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      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Labor Regulations and European Private Equity

      By: Ant Bozkaya and William R. Kerr
      European nations substitute between employment protection regulations and labor market expenditures (e.g., unemployment insurance benefits) for providing worker insurance. Employment regulations more directly tax firms making frequent labor adjustments than other labor... View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Private Equity; Insurance; Investment; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Taxation; Employment; Europe
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      Bozkaya, Ant, and William R. Kerr. "Labor Regulations and European Private Equity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-043, December 2009.
      • June 2009 (Revised December 2011)
      • Case

      Colbún—Powering Chile

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt, Gustavo A. Herrero and Sanjay Patnaik
      This case is about Colbún, Chile's second largest electricity generator, which is facing significant uncertainty regarding the cost and availability of alternative energy sources. Problems with the contracted supply of natural gas and the volatility of oil prices,... View Details
      Keywords: Non-Renewable Energy; Globalized Markets and Industries; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Government Legislation; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Business and Government Relations; Climate Change; Business Strategy; Energy Industry; Chile
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      Reinhardt, Forest L., Gustavo A. Herrero, and Sanjay Patnaik. "Colbún—Powering Chile." Harvard Business School Case 709-060, June 2009. (Revised December 2011.)
      • February 2009 (Revised August 2010)
      • Case

      Dubai: Global Economy

      By: Richard H. K. Vietor and Nicole Michele Forrest
      This case, along with Saudi Arabia: “Modern Reform, Enduring Stability” (709-042), provides an opportunity to discuss Saudi Arabia's efforts to modernize, without really Westernizing, in sharp contrast to Dubai, a nearby Arab Emirate. As Saudi Arabia's development... View Details
      Keywords: Development Economics; Non-Renewable Energy; Globalized Markets and Industries; Government and Politics; Growth and Development Strategy; Saudi Arabia; Dubai; Middle East
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      Vietor, Richard H. K., and Nicole Michele Forrest. "Dubai: Global Economy." Harvard Business School Case 709-043, February 2009. (Revised August 2010.)
      • February 2009 (Revised August 2010)
      • Case

      Saudi Arabia: Modern Reform, Enduring Stability

      By: Richard H. K. Vietor and Nicole Michele Forrest
      This case, along with “Dubai: Global Economy” (709-043), provides an opportunity to discuss Saudi Arabia's efforts to modernize, without really Westernizing, in sharp contrast to Dubai, a nearby Arab Emirate. As Saudi Arabia's development strategy unfolds in the past... View Details
      Keywords: Development Economics; Non-Renewable Energy; Globalized Markets and Industries; Government and Politics; Growth and Development Strategy; Saudi Arabia; Dubai; Middle East
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      Vietor, Richard H. K., and Nicole Michele Forrest. "Saudi Arabia: Modern Reform, Enduring Stability." Harvard Business School Case 709-042, February 2009. (Revised August 2010.)
      • September 2008
      • Article

      Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, M. Hashem Pesaran and Til Schuermann
      This paper examines the impact of neglected heterogeneity on credit risk. We show that neglecting heterogeneity in firm returns and/or default thresholds leads to under estimation of expected losses (EL), and its effect on portfolio risk is ambiguous. Once EL is... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Credit; Investment Return; Outcome or Result; Risk and Uncertainty; Loss; Diversification; Complexity; United States
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      Hanson, Samuel G., M. Hashem Pesaran, and Til Schuermann. "Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification." Journal of Empirical Finance 15, no. 4 (September 2008): 583–612.
      • August 2008 (Revised June 2012)
      • Case

      Martingale Asset Management LP in 2008, 130/30 Funds, and a Low-Volatility Strategy

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Helen Tung
      In early July of 2008, William (Bill) Jacques, Chief Investment Officer at Martingale Asset Management, a quantitative value-oriented investment manager in Boston, Massachusetts, was busy preparing for an upcoming meeting with the group that made new product decisions... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Asset Management; Stocks; Financial Strategy; Investment Funds; Product Development
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Helen Tung. "Martingale Asset Management LP in 2008, 130/30 Funds, and a Low-Volatility Strategy." Harvard Business School Case 209-047, August 2008. (Revised June 2012.)
      • April 2008 (Revised December 2008)
      • Case

      Leveraged Loans 2007

      By: Andre F. Perold and Erik Stafford
      The leveraged loan market was in a crisis during the summer of 2007, following many years of low realized volatility (less than 4% per annum), an index of leveraged loans had fallen over 5% in the month of July. A sudden drop in capital market prices for an asset class... View Details
      Keywords: History; Financial Liquidity; Investment; Financial Crisis; Market Transactions; Disruption; Decision Choices and Conditions; Competitive Strategy; Capital Markets; Crisis Management; Commercial Banking; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Perold, Andre F., and Erik Stafford. "Leveraged Loans 2007." Harvard Business School Case 208-145, April 2008. (Revised December 2008.)
      • Second Quarter 2008
      • Article

