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  • 24 Sep 2014
  • Op-Ed

We Need a Miracle. New Nuclear Might Provide it.

On September 4, the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) published its 2014 International Energy Outlook. Earlier this year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its latest World Energy Investment Outlook. Both watchdogs tell us the same story. Energy... View Details
Keywords: by Joseph Lassiter; Energy; Utilities
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Feb 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Inexperienced Investors and Market Bubbles

managers over-invested in technology stocks. Why are the less-experienced managers drawn to technology? A: Our hypothesis is that younger managers, and inexperienced investors more generally, are more likely to extrapolate past price movements when forming their View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services
  • October 2007
  • Journal Article

Psychosocial Development and Leader Performance of Military Officer Cadets

By: Scott Snook and Paul T. Bartone
Efforts to educate and develop future military officers aim to produce highly competent, ethical and effective leaders to serve the nation. But while there is general agreement about desired outcomes, the underlying developmental processes associated with these... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Leadership Development; Performance Evaluation; Personal Development and Career; Social Psychology
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  • 11 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 11

students and investors how to evaluate mutual funds and other collective investment vehicles. It discusses how different types of funds are managed, marketed, and regulated. It also reviews how funds invest and gather assets in countries... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 5, 2007

own ethicality. We argue that the temporal trichotomy of prediction, action and evaluation is central to these misperceptions: People predict that they will behave more ethically than they actually do, and when View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 26 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 26, 2007

from investors. CircleLending is a pioneer in the informal lending market, a largely unstudied and little understood consumer finance segment. Asheesh Advani, the founder and CEO of CircleLending, must evaluate the relative attractiveness... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 11 Dec 2007
  • First Look

First Look: December 11, 2007

  Working PapersThe Seer of Wellesley Hills: Roger Babson and the Babson Statistical Organization Author:Walter A. Friedman Abstract Roger Babson was a pioneer of the business-forecasting industry in the United States in the early twentieth century. He built the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Feb 2016
  • Research & Ideas

The Civic Benefits of Google Street View and Yelp

Yelp restaurant reviews to target hygiene inspections? “There is so much data now, it’s exhilarating—and frightening” “There is all sorts of data that is coming in now,” says Luca, “and if you use it carefully you could revamp the way that every policy is View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Consumer Products
  • April 2023
  • Article

Performance on Patient Experience Measures of Former Chief Medical Residents as Physician Exemplars Chosen by the Profession

By: Lucy Chen and J. Michael McWilliams
OBJECTIVE To compare care for patients of primary care physicians (PCPs) who were former chiefs with care for patients of nonchief PCPs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Using 2010 to 2018 Medicare Fee-For-Service Consumer Assessment of Healthcare... View Details
Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Competency and Skills; Surveys; Health Industry
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  • 07 Jul 2014
  • Research & Ideas

Banning Big-box Stores Can Hurt Local Retailers

that something was happening." To evaluate the effects of planning regulation on independent retailers, Sadun studied the retail landscape in the United Kingdom between 1998 and 2003. Not surprisingly, she discovered that the... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Retail
  • 11 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 11

of bank leverage and risk exposures contributes to a form of systemic risk. We compute bank exposures to system-wide deleveraging, as well as the spillover of a single bank's deleveraging onto other banks. We show how our model can be used to View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 Jan 2009
  • First Look

First Look: January 21, 2009

misperceptions: People predict that they will behave more ethically than they actually do, and when evaluating past (un)ethical behavior, they believe they behaved more ethically than they actually did. We use the "want/should"... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 15 Apr 2008
  • First Look

First Look: April 15, 2008

specializing in building and managing prisons. Students must assess the firm's strategy and risks, evaluate key financial reports, derive forecasts of future performance, and use these View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

Behavioral Decision Making The Impact of 'Display-Set' Options on Decision-Making By: Karmarkar, Uma R. Abstract—The way a choice set is constructed can have a significant influence on how individuals perceive and evaluate their options... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 28 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 28

  Publications August 2013 Princeton University Press Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters By: Friedman, Walter A. Abstract—The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 8

to accomplish the following: mine your sales data to identify "homerun" products you're missing; reinvent your forecasting and pricing strategies; build end-to-end agility into your supply chain; establish incentives that align... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 05 Nov 2007
  • Research & Ideas

The Changing Face of American Innovation

with a complete characterization of these mechanisms can we begin to forecast future implications with accuracy. We can nevertheless agree that attracting and retaining these ethnic researchers is an important facet for maintaining U.S.... View Details
Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Technology
  • 27 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 27, 2018

percent increase in housing prices. Moreover, Yelp measures of local business activity provide leading indicators for housing price changes and help to forecast which neighborhoods are gentrifying. Download working paper:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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