolio; Investment; Retirement; Behavioral Finance; Financial Services Industry; United States
Egan, Mark, Alexander MacKay, and Hanbin Yang. "What Drives Variation in Investor Portfolios? Estimating the Roles of Beliefs and Risk Preferences." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-044, December 2021. (Revisions Requested at the Review of Financial Studies. Revised April 2024. Direct download. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29604, December 2021)
- November 2002 (Revised April 2003)
- Case
New York Stock Exchange versus NASDAQ, The
By: Estelle S. Cantillon and Tarun Khanna
Reviews the competition between stock markets, specifically the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ, as it plays out both in the United States and internationally. The competition between the two exchanges is interesting because of technological developments and the... View Details
Cantillon, Estelle S., and Tarun Khanna. "New York Stock Exchange versus NASDAQ, The." Harvard Business School Case 703-439, November 2002. (Revised April 2003.)
- 2010
- Working Paper
Quality Provision, Expected Firm Altruism and Brand Extensions
By: Julio J. Rotemberg
This paper studies quality choice in a model where consumers expect firms to act altruistically. It is shown that, under plausible assumptions regarding this altruism and the reaction of consumers to firms that demonstrate insufficient altruism, existing firms (or... View Details
Keywords: Brands and Branding; Consumer Behavior; Product Development; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Quality; Mathematical Methods
Rotemberg, Julio J. "Quality Provision, Expected Firm Altruism and Brand Extensions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15635, January 2010.