Publications
Publications
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- All HBS Web
(873)
- Faculty Publications (156)
- 2005
- Working Paper
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by studying... View Details
- March 2005
- Article
Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage
By: Robin Greenwood
I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
- February 2005 (Revised November 2016)
- Background Note
Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product
By: Elie Ofek
Provides tools and methodologies that allow forecasting demand for innovative new products. Highlights the Bass model—the theory behind it and ways to determine its parameters. Provides a detailed example of how to use the Bass model to forecast demand for satellite... View Details
- September 2004
- Article
Trust in Agency
Existing models of the principal-agent relationship assume the agent works only under extrinsic incentives. However, many observed agency contracts take the form of a fixed payment. For such contracts to succeed, the principal must trust the agent to work in the... View Details
- June 2004
- Article
A Catering Theory of Dividends
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We propose that the decision to pay dividends is driven by prevailing investor demand for dividend payers. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers, and by not paying when investors prefer nonpayers. To test... View Details
- 2003
- Other Unpublished Work
Compensatory Transfers in Two-Player Decision Problems
By: Jerry R. Green
- 2002
- Other Unpublished Work
Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity—such as lower bid–ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover—predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational... View Details
- May 2000
- Article
Maxmin Expected Utility over Savage Acts with a Set of Priors
By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Peter Klibanoff and Emre Ozdenoren
This paper provides an axiomatic foundation for a maxmin expected utility over a set of priors (MMEU) decision rule in an environment where the elements of choice are Savage acts. This characterization complements the original axiomatizations of MMEU developed in a... View Details
- June 1999
- Article
Projections onto Efficient Frontiers: Theoretical and Computational Extensions to DEA
By: F. Frei and P. Harker
- July 1998
- Teaching Note
Hawthorne Plastics, Inc. TN
By: Paul W. Marshall, John S. Hammond and William L Berry
Teaching Note for (9-171-004). View Details
- fall 1995
- Article
Standard Setting Consortia, Antitrust, and High-Technology Industries
By: James J. Anton and Dennis A. Yao
Examines the antitrust treatment of private-sector standard setting in the U.S. Applicability of law and decision-making issues in high technology industries; Examination of cost-based facilitating theory; Approach to evaluate the reasonableness of a standard. View Details
- Article
The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis
By: S. N. Kaplan and R. S. Ruback
- 1995
- Book
Introduction to Statistical Decision Theory
By: John W. Pratt, Howard Raiffa and Robert Schlaifer
- 1994
- Chapter
Fairness in Decisions on Siting Noxious Facilities: Theory and Empirical Results
By: Felix Oberholzer-Gee and Bruno S. Frey
- March 1993
- Background Note
Stages Theory, The: A Framework for IT Adoption and Organizational Learning
By: Richard L. Nolan, David Croson and Katherine Seger
Describes Professor Richard Nolan's Stages Theory of Information Technology adoption by organizations. View Details
- March 1992
- Article
Negotiator Cognition and Rationality: A Behavioral Decision Theory Perspective
By: M. A. Neale and M. H. Bazerman
- January 1987
- Article
Posterior Implementability in a Two-person Decision Problem
By: Jerry R. Green and Jean-Jacques Laffont
When a decision rule is implemented using a Bayesian incentive compatible mechanism in which the messages are publicly observable, the players' information is augmented by their observation of each others' strategies. In this paper we study the set of Bayesian... View Details
- July 1986 (Revised August 1987)
- Background Note
Note on Comparative Advantage
By: David B. Yoffie and John J. Coleman
Discusses David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage and the refinement of his model developed by Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin. Presents several criticisms of the Heckscher-Ohlin theory, including Wassily Leontief's empirical demonstration that the nature of... View Details
- January 1982
- Article
Empirical Analysis of the Commercial Loan Classification Decision
By: Robert S. Kaplan and J. Richard Dietrich