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Publications

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      • Faculty Publications  (107)

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      • 1987
      • Working Paper

      Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

      By: K. A. Froot
      Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
      Citation
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      Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
      • July 1985 (Revised March 1994)
      • Background Note

      Exposure and Hedging

      By: David E. Bell
      Describes the concept of exposure; the dependence of a goal on an uncertain external event. Describes in detail how hedges may be constructed to eliminate exposure, including the algebra of cross-hedging and hedge ratios. The relevance of regression analysis is... View Details
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Finance
      Citation
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      Bell, David E. "Exposure and Hedging." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-036, July 1985. (Revised March 1994.)
      • July 1985 (Revised May 1988)
      • Background Note

      Multiplicative Regression Models

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Citation
      Find at Harvard
      Related
      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Multiplicative Regression Models." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-031, July 1985. (Revised May 1988.)
      • January 1978
      • Background Note

      Regression and Forecasting Using the AQD Package

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods
      Citation
      Find at Harvard
      Related
      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Regression and Forecasting Using the AQD Package." Harvard Business School Background Note 178-095, January 1978.
      • April 1966
      • Article

      A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression

      By: D. B. Crane and James R. Crotty
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods
      Citation
      Find at Harvard
      Related
      Crane, D. B., and James R. Crotty. "A Two-Stage Forecasting Model: Exponential Smoothing and Multiple Regression." Management Science 13, no. 8 (April 1966).
      • Teaching Interest

      Decision Making Under Uncertainty

      By: David E. Bell

      Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Deregulation, Misallocation, and Size: Evidence from India

      By: Laura Alfaro
      This paper examines the impact of the deregulation of compulsory industrial licensing in India on firm size dynamics and reallocation of resources within industries. Following deregulation, resource misallocation declines, and the left-hand tail of the firm size... View Details
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