      How Does Investor Sentiment Affect the Cross-Section of Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker, Johnathan Wang and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Broad waves of investor sentiment should have larger impacts on securities that are more difficult to value and to arbitrage. Consistent with this intuition, we find that when an index of investor sentiment takes low values, small, young, high volatility,... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment; Investment Return; Attitudes
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      Baker, Malcolm, Johnathan Wang, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "How Does Investor Sentiment Affect the Cross-Section of Returns." Journal of Investment Management 6, no. 2 (Second Quarter 2008): 57–72.
      • March 8, 2008
      • Comment

      Marketing Your Way Through a Recession

      By: John A. Quelch
      The signs of an imminent recession are all around us. The spillover from the subprime mortgage crisis is weakening both consumer confidence and the consumer spending—much of it on credit—that has been buoying the U.S. economy. View Details
      Keywords: Marketing; Recession; Products And Sales; Core Values; Fluctuation; Volatility; Economic Growth; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Growth and Development; Marketing Strategy; Product Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty; Salesforce Management; Asia; Europe; Latin America; North and Central America
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      Quelch, John A. "Marketing Your Way Through a Recession." Harvard Business School Working Knowledge (March 8, 2008).
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Equity Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the reliance of option values on volatility. When an investor trades an option, they are essentially trading volatility. Therefore, much of the focus in this lesson is on forecasting volatility. Students are able to use two... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Stock Options; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Value
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-118, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Index Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the patterns in index option prices that are not predicted by the Black-Scholes model. In particular, the simulation focuses on two properties of options prices. First, at-the-money implied volatilities from index options... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Stock Options; Investment; Price; Profit; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Index Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-119, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Article

      Venture Capital Investment Cycles: The Impact of Public Markets

      By: Paul Gompers, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner and David Scharfstein
      It is well documented that the venture capital industry is highly volatile and that much of this volatility is associated with shifting valuations and activity in public equity markets. This paper examines how changes in public market signals affected venture capital... View Details
      Keywords: Market Cycles; Venture Capital; Investment; Experience and Expertise; Public Equity; Volatility; Financial Services Industry
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      Gompers, Paul, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner, and David Scharfstein. "Venture Capital Investment Cycles: The Impact of Public Markets." Journal of Financial Economics 87, no. 1 (January 2008): 1–23. (Earlier versions distributed as National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 11385.)
      • July 2007
      • Article

      Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage

      By: Daniel Cohen, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys and Shyam Sunder
      We examine the factors underlying the presence of earnings announcement premia. We find that the premia persist beyond the sample period examined in prior studies (ending in 1988), although they decline in magnitude after 1988. Further, premia are lower on the expected... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Announcements; Corporate Disclosure
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      Cohen, Daniel, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys, and Shyam Sunder. "Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage." Journal of Accounting & Economics 43, nos. 2-3 (July 2007): 153–180.
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Investment Return; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Volatility; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Spring 2007): 129–151.
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1645–1680.
      • April 2006
      • Case

      Finance Leadership in Novartis Consumer Health Businesses

      By: Boris Groysberg and Ingrid Vargas
      Describes and contrasts the roles and challenges of three high-performing finance heads at Novartis Consumer Health businesses in Australia, Japan, and Venezuela. All three faced tremendous pressures in terms of managing time and limited resources, but the particular... View Details
      Keywords: Finance; Financial Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Leadership Style; Health Industry; Japan; Australia; Venezuela
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      Groysberg, Boris, and Ingrid Vargas. "Finance Leadership in Novartis Consumer Health Businesses." Harvard Business School Case 406-102, April 2006.
      • July 2005 (Revised December 2005)
      • Case

      General Motors U.S. Pension Funds

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Helen Tung
      In June 2003, General Motors Corp. (GM) successfully marketed the largest corporate debt offering in U.S. history, worth $17.6 billion. The offering included $13.6 billion worth of debt denominated in dollars, euros, and pounds and $4 billion dollars denominated in... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Bonds; Investment Return; Policy; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Auto Industry; United States
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Helen Tung. "General Motors U.S. Pension Funds." Harvard Business School Case 206-001, July 2005. (Revised December 2005.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by studying... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Return; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10449, April 2005. (First draft in 2003.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Management Style; Segmentation; Debt Securities; Banking Industry
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
      • February 2005 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Jorge Tarzijan and Jordan Mitchell
      Celulosa Arauco is a major Chilean producer of market pulp and wood products. Owning over 1.2 million hectares of forest in Chile, Argentina, and Uruguay, the company's key advantage is the ideal growing conditions in which the company's forests are located. As of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Competitive Advantage; Diversification; Expansion; Vertical Integration; Forest Products Industry; Chile
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Jorge Tarzijan, and Jordan Mitchell. "Arauco (A): Forward Integration or Horizontal Expansion?" Harvard Business School Case 705-474, February 2005. (Revised March 2009.)
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