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      • Faculty Publications  (112)

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      • December 2002
      • Article

      The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows

      By: K. A. Froot and J. Donohue
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., and J. Donohue. "The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows." Emerging Markets Review 3, no. 4 (December 2002): 338–364. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9241, HBS Working Paper no. 03-035, September 2002.)
      • March 2002 (Revised November 2003)
      • Case

      Satellite Radio

      By: Thomas R. Eisenmann and Alastair Brown
      In early 2002, XM and Sirius were fighting for control of the emerging U.S. market for satellite radio. Each company targeted consumers in automobiles, providing 100 channels of CD-quality audio for a monthly subscription fee of $10-$13. Wall Street analysts predicted... View Details
      Keywords: Growth and Development Strategy; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Problems and Challenges; Network Effects; Partners and Partnerships; Information Technology; Business Model; Investment Return; Auto Industry; Media and Broadcasting Industry; United States
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      Eisenmann, Thomas R., and Alastair Brown. "Satellite Radio." Harvard Business School Case 802-175, March 2002. (Revised November 2003.)
      • 2002
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
      We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity—such as lower bid–ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover—predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational... View Details
      Keywords: Price; Financial Liquidity; Trade; Valuation; Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Equity; Stock Shares; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeremy Stein. "Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator." NBER Working Paper Series, 2002. (First draft in 2001.)
      • 2002
      • Other Unpublished Work

      The Maturity of Debt Issues and Predictable Variation in Bond Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood and Jeffrey Wurgler
      The maturity of new debt issues predicts excess bond returns. When the share of long term debt issues in total debt issues is high, future excess bond returns are low. This predictive power comes in two parts. First, inflation, the real short-term rate, and the term... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Bonds; Investment Return; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, Robin Greenwood, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Maturity of Debt Issues and Predictable Variation in Bond Returns." 2002. (First draft in 2001.)
      • February 2001
      • Article

      The Portfolio Flows of International Investors

      By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
      • January 2001 (Revised March 2002)
      • Case

      Ford Motor Company's Value Enhancement Plan

      By: Andre F. Perold
      In April 2000, Ford Motor Co. announced a shareholder Value Enhancement Plan (VEP) to significantly recapitalize the firm's ownership structure. Ford had accumulated $23 billion in cash reserves and under the VEP would return as much as $10 billion of this cash to... View Details
      Keywords: Restructuring; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Structure; Cash; Financial Liquidity; Policy; Business and Shareholder Relations; Value; Auto Industry
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      Perold, Andre F. "Ford Motor Company's Value Enhancement Plan." Harvard Business School Case 201-079, January 2001. (Revised March 2002.)
      • January 2001
      • Case

      Valuing Project Achieve

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
      Project Achieve is a start-up providing information management solutions for schools. Its founders see a need for software both to manage the volumes of information necessary to administer a school and to connect parents, teachers, and students in a more effective way.... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Valuation; Venture Capital; Cost of Capital; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Kathleen Luchs. "Valuing Project Achieve." Harvard Business School Case 201-080, January 2001.
      • October 2000
      • Article

      The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      The share of equity issues in total new equity and debt issues is a strong predictor of U.S. stock market returns between 1928 and 1997. In particular, firms issue more equity than debt just before periods of low market returns. The equity share in new issues has... View Details
      Keywords: Equity; Borrowing and Debt; Stocks; Markets; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Accounting Industry; United States
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 55, no. 5 (October 2000): 2219–57.
      • 1996
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Testing for Structural Change in the Predictability of Asset Returns

      By: Luis M. Viceira
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Testing for Structural Change in the Predictability of Asset Returns." 1996.
      • March 1993
      • Case

      Clarion Optical Co.

      By: Michael J. Roberts and Howard H. Stevenson
      Focuses on two individuals' attempts to purchase Clarion Optical Co. Forces students to consider alternative proposals for financing the purchase; generate pro forma cash flows to assess the feasibility of these proposals; estimate the sources and magnitude of... View Details
      Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Financing and Loans; Investment Return; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Roberts, Michael J., and Howard H. Stevenson. "Clarion Optical Co." Harvard Business School Case 393-116, March 1993.
      • February 1984 (Revised February 1986)
      • Case

      E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide

      By: W. Carl Kester, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr. and Stacy S. Dick
      Disequilibrium in the $350 million TiO2 market has prompted Du Pont's Pigments Department to develop two strategies for competing in this market in the future. The growth strategy has a smaller internal rate of return than the alternative strategy due to large capital... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Investment Return; Growth and Development Strategy; Strategic Planning; Projects; Chemical Industry
      Citation
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      Kester, W. Carl, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr., and Stacy S. Dick. "E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide." Harvard Business School Case 284-066, February 1984. (Revised February 1986.)
      • May 1979 (Revised August 2013)
      • Background Note

      Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments

      By: William J. Poorvu
      Develops a conceptual framework for financial analysis of real estate investments, taking into consideration the necessity for baseline data, project trends, and forecast discontinuities. View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Trends; Real Estate Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Poorvu, William J. "Financial Analysis of Real Property Investments." Harvard Business School Background Note 379-193, May 1979. (Revised August 2013.)
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