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    • All HBS Web  (1,078)
      • Faculty Publications  (257)

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      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      Recurrent concerns over debt sustainability in emerging and developed nations have prompted renewed debate on the role of fiscal rules. Their optimality, however, remains unclear. We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of sovereign debt... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Debt; Hyperbolic Discounting; Fiscal Rules; Sovereign Finance
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-134, June 2016. (Also NBER Working Paper w23370. Revised January 2019.)
      • June 2016
      • Article

      Vaccination Rates Are Associated with Functional Proximity but Not Base Proximity of Vaccination Clinics

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Gwendolyn I. Reynolds
      Background: Routine annual influenza vaccinations are recommended for persons 6 months of age and older, but less than half of U.S. adults get vaccinated. Many employers offer employees free influenza vaccinations at workplace clinics, but even then take-up is... View Details
      Keywords: Geographic Location; Employees; Health Care and Treatment
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Gwendolyn I. Reynolds. "Vaccination Rates Are Associated with Functional Proximity but Not Base Proximity of Vaccination Clinics." Medical Care 54, no. 6 (June 2016): 578–583.
      • March 2016 (Revised October 2023)
      • Case

      Central European Distribution Corporation: Hostile Takeover, Bankruptcy Makeover

      By: Stuart C. Gilson and Sarah L. Abbott
      In early 2013, Central European Distribution Corporation (CEDC), a large publicly traded producer and distributer of vodka and spirits in Eastern and Central Europe, has suffered significant declines in its financial performance, is at risk of defaulting on its debt,... View Details
      Keywords: Hostile Takeover; Accounting Restatement; Activist Shareholder; Restructuring; Mergers and Acquisitions; Financial Statements; Corporate Governance; Investment Activism; Distribution Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; United States; Russia; Europe
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      Gilson, Stuart C., and Sarah L. Abbott. "Central European Distribution Corporation: Hostile Takeover, Bankruptcy Makeover." Harvard Business School Case 216-059, March 2016. (Revised October 2023.)
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Paying (for) Attention: The Impact of Information Processing Costs on Bayesian Inference

      By: Scott Duke Kominers, Xiaosheng Mu and Alexander Peysakhovich
      Human information processing is often modeled as costless Bayesian inference. However, research in psychology shows that attention is a computationally costly and potentially limited resource. We study a Bayesian individual for whom computing posterior beliefs is... View Details
      Keywords: Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Economics
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      Kominers, Scott Duke, Xiaosheng Mu, and Alexander Peysakhovich. "Paying (for) Attention: The Impact of Information Processing Costs on Bayesian Inference." Working Paper, February 2016.
      • 2016
      • Article

      Penalized Fast Subset Scanning

      By: Skyler Speakman, Sriram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
      We present the penalized fast subset scan (PFSS), a new and general framework for scalable and accurate pattern detection. PFSS enables exact and efficient identification of the most anomalous subsets of the data, as measured by a likelihood ratio scan statistic.... View Details
      Keywords: Disease Surveillance; Likelihood Ratio Statistic; Pattern Detection; Scan Statistic; Mathematical Methods
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      Speakman, Skyler, Sriram Somanchi, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Penalized Fast Subset Scanning." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 25, no. 2 (2016): 382–404. (Selected for “Best of JCGS” invited session by the journal’s editor in chief.)
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      What Factors Drive Director Perceptions of Their Board's Effectiveness?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Richard Ellis Crum
      We use a survey of directors to collect data on their ratings of board effectiveness as well as board internal dynamics and key processes. Controlling for many of the governance metrics examined by prior research, we find that directors’ ratings of their boards’... View Details
      Keywords: Board Of Directors; Corporate Governance; Performance Effectiveness; Perception; Risk Management
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul M. Healy, and Richard Ellis Crum. "What Factors Drive Director Perceptions of Their Board's Effectiveness?" Working Paper, February 2016.
      • December 2015
      • Article

      Introduction: New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structure

      By: Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida and Malcolm Baker
      The National Bureau of Economic Research held a symposium titled "New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structures" on April 5–6, 2013 in Cambridge, Massachusetts. In its call for the submission of theoretical and empirical papers for the symposium, the NBER noted that... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Structure; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Corporate Finance
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      Acharya, Viral, Heitor Almeida, and Malcolm Baker. "Introduction: New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structure." Journal of Financial Economics 118, no. 3 (December 2015): 551–552.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications

