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- All HBS Web (220)
- Faculty Publications (87)
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- 29 Aug 2006
- First Look
First Look: August 29, 2006
datasets) is positively correlated with dispersion among experts' forecasts. Further we use longitudinal datasets with sales forecasts made three-nine months before earnings report date for retailers and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 07 Jul 2009
- First Look
First Look: July 7
Missing Quarterly Analysts Forecasts (revised) Authors:Richard Mergenthaler, Shiva Rajgopal, and Suraj Srinivasan Abstract We find that missing the quarterly analyst consensus earnings View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 08 Jan 2008
- First Look
First Look: January 8, 2008
and sales for our datasets) is positively correlated with both dispersion among experts' forecasts and scale: the variance increases sublinearly with dispersion and more than linearly with scale. Further, we use longitudinal datasets with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 27 Mar 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research, March 27, 2018
sell-side analysts employed at state-owned brokerages issued relatively optimistic earnings forecasts and stock recommendations during these periods. This relative optimism is particularly pronounced in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 25 Nov 2008
- First Look
First Look: November 25, 2008
buys significantly outperform its recent sells around subsequent earnings announcements. We find that mutual fund trades also forecast EPS surprises. The point estimates suggest that skilled trading around... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 19 Oct 2010
- First Look
First Look: October 19, 2010
Working PapersValuation when Cash Flow Forecasts Are Biased Author:Richard S. Ruback Abstract This paper focuses adaptations to the discount cash flow (DCF) method when valuing forecasted cash flows that are... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 26 Jun 2007
- First Look
First Look: June 26, 2007
increases US investors' equity FPI holdings by 21%, controlling for effects on FDI. This suggests that the residual tax on foreign multinational firm earnings biases capital flows to low corporate tax countries toward FPI. A one standard... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 May 2013
- Research & Ideas
Can LEGO Snap Together a Future in Asia?
colossal tumble. A recapitalization of the company led to a fairy-tale rebound as the group returned to selling its core building sets. LEGO earned $1.0 billion as sales approached $3.5 billion in 2011, and in 2012, it overtook Hasbro as... View Details
- 28 Jun 2011
- First Look
First Look: June 28
PublicationsManager-Specific Effects on Earnings Guidance: An Analysis of Top Executive Turnovers Authors:Francois Brochet, Lucile Faurel, and Sarah McVay Publication:Journal of Accounting Research (forthcoming) Abstract We investigate... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 03 Dec 2015
- Op-Ed
How "New Nuclear" Power Could Save the Planet—If Regulators Would Allow It
accelerating the impact of climate change and threatening many on this planet. Our leaders face energy’s Gordian knot. They must find a way to cut it. "We need to deliver real economic alternatives to coal-fired power to the developing world, particularly Asia" The... View Details
- 08 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 8
related to EPS and price forecast accuracy, the same is not true for the subsidiaries. We establish that this "forgotten child" phenomenon is linked to a "neglected parent" effect, whereby inaccuracy in subsidiary... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 24 Jan 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research: January 24, 2017
earnings patterns. Firms with historically larger earnings in one quarter of the year (“positive seasonality quarters”) have higher returns when those earnings are usually... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 28 Sep 2010
- First Look
First Look: September 28, 2010
document that the improvement in the information environment is driven both by information and comparability effects. These results are robust to variations in the measurement of information environment quality, forecast horizon, sample... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 12 Jul 2010
- Research & Ideas
Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide
do managers forecast total revenue? You can get a sense of that from looking at investment analysts' forecasts. While it is true that managers have information that analysts lack, analysts' estimates and management's guidance on View Details
- 09 May 2011
- Research & Ideas
Moving From Bean Counter to Game Changer
top management level." Mikes began her research in 2005 in England, where she earned her PhD from the London School of Economics. (Hall and Millo are both employed there.) Within five years, she had interviewed 60 risk management... View Details
- 22 Apr 2020
- Research Event
How Investors Are Sizing Up Climate Change’s Risks—and Opportunities
[climate change] is a massive megatrend,” said Audrey Choi (MBA 2004), Morgan Stanley’s chief sustainability officer and chief marketing officer, during a panel discussion. “It’s a fundamental material risk to earnings and portfolios.”... View Details
- 11 Dec 2012
- First Look
First Look: Dec. 11
experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and analyst forecast errors... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 02 Mar 2015
- Research & Ideas
‘Retail Revolution’ Excerpt: The Scale of the Ecommerce Threat
earned on fixed costs), the brick-and-mortar retailer finds itself with shrinking margins. Online retailers' lower cost structures are driven by a variety of cost efficiencies. From an employee perspective, positions such as cashiers and... View Details
- 13 Oct 2015
- First Look
October 13, 2015
contribution is tax-deductible in the contribution year, but both principal and investment earnings are taxed upon withdrawal. Using administrative data from 11 companies that added a Roth contribution option to their existing 401(k) plan... View Details
- 05 Feb 2013
- First Look
First Look: Feb. 5
earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne