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      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Incrementality Representation Learning: Synergizing Past Experiments for Intervention Personalization

      By: Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli
      This paper introduces Incrementality Representation Learning (IRL), a novel multitask representation learning framework that predicts heterogeneous causal effects of marketing interventions. By leveraging past experiments, IRL efficiently designs and targets... View Details
      Keywords: Heterogeneous Treatment Effect; Multi-task Learning; Representation Learning; Personalization; Promotion; Deep Learning; Field Experiments; Customer Focus and Relationships; Customization and Personalization
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      Huang, Ta-Wei, Eva Ascarza, and Ayelet Israeli. "Incrementality Representation Learning: Synergizing Past Experiments for Intervention Personalization." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-076, June 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Demographically Biased Technological Change

      By: Victor Manuel Bennett, John-Paul Ferguson, Masoomeh Kalantari and Rembrand Koning
      Who gets the jobs that automation creates? A consensus has begun to emerge that said technologies complement rather than substitute for labor. However, they also shift the demand for specific types of skills and other worker competencies. Such shifts imply unequal... View Details
      Keywords: Technological Innovation; Employment; Equality and Inequality; Demographics
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      Bennett, Victor Manuel, John-Paul Ferguson, Masoomeh Kalantari, and Rembrand Koning. "Demographically Biased Technological Change." Working Paper, June 2024.
      • June 2024 (Revised June 2025)
      • Case

      Dylan Mulvaney and Bud Light

      By: Jill Avery and Celine Chammas
      On April 1, 2023, social media content creator and influencer Dylan Mulvaney recorded a promotional post. It featured a video of herself drinking from a can of Bud Light beer, offering a virtual toast to her followers. Alongside the video, she posted a photograph of a... View Details
      Keywords: Brand Crises; Brand Management; Influencer Marketing; Boycott; Marketing Strategy; Marketing Communications; Brands and Branding; Consumer Behavior; Social Media; Advertising; Social Issues; Public Opinion; Consumer Products Industry; Consumer Products Industry; United States
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      Avery, Jill, and Celine Chammas. "Dylan Mulvaney and Bud Light." Harvard Business School Case 524-089, June 2024. (Revised June 2025.)
      • June 2024
      • Article

      Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets

      By: Alberto Cavallo
      The Covid-19 pandemic led to changes in expenditure patterns that introduced significant bias in the measurement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Using publicly-available data on card transactions, I updated the official CPI weights and re-calculated inflation... View Details
      Keywords: COVID; Consumer Expenditures; CPI; Inflation; Consumer Behavior; Inflation and Deflation; Health Pandemics
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      Cavallo, Alberto. "Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets." Special Issue on The Global Economy: Looking Back, Moving Forward, Part II. IMF Economic Review 72, no. 2 (June 2024): 902–917.
      • June 2024
      • Article

      Information Spillovers in Experience Goods Competition

      By: Zhuoqiong Charlie Chen, Christopher Stanton and Catherine Thomas
      When experience goods compete, consuming one product can be informative about value for similar untried products. We study a two-period model of duopoly competition in markets that have this feature and where firms can price discriminate between consumers based on... View Details
      Keywords: Experience Goods; Competition; Information; Demand and Consumers; Profit; Price
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      Chen, Zhuoqiong Charlie, Christopher Stanton, and Catherine Thomas. "Information Spillovers in Experience Goods Competition." Management Science 70, no. 6 (June 2024): 3923–3950.
      • June 2024
      • Article

      Rationalizing Outcomes: Interdependent Learning in Competitive Markets

      By: Anoop R. Menon and Dennis Yao
      In this article we use simulation models to explore interdependent learning in competitive markets. Such interactions require attention to both the mental representations held by the management of the focal firm as well as the beliefs of that management about the... View Details
      Keywords: Mental Models; Strategic Interactions; Rationalization; Explanation-based View; Competition
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      Menon, Anoop R., and Dennis Yao. "Rationalizing Outcomes: Interdependent Learning in Competitive Markets." Strategy Science 9, no. 2 (June 2024): 97–117.
      • May 2024
      • Case

      Naked Wines: The Profit vs. Growth Decision

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Edward A. Meyer
      Nick Devlin faced a difficult strategic decision in October 2022. As the CEO of a UK-based subscription business connecting wine drinkers in the US, UK, and Australia with winemakers from around the world (which one journalist called the “Netflix of Wine”), he had to... View Details
      Keywords: Profit Vs. Growth; Platform Business; Economies Of Scale; Subscription Business; Wine; Scaling; Racing; Value Creation; Network Effects; Business Startups; Small Business; Financial Management; Financial Strategy; Growth Management; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Expansion; Profit; E-commerce; Growth and Development Strategy; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; United States; Australia; United Kingdom
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Edward A. Meyer. "Naked Wines: The Profit vs. Growth Decision." Harvard Business School Case 724-462, May 2024.
      • May 2024
      • Background Note

      Pricing Strategy and Channels of Distribution: Where Value Delivery and Value Capture Intersect

      By: Elie Ofek
      Channels of distribution are a critical component of a firm’s go-to-market strategy. A company may elect to sell its products directly to customers (DTC) without the assistance of any intermediaries or, alternatively, it may seek several channel partners to help it... View Details
      Keywords: Price; Distribution Channels; Business Strategy; Markets
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      Ofek, Elie. "Pricing Strategy and Channels of Distribution: Where Value Delivery and Value Capture Intersect." Harvard Business School Background Note 524-093, May 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Private Equity and Digital Transformation

      By: Brian K. Baik, Wilbur Chen and Suraj Srinivasan
      We study the role which private equity (PE) plays in digital transformation. We find that PE investment is associated with greater investments into portfolio firm’s digital technologies, as measured by IT expenditures and the hiring demand for AI skills. This... View Details
      Keywords: Digital Transformation; Private Equity; Selection and Staffing; Investment Portfolio; Value Creation
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      Baik, Brian K., Wilbur Chen, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Private Equity and Digital Transformation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-070, May 2024.
      • May 20, 2024
      • Article

      Porter’s Five Forces and Competitive Advantage in Web3

      By: Scott Duke Kominers and Liang Wu
      Competitive strategy — the art of crafting and executing plans to achieve an advantageous position in the market — is integral to any business, and especially relevant for platforms because it determines their ability to achieve network effects and scale. But web3... View Details
      Keywords: Five Forces Framework; Competitive Strategy; Business Strategy; Network Effects; Digital Transformation
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      Kominers, Scott Duke, and Liang Wu. "Porter’s Five Forces and Competitive Advantage in Web3." a16zcrypto.com (May 20, 2024).
      • May 2024
      • Case

      LinkedIn Corporation, 2024

      By: David B. Yoffie, George Gonzalez and Emily Grandjean
      By 2024, the LinkedIn profile was well established as the professional identity of record on the Internet. Following a multi-year effort to expand the platform’s user base, as well as a period of rapid growth during the COVID-19 pandemic, LinkedIn’s membership had... View Details
      Keywords: Platform; Business Strategy; Competitive Strategy; Goals and Objectives; Social Media; Network Effects; Growth and Development Strategy; Performance Evaluation; Technology Industry; Employment Industry; Sunnyvale
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      Yoffie, David B., George Gonzalez, and Emily Grandjean. "LinkedIn Corporation, 2024." Harvard Business School Case 724-484, May 2024.
      • May 2024
      • Case

      Shell's Balancing Act: Resource Allocation and the Green Transition

      By: David Collis and Haisley Wert
      In mid-2023, amid pressure from climate change activists, shareholder activists, and confronting enormous uncertainty about the future demand for and price of fossil fuels, new Shell CEO Wael Sawan (Harvard MBA 2003) announced a change in strategy for the U.K. oil... View Details
      Keywords: Portfolio Analysis; Climate; Oil; Oil And Gas; Oil Companies; Renewables; Petroleum; Investor Demand; Investors; Corporate Strategy; Resource Allocation; Climate Change; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Culture; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Business and Shareholder Relations; Energy Industry; United Kingdom
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      Collis, David, and Haisley Wert. "Shell's Balancing Act: Resource Allocation and the Green Transition." Harvard Business School Case 724-455, May 2024.
      • May 2024
      • Case

      Net Protections (A)

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Nobuo Sato and Akiko Kanno
      In Case A, set in early 2017, Net Protections (NP) is the largest Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) fintech service in Japan and is experiencing a slowdown in growth of its core product, NP Atobarai. Launched in 2002 as non-membership service, the NP Atobarai product has given... View Details
      Keywords: Product Positioning; Demand and Consumers; E-commerce; Customers; Business Model; Financial Services Industry; Japan
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Nobuo Sato, and Akiko Kanno. "Net Protections (A)." Harvard Business School Case 724-395, May 2024.
      • May 2024
      • Teaching Note

