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  • All HBS Web  (5,972)
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    • News  (943)
    • Research  (4,072)
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  • 08 Jan 2007
  • What Do You Think?

Neuro Economics: Science or Science Fiction?

associated with findings based on research in need of standards and more fully-developed methods. Joseph Mello points out that "these studies will produce results along two lines. First, there will be conclusions that can impact the... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Heskett
  • Article

Is it Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Robert L. Winkler
We consider two ways to aggregate expert opinions using simple averages: averaging probabilities and averaging quantiles. We examine analytical properties of these forecasts and compare their ability to harness the wisdom of the crowd. In terms of location, the two... View Details
Keywords: Probability Forecasts; Quantile Forecasts; Expert Combination; Linear Opinion Pooling; Forecasting and Prediction
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, and Robert L. Winkler. "Is it Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?" Management Science 59, no. 7 (July 2013): 1594–1611.
  • 1995
  • Chapter

Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability

By: S. B. White, M. H. Bazerman and M. A. Neale
Keywords: Negotiation; Outcome or Result; Forecasting and Prediction
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White, S. B., M. H. Bazerman, and M. A. Neale. "Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability." In Research on Negotiation in Organizations, edited by R. J. Bies, R. Lewicki, and B. Sheppard. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1995.
  • 09 May 2005
  • Research & Ideas

Hold or Fold? Sizing Up Business Risk

Stay Or Quit When we think about whether we want to stay and play, quit and play again, or quit and start a different kind of game, we try to figure out three things: current satisfaction, prediction about... View Details
Keywords: by Eileen C. Shapiro & Howard H. Stevenson
  • 2021
  • Other Unpublished Work

Computer-Implemented Methods and Systems for Measuring, Estimating, and Managing Economic Outcomes and Technical Debt in Software Systems and Projects: US Patent 11,126,427 B2

By: Daniel J. Sturtevant, Carliss Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Sunny Ahn and Sean Gilliland
An interrelated set of tools and methods is disclosed for: (1) measuring the relationship between software source code attributes (such as code quality, design quality, test quality, and complexity metrics) and software economics outcome metrics (such as... View Details
Keywords: Technical Debt; Applications and Software; Economics; Measurement and Metrics; Patents
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Sturtevant, Daniel J., Carliss Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Sunny Ahn, and Sean Gilliland. "Computer-Implemented Methods and Systems for Measuring, Estimating, and Managing Economic Outcomes and Technical Debt in Software Systems and Projects: US Patent 11,126,427 B2." Cambridge, MA, September 2021.
  • 27 Nov 2023
  • Research & Ideas

Voting Democrat or Republican? The Critical Childhood Influence That's Tough to Shake

participation, according to a study that looks at registration records from 2012 to 2021 of more than 15 million voters aged 18 to 24. “We show that, to some extent, our affiliation as a Democratic or Republican voter comes from... View Details
Keywords: by Ben Rand
  • March 2024
  • Article

The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?

By: Alberto Alesina and Marco Tabellini
We review the growing literature on the political economy of immigration. First, we discuss the effects of immigration on a wide range of political and social outcomes. The existing evidence suggests that immigrants often, but not always, trigger backlash, increasing... View Details
Keywords: Political Backlash; Cultural Beliefs; Immigration; Political Elections; Outcome or Result; Social Issues; Perception
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Alesina, Alberto, and Marco Tabellini. "The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?" Journal of Economic Literature 62, no. 1 (March 2024): 5–46.
  • November 2021
  • Article

The Effects of Retirement on Sense of Purpose in Life: Crisis or Opportunity?

By: Ayse Yemiscigil, Nattavudh Powdthavee and Ashley V. Whillans
Does retirement lead to an existential crisis or present an opportunity to experience a renewed sense of purpose in life? Prior research has documented a negative association between retirement and sense of purpose in life, suggesting that retirement could lead people... View Details
Keywords: Aging; Meaning; Socioeconomic Status; Life Experiences; Retirement; Well-being
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Yemiscigil, Ayse, Nattavudh Powdthavee, and Ashley V. Whillans. "The Effects of Retirement on Sense of Purpose in Life: Crisis or Opportunity?" Psychological Science 32, no. 11 (November 2021): 1856–1864.
  • Article

Pitfall or Scaffolding? Starting-point Pull in Configuration Decision Making

By: Eliran Halali, Yoella Bereby-Meyer and David Leiser
In configuration problems, such as the construction of a weekly study schedule, decision makers must assemble a combination of parts under a set of constraints. Interactions may be present between the parts, and more than a single objective function may exist, such as... View Details
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Halali, Eliran, Yoella Bereby-Meyer, and David Leiser. "Pitfall or Scaffolding? Starting-point Pull in Configuration Decision Making." Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 39, no. 2 (March 2013): 502–514.
  • 15 Aug 2005
  • Research & Ideas

The Founding CEO’s Dilemma: Stay or Go?

companies, when the CEO doesn't do well, the CEO gets replaced. When the CEO does do well, there is almost no chance that person will be replaced. If he or she has led the company to success, that person is about as solid in the position... View Details
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Displacement or Complementarity? The Labor Market Impact of Generative AI

By: Wilbur Xinyuan Chen, Suraj Srinivasan and Saleh Zakerinia
Generative AI is poised to reshape the labor market, affecting cognitive and white-collar occupations in ways distinct from past technological revolutions. This study examines whether generative AI displaces workers or augments their jobs by analyzing labor demand and... View Details
Keywords: Generative Ai; Labor Market; Automation And Augmentation; Labor; AI and Machine Learning; Competency and Skills
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Chen, Wilbur Xinyuan, Suraj Srinivasan, and Saleh Zakerinia. "Displacement or Complementarity? The Labor Market Impact of Generative AI." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-039, December 2024.
  • May 2010
  • Article

Modern Management: Good for the Environment or Just Hot Air?

