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  • 22 Aug 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Reading the Financial Crisis Warning Signs: Credit Markets and the 'Red-Zone'

of periods of overheated credit markets. We try to track crises using a measure of overheating that we developed and call the “Red-zone.” The Red-zone is a combination of credit expansion and high asset prices. In the domain of houses and real estate, for example, if... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Banking
  • 11 Dec 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 11, 2018

Pflueger, Carolin E., Emil Siriwardane, and Adi Sunderam Abstract—We propose a new measure of the economy’s risk appetite based on the valuation of volatile stocks. Unlike proxies for risk appetite derived from aggregates, our measure is strongly correlated with safe... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 01 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 1

new debt, we interpret firm's switching from loans to bonds as a contraction in bank credit supply. We find strong evidence of substitution from loans to bonds at times characterized by tight lending... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

Abstract— We document a strong effect of pension and insurance company (P&I) assets on the long end of the yield curve. Using data from 26 countries, the yield spread between 30-year and 10-year government bond yields is negatively... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 04 Aug 2009
  • First Look

First Look: August 4

contracting. We recognize the advantage of using fair values in circumstances where these are based on observable prices in liquid secondary markets, but caution against expanding fair values to areas such as intangibles where they could... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 31 Oct 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Quantitative Easing Didn’t Ease the Housing Crisis for the Neediest

financial crisis, for example, the Federal Reserve orchestrated multiple rounds of QE. In the initial round, QE1, the Fed bought $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and $300 billion in Treasury bonds. During QE2, the Fed purchased almost $900 billion in... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 10 Aug 2010
  • First Look

First Look: August 10

prices of used ships to fall by as much as 80%. As ship prices (values?) fell, ship owners began to default on loans and new purchase contracts while banks holding loans secured by ships faced the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 14 Oct 2014
  • First Look

First Look: October 14

behave like money. We first present a simple model where households demand money services, which are supplied by three types of claims: deposits, Treasury bills, and asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP). The model provides predictions for the View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 31 Oct 2017
  • Op-Ed

Op-Ed: In Tackling #MeToo, Don’t Ignore Micro-Insults That Harm Women’s Careers

inequity inevitable. For example, an often-cited research finding is that woman can be viewed as competent or as likeable–but not both. True or not, believing it increases FOSO, as competent women face pressures, depending on their life and career stage: The beer after... View Details
Keywords: by Rosabeth Moss Kanter
  • 20 Oct 2015
  • First Look

October 20, 2015

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=49883 forthcoming Review of Economic Studies Do Prices Determine Vertical Integration? By: Alfaro, Laura, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger, and Andrew F. Newman Abstract—What is the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: January 4

http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-086.pdf Expectations, Network Effects and Platform Pricing Authors:Andrei Hagiu and Hanna Hałaburda Abstract In markets with network effects, users must form expectations about the total number of users... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 21 Feb 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: February 21

historical long run). Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=52277 February 2017 Journal of Arthroplasty Drivers of the Variation in Prosthetic Implant Purchase Prices for Total Knee and Total Hip Arthroplasties... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 30 Sep 2014
  • First Look

First Look: September 30

business and financial challenges at the 171-year old UK travel services company. The company has lost almost £600 million in the last three quarters, has seen its stock price fall from 230 pence to a low of 8.8 pence in the past two... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 15

we find significant price differences between institutional investors' tranches and banks' tranches on the same loans, even though they share the same underlying fundamentals. Increasing demand pressure causes the interest rate on... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 07 May 2013
  • First Look

First Look: May 7

decomposes excess return predictability in U.S. and U.K. inflation-indexed and nominal government bonds. We find that nominal bonds reflect time-varying inflation and real rate risk premia, while inflation-indexed View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 12 Jan 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 12

success, market reaction, and merger waves. Offer prices are biased towards the 52-week high, a highly salient but largely irrelevant past price, and the modal offer price is exactly that reference price. An... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 18 Apr 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Ideas, April 18

argue that the puzzling combination of high-frequency excess sensitivity and low-frequency decoupling between short- and long-term rates can be understood using a model in which (i) shocks to short-term interest rates lead to a rise in term premia on long-term View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Apr 2015
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Use Personal Experience to Pick Winning Stocks

that the prices are right, because they usually are," says Harvard Business School finance professor Lauren H. Cohen, who serves as an editor of Management Science. "From there, you can look for the small corners where they are... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 04 Dec 2007
  • First Look

First Look: December 4, 2007

clubs," we show that 1) fees serve as a signal of price discounts, such that stores that charge fees are perceived as offering better deals for identical items; 2) the presence of fees can increase consumer spending and overall store... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • February 2022 (Revised May 2022)
  • Case

Jaypee Infratech and the Indian Bankruptcy Code

By: Kristin Mugford, William Vrattos and Radhika Kak
In 2016, India passed a new bankruptcy law (IBC) to counter a brewing bank crisis and increased corporate distress. Homebuilder Jaypee Infratech, one of India largest distressed companies (the “dirty dozen”) began restructuring under the IBC in 2017. Two years later,... View Details
Keywords: Restructuring; Decisions; Judgments; Voting; Developing Countries and Economies; Financial Crisis; Public Sector; Asset Pricing; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Credit; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Debt Securities; Bonds; Investment Return; Price; Government Legislation; Laws and Statutes; Bids and Bidding; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Real Estate Industry; India; Delhi
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