Filter Results:
(1,266)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,266)
- News (116)
- Research (1,045)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (6)
- Faculty Publications (792)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,266)
- News (116)
- Research (1,045)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (6)
- Faculty Publications (792)
- 2018
- Working Paper
Averaging Probability Forecasts: Back to the Future
By: Robert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. and Victor Richmond R. Jose
The use and aggregation of probability forecasts in practice is on the rise. In this position piece, we explore some recent, and not so recent, developments concerning the use of probability forecasts in decision-making. Despite these advances, challenges still exist.... View Details
Keywords: Probability Forecast; Forecast Combination; Forecast Evaluation; Decision Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; Decision Making; Analysis
Winkler, Robert L., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., and Victor Richmond R. Jose. "Averaging Probability Forecasts: Back to the Future." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-039, October 2018.
- February 2024
- Supplement
Data-Driven Denim: Financial Forecasting at Levi Strauss: Historical Data
By: Mark Egan
- January–February 2023
- Article
Forecasting COVID-19 and Analyzing the Effect of Government Interventions
By: Michael Lingzhi Li, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, Omar Skali Lami, Thomas Trikalinos, Nikolaos Trichakis and Dimitris Bertsimas
We developed DELPHI, a novel epidemiological model for predicting detected cases and deaths in the prevaccination era of the COVID-19 pandemic. The model allows for underdetection of infections and effects of government interventions. We have applied DELPHI across more... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Epidemics; Analytics and Data Science; Health Pandemics; AI and Machine Learning; Forecasting and Prediction
Li, Michael Lingzhi, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, Omar Skali Lami, Thomas Trikalinos, Nikolaos Trichakis, and Dimitris Bertsimas. "Forecasting COVID-19 and Analyzing the Effect of Government Interventions." Operations Research 71, no. 1 (January–February 2023): 184–201.
- March 1981 (Revised February 1983)
- Background Note
Forecasts by Bankers of Brazil's Performance in 1981
Wellons, Philip A. "Forecasts by Bankers of Brazil's Performance in 1981." Harvard Business School Background Note 381-145, March 1981. (Revised February 1983.)
- January 2024 (Revised February 2024)
- Supplement
Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs’ Growth
By: Mark Egan
- 2007
- Working Paper
Incorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting
By: Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur and Ananth Raman
Kesavan, Saravanan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman. "Incorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-056, March 2007.
- August 1988 (Revised January 1989)
- Supplement
Optical Distortion New Product Forecasting Model, Master Diskette
Kosnik, Thomas J. "Optical Distortion New Product Forecasting Model, Master Diskette." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 588-547, August 1988. (Revised January 1989.)
- January 1982 (Revised May 1983)
- Case
Unitrode Corp. (B): Short Term Forecasting and Major Procurements
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Unitrode Corp. (B): Short Term Forecasting and Major Procurements." Harvard Business School Case 182-179, January 1982. (Revised May 1983.)
- 2009
- Article
The Harvard Economic Service and the Problems of Forecasting
By: Walter Friedman
Friedman, Walter. "The Harvard Economic Service and the Problems of Forecasting." History of Political Economy 41, no. 1 (2009).
- 02 Nov 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning
Keywords: by Rogelio Oliva & Noel H. Watson
- 30 Aug 2012
- News
Three Tips for Leaders About to Miss Their Forecasts
- September 2023
- Supplement
Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs’ Growth (B)
By: Mark Egan
As 2017 was drawing to a close, birddogs’ founder and CEO, Peter Baldwin, was working with his CFO Jack Sullivan to prepare for 2018. Their task at hand? To predict the demand for their product in the coming season, determine the appropriate investments in working... View Details
Keywords: Working Capital; Forecasting and Prediction; Expansion; Production; Apparel and Accessories Industry
Egan, Mark. "Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs’ Growth (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 224-024, September 2023.
- 2006
- Working Paper
Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning
To date, little research has been done on managing the organizational and political dimensions of generating and improving forecasts in corporate settings. We examine the implementation of a supply chain planning process at a consumer electronics company, concentrating... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Business or Company Management; Supply Chain Management; Forecasting and Prediction; Planning; Electronics Industry
Oliva, Rogelio, and Noel Watson. "Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 07-024, October 2006. (Revised March 2007, January 2008.)
- June 2015
- Supplement
Generating Higher Value at IBM (A): EPS Forecasting Model
By: Benjamin C. Esty and Scott Mayfield
This case analyzes IBM's financial performance and its capital allocation decisions over a 10-year period from 2004-2013, during which IBM returned more than $140B to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. During this time, CEO Sam... View Details
- May 1986
- Case
E.T. Phone Home, Inc.: Forecasting Business Demand, Software Case
Vitale, Michael R. "E.T. Phone Home, Inc.: Forecasting Business Demand, Software Case." Harvard Business School Case 186-270, May 1986.
- April 1966
- Article
A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression
By: D. B. Crane and James R. Crotty
Keywords: Mathematical Methods
Crane, D. B., and James R. Crotty. "A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression." Management Science 13, no. 8 (April 1966).
- April 1995 (Revised April 2008)
- Teaching Note
L.L. Bean, Inc.: Item Forecasting and Inventory Management TN
Teaching Note for (9-893-003). View Details
- January 1995
- Teaching Note
Stride Rite Corporation (A), The: Demand Forecasting Process TN
- June 1988 (Revised November 1989)
- Background Note
The Optical Distortion New Product Forecasting Model, Caseware Instructions
Kosnik, Thomas J. "The Optical Distortion New Product Forecasting Model, Caseware Instructions." Harvard Business School Background Note 588-079, June 1988. (Revised November 1989.)
- 27 Jun 2017
- News