By: Nicholas Bloom, Christos Genakos, Ralf Martin and Raffaella Sadun
We use an innovative methodology to measure management practices in over 300 manufacturing firms in the U.K. We then match this management data to production and energy usage information for establishments owned by these firms. We find that establishments in better... View Details
Keywords: Energy Conservation; Management Practices and Processes; Performance Productivity; Environmental Sustainability; Pollutants; Manufacturing Industry; United Kingdom
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Bloom, Nicholas, Christos Genakos, Ralf Martin, and Raffaella Sadun. "Modern Management: Good for the Environment or Just Hot Air?" Economic Journal 120, no. 544 (May 2010): 551–572.
  • 01 Aug 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Immigrant Innovators: Job Stealers or Job Creators?

arguing since the creation of the program more than 20 years ago: Is the program helpful or hurtful to American workers? “What's not debated is that immigrants are extremely important to innovation" The program enables US employers to... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Technology
  • 20 Jul 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Markets or Communities? The Best Ways to Manage Outside Innovation

Thanks to technology and instant global communication, it has never been easier for companies to seek solutions to problems or find new ideas from sources outside their own corporate walls. But the art of managing these external... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Technology
  • December 2009
  • Article

Empire-Building or Bridge-Building? Evidence from New CEOs' Internal Capital Allocation Decisions

By: Yuhai Xuan
This article investigates how the job histories of CEOs influence their capital allocation decisions when they preside over multi-divisional firms. I find that, after CEO turnover, divisions not previously affiliated with the new CEO receive significantly more capital... View Details
Keywords: Business Divisions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Capital Budgeting; Financial Management; Managerial Roles; Resource Allocation
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Xuan, Yuhai. "Empire-Building or Bridge-Building? Evidence from New CEOs' Internal Capital Allocation Decisions." Review of Financial Studies 22, no. 12 (December 2009): 4919–4948. (Online Appendix.)
  • December 2010
  • Supplement

Everything or Nothing: Martti Ahtisaari and the Aceh Negotiations (B)

By: James K. Sebenius and Alex Green
Describes Martti Ahtisaari's negotiating strategies and tactics along with the results of his efforts to end the decades-long conflict between Acehnese insurgents and the Indonesian government that had claimed thousands of lives. View Details
Keywords: Government and Politics; Agreements and Arrangements; Negotiation Tactics; Conflict of Interests; Strategy; Indonesia
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Sebenius, James K., and Alex Green. "Everything or Nothing: Martti Ahtisaari and the Aceh Negotiations (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 911-041, December 2010.
  • Article

Defining, Measuring, and Improving Value in Spine Care

By: Robert S. Kaplan and Derek Haas
This chapter discusses how to measure and improve spine care outcomes and costs. Today’s commonly used outcome metrics, such as readmission and complication rates, are actually process and quality metrics. They are not the outcomes, such as improvement in pain and... View Details
Keywords: Spine Care; Outcomes Measurement; Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing; Health Care and Treatment; Cost; Measurement and Metrics; Performance Improvement; Value
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Kaplan, Robert S., and Derek Haas. "Defining, Measuring, and Improving Value in Spine Care." Seminars in Spine Surgery 30, no. 2 (June 2018): 80–83.
  • 1995
  • Chapter

Friends, Lovers, Colleagues, Strangers: The Effects of Relationships on the Process and Outcome of Dyadic Negotiations

By: K. L. McGinn, M. A. Neale and F. A. Mannix
Keywords: Relationships; Negotiation Participants; Negotiation Process; Negotiation Types; Outcome or Result
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McGinn, K. L., M. A. Neale, and F. A. Mannix. "Friends, Lovers, Colleagues, Strangers: The Effects of Relationships on the Process and Outcome of Dyadic Negotiations." In Research on Negotiation in Organizations, edited by R. J. Bies, R. Lewicki, and B. Sheppard. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1995.
  • December 2020
  • Article

Why Connect? Moral Consequences of Networking with a Promotion or Prevention Focus

By: F. Gino, T. Casciaro and M. Kouchaki
Networks are a key source of social capital for achieving goals in professional and personal settings. Yet, despite the clear benefits of having an extensive network, individuals often shy away from the opportunity to create new connections because engaging in... View Details
Keywords: Networking; Impurity; Morality; Motivation; Regulatory Focus; Networks; Attitudes; Moral Sensibility
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Gino, F., T. Casciaro, and M. Kouchaki. "Why Connect? Moral Consequences of Networking with a Promotion or Prevention Focus." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 119, no. 6 (December 2020).
  • Article

Does 'Liking' Lead to Loving? The Impact of Joining a Brand's Social Network on Marketing Outcomes

By: Leslie K. John, Oliver Emrich, Sunil Gupta and Michael I. Norton
Does “liking” a brand on Facebook cause a person to view it more favorably? Or is “liking” simply a symptom of being fond of a brand? We disentangle these possibilities and find evidence for the latter: brand attitudes and purchasing are predicted by consumers’... View Details
Keywords: Brands; Marketing Effectiveness; Brand Evaluation; Peer Influence; Brands and Branding; Social and Collaborative Networks; Social Media
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John, Leslie K., Oliver Emrich, Sunil Gupta, and Michael I. Norton. "Does 'Liking' Lead to Loving? The Impact of Joining a Brand's Social Network on Marketing Outcomes." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 54, no. 1 (February 2017): 144–155.
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