      By: Emil Siriwardane
      I analyze a rare disasters economy that yields a measure of the risk neutral probability of a macroeconomic disaster, p*t. A large panel of options data provides strong evidence that p*t is the single factor driving option-implied jump risk measures in the cross... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics
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      Siriwardane, Emil. "The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-061, November 2015.
      • August 2015
      • Article

      Poultry in Motion: A Study of International Trade Finance Practices

      By: Pol Antràs and C. Fritz Foley
      This paper analyzes the financing terms that support international trade and sheds light on how these terms shape the impact of economic shocks on trade. Analysis of transaction-level data from a U.S.-based exporter of frozen and refrigerated food products, primarily... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Financing and Loans; Trade
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      Antràs, Pol, and C. Fritz Foley. "Poultry in Motion: A Study of International Trade Finance Practices." Journal of Political Economy 123, no. 4 (August 2015): 853–901. (Revised May 2014. Online Appendix.)
      • Article

      Medicine's Continuous Improvement Imperative

      By: Robert S. Huckman and Ananth Raman
      Maintaining quality and spurring innovation have long been central objectives of the US health care system. Like other health care professionals, physicians are challenged to minimize the likelihood of errors that could harm patients while simultaneously making efforts... View Details
      Keywords: Medicine; Continuous Improvement; Toyota Production System; Alcoa; Health Care and Treatment; Performance Improvement; Health Industry
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      Huckman, Robert S., and Ananth Raman. "Medicine's Continuous Improvement Imperative." JAMA, the Journal of the American Medical Association 313, no. 18 (May 12, 2015): 1811–1812.
      • May 2015
      • Article

      Admitting Mistakes: Home Country Effect on the Reliability of Restatement Reporting

      By: Suraj Srinivasan, Aida Sijamic Wahid and Gwen Yu
      We study the frequency of restatements by foreign firms listed on U.S. exchanges. We find that the restatement rate of U.S. listed foreign firms is significantly lower than that of comparable U.S. firms and that the difference depends on the firm's home country... View Details
      Keywords: Accounting Restatements; Home Country Enforcement; Earnings Management; Globalized Firms and Management; Law; Financial Reporting; Financial Markets; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, Aida Sijamic Wahid, and Gwen Yu. "Admitting Mistakes: Home Country Effect on the Reliability of Restatement Reporting." Accounting Review 90, no. 3 (May 2015): 1201–1240.
      • November 2014
      • Case

      Oasys Water: Balancing Strategic Partnerships & Financing Decisions

      By: Ramana Nanda, William A. Sahlman and Sid Misra
      Oasys Water had developed a proprietary water treatment technology based on an innovative forward osmosis process that could remove dissolved solids from water more effectively and efficiently than existing technologies. As Oasys looked to scale, it was exploring... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurial Finance; Finance; Strategy; Entrepreneurship; China
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      Nanda, Ramana, William A. Sahlman, and Sid Misra. "Oasys Water: Balancing Strategic Partnerships & Financing Decisions." Harvard Business School Case 815-076, November 2014.
      • June 2014
      • Article

      Informal Peer Interaction and Practice Type as Predictors of Physician Performance on Maintenance of Certification Examinations

      By: Melissa A. Valentine, S. Barsade, Amy C. Edmondson, A. Gal and R. Rhodes
      Context: Physicians can demonstrate mastery of the knowledge that supports continued clinical competence by passing a Maintenance of Certification exam. Exam performance depends on professional learning and development, which may be enhanced by informal routine... View Details
      Keywords: Training; Health Care and Treatment; Performance; Social and Collaborative Networks; Learning; Health Industry
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      Valentine, Melissa A., S. Barsade, Amy C. Edmondson, A. Gal, and R. Rhodes. "Informal Peer Interaction and Practice Type as Predictors of Physician Performance on Maintenance of Certification Examinations." JAMA Surgery 149, no. 6 (June 2014): 597–603.
      • 2014
      • Chapter

      Who Uses the Roth 401(k), and How Do They Use It?

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
      Using administrative data from twelve companies that added a Roth 401(k) option between 2006 and 2010, we describe the characteristics of Roth contributions. Approximately one year after the Roth is introduced, 9% of 401(k) participants have positive Roth balances.... View Details
      Keywords: Retirement; Investment Funds; United States
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian. "Who Uses the Roth 401(k), and How Do They Use It?" Chap. 12 in Discoveries in the Economics of Aging, edited by David A. Wise. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2014.
      • 2014
      • Book

      Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World

      By: John P. Kotter
      Based on the award-winning article in Harvard Business Review, from global leadership expert John Kotter. It's a familiar scene in organizations today: a new competitive threat or a big opportunity emerges. You quickly create a strategic initiative in response and... View Details
      Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Organizational Structure
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      Kotter, John P. Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World. Harvard Business Review Press, 2014.
      • April 2014
      • Article

      Golden Parachutes and the Wealth of Shareholders

      By: Lucian A. Bebchuk, Alma Cohen and Charles C.Y. Wang
      Golden parachutes (GPs) have attracted substantial attention from investors and public officials for more than two decades. We find that GPs are associated with higher expected acquisition premiums and that this association is at least partly due to the effect of GPs... View Details
      Keywords: Golden Parachute; Acquisitions; Takeovers; Acquisition Takeover; Acquisition Likelihood; Acquisition Premiums; Agency Costs; Managerial Slack; Dodd-Frank; Executive Compensation; Acquisition; Corporate Governance; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Bebchuk, Lucian A., Alma Cohen, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Golden Parachutes and the Wealth of Shareholders." Journal of Corporate Finance 25 (April 2014): 140–154.
      • February 18, 2014
      • Article

      Keep Your Kids out of the Entitlement Trap

      By: Josh Baron and Rob Lachenauer
      This article discusses the concern among wealthy family business owners that their children may become entitled and fail to contribute to society. The fear is grounded in reality, as studies show that a significant portion of inherited wealth is squandered. The article... View Details
      Keywords: Family Ownership; Wealth; Family and Family Relationships; Personal Development and Career
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      Baron, Josh, and Rob Lachenauer. "Keep Your Kids out of the Entitlement Trap." Harvard Business Review (website) (February 18, 2014).
      • February 2014
      • Article

      Accountability of Independent Directors—Evidence from Firms Subject to Securities Litigation

      By: Francois Brochet and Suraj Srinivasan
      We examine which independent directors are held accountable when investors sue firms for financial- and disclosure-related fraud. Investors can name independent directors as defendants in lawsuits, and they can vote against their re-election to express displeasure over... View Details
      Keywords: Independent Directors; Litigation Risk; Class Action Lawsuits; Director Accountability; Reputation; Boards Of Directors; Corporate Governance; Debt Securities; Corporate Accountability; Lawsuits and Litigation
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      Brochet, Francois, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Accountability of Independent Directors—Evidence from Firms Subject to Securities Litigation." Journal of Financial Economics 111, no. 2 (February 2014): 430–449.
      • 2014
      • Case

      Microfinance Services in Rural Areas--Farmers' Self-reliance Branch of CFPA Microfinance in Shangyi County

      By: F. Warren McFarlan, Siqun Yang and Meihua Shen
      Microfinance is introduced into China in the 1990s. It had gone through 3 phases since the beginning, namely the pilot phase when all Microfinance practices are sponsored by charity funds based on projects, the promotion phase when the government subsidized some... View Details
      Keywords: Rural Entrepreneurship; Value Added; China; Risk Management; Microfinance; China
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      McFarlan, F. Warren, Siqun Yang, and Meihua Shen. "Microfinance Services in Rural Areas--Farmers' Self-reliance Branch of CFPA Microfinance in Shangyi County." 2014.
      • 2014
      • Teaching Note

      Microfinance Services in Rural Areas--Farmers' Self-reliance Branch of CFPA Microfinance in Shangyi County (TN)

      By: F. Warren McFarlan, Yang Siqun and Shen Meihua
      Microfinance is introduced into China in the 1990s. It had gone through 3 phases since the beginning, namely the pilot phase when all Microfinance practices are sponsored by charity funds based on projects, the promotion phase when the government subsidized some... View Details
      Keywords: Microfinance; Rural Entrepreneurship; Value Added; China; China
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      McFarlan, F. Warren, Yang Siqun, and Shen Meihua. "Microfinance Services in Rural Areas--Farmers' Self-reliance Branch of CFPA Microfinance in Shangyi County (TN)." Tsinghua University Teaching Note, 2014.
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