      The Meteoric Rise of Skims

      By: Ayelet Israeli, Jill Avery and Leonard A. Schlesinger
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 524-023, "The Meteoric Rise of Skims." View Details
      Keywords: Brand; Branding; Direct-to-consumer; DTC; Influencers; Influencer Marketing; Fashion; Growth; Direct Marketing; Influence; Reputation; Social Influence; Consumer Goods; Consumer Products; Female Entrepreneur; Female Protagonist; Entrepreneurship And Strategy; Brand & Product Management; Competitive Advantage; Online Followers; Retail; Retail Formats; Retailing; Online Retail; Celebrities; Celebrity; Celebrity Endorsement; Go To Market Strategy; Apparel; Startup Marketing; Startups; Brands and Branding; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Distribution Channels; Digital Marketing; Advertising; Power and Influence; Social Media; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry; United States
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      Israeli, Ayelet, Jill Avery, and Leonard A. Schlesinger. "The Meteoric Rise of Skims." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 524-067, May 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective

      By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
      Revolving credit is at the core of the banking business. Corporate revolving credit lines are demandable claims; thus, similar to a traditional bank run on deposits, sudden widespread drawdowns on credit lines can be destabilizing to the banking sector. However, we... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Credit; Financial Crisis; Interest Rates; Banks and Banking
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      Bräuning, Falk, and Victoria Ivashina. "Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective." Working Paper, May 2024.
      • May 2024
      • Article

      True Costs of Uterine Artery Embolization: Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing in Interventional Radiology Over a 3-Year Period

      By: Julia C. Bulman, Nicole H. Kim, Robert S. Kaplan, Sarah Schroeppel DeBacker, Olga R. Brook and Ammar Sarwar
      The study used time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) to estimate the costs to perform uterine artery embolization (UAE). Utilization times for patients undergoing outpatient UAE for fibroids or adenomyosis were captured from electronic health record timestamps and... View Details
      Keywords: Cost Accounting; Health Care and Treatment; Health Industry
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      Bulman, Julia C., Nicole H. Kim, Robert S. Kaplan, Sarah Schroeppel DeBacker, Olga R. Brook, and Ammar Sarwar. "True Costs of Uterine Artery Embolization: Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing in Interventional Radiology Over a 3-Year Period." Journal of the American College of Radiology 21, no. 5 (May 2024): 721–728.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      What Is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence

      By: Luis Armona, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica and Jesse M. Shapiro
      We study newsworthiness in theory and practice. We focus on situations in which a news outlet observes the realization of a state of the world and must decide whether to report the realization to a consumer who pays an opportunity cost to consume the report. The... View Details
      Keywords: News; Mathematical Methods; Prejudice and Bias; Media and Broadcasting Industry
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      Armona, Luis, Matthew Gentzkow, Emir Kamenica, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "What Is Newsworthy? Theory and Evidence." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32512, May 2024.
      • May–June 2024
      • Article

      What Makes a Successful Celebrity Brand?

      By: Ayelet Israeli, Jill Avery, Leonard A. Schlesinger and Matt Higgins
      Celebrities have shifted from endorsing established brands to being influencers for established brands to drawing on their influence to create brands themselves. The authors examine what it takes to make celebrity brands work. View Details
      Keywords: Celebrities; Celebrity Endorsement; Celebrity Management; Celebrity; Direct To Consumer Marketing; DTC; Influencer Marketing; Influencers; Influencer Advertising; Influencer; Brands and Branding; Product Marketing; Power and Influence; Advertising; Social Media; Consumer Products Industry; United States
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      Israeli, Ayelet, Jill Avery, Leonard A. Schlesinger, and Matt Higgins. "What Makes a Successful Celebrity Brand?" Harvard Business Review 102, no. 3 (May–June 2024): 50–55.
      • April 2024
      • Case

      Managing AI Risks in Consumer Banking

      By: Suraj Srinivasan, Satish Tadikonda, Paul Dongha, Manoj Saxena and Radhika Kak
      In early 2024, Ruth Jones, head of digital banking at Signa Bank, a (fictitious) European consumer bank, was thinking about how to best incorporate GenAI capabilities to improve efficiencies and create new ways to improve the customer experience. Where were the biggest... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; AI and Machine Learning; Risk Management; Opportunities; Customization and Personalization; Banking Industry; Europe
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, Satish Tadikonda, Paul Dongha, Manoj Saxena, and Radhika Kak. "Managing AI Risks in Consumer Banking." Harvard Business School Case 124-093, April 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Human-Computer Interactions in Demand Forecasting and Labor Scheduling Decisions

      By: Caleb Kwon, Ananth Raman and Jorge Tamayo
      We investigate whether corporate officers should grant managers discretion to override AI-driven demand forecasts and labor scheduling tools. Analyzing five years of administrative data from a large grocery retailer using such an AI tool, encompassing over 500 stores,... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Forecasting and Prediction; Working Conditions; Performance Productivity
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      Kwon, Caleb, Ananth Raman, and Jorge Tamayo. "Human-Computer Interactions in Demand Forecasting and Labor Scheduling Decisions." Working Paper, April 2024.
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