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      • Faculty Publications  (152)

      Heuristics And BiasesRemove Heuristics And Biases →

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      • September 2, 2014
      • Article

      Development of In-Group Favoritism in Children's Third-Party Punishment of Selfishness

      By: Jillian J. Jordan, Katherine McAuliffe and Felix Warneken
      When enforcing norms for cooperative behavior, human adults sometimes exhibit in-group bias. For example, third-party observers punish selfish behaviors committed by out-group members more harshly than similar behaviors committed by in-group members. Although evidence... View Details
      Keywords: Ontogeny; Cooperation; Equality and Inequality
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      Jordan, Jillian J., Katherine McAuliffe, and Felix Warneken. "Development of In-Group Favoritism in Children's Third-Party Punishment of Selfishness." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, no. 35 (September 2, 2014): 12710–12715.
      • July 2014
      • Article

      Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows

      By: David H. Solomon, Eugene F. Soltes and Denis Sosyura
      We show that media coverage of mutual fund holdings affects how investors allocate money across funds. Controlling for fund performance, fund holdings with high past returns attract extra flows only if these stocks were recently featured in major newspapers. In... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Media; Investment Funds; Financial Services Industry
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      Solomon, David H., Eugene F. Soltes, and Denis Sosyura. "Winners in the Spotlight: Media Coverage of Fund Holdings as a Driver of Flows." Journal of Financial Economics 113, no. 1 (July 2014): 53–72.
      • February 2014
      • Article

      Governance and CEO Turnover: Do Something or Do the Right Thing?

      By: Ray Fisman, Rakesh Khurana, Matthew Rhodes-Kropf and Soojin Yim
      We study how corporate governance affects firm value through the decision of whether to fire or retain the CEO. We present a model in which weak governance—which prevents shareholders from controlling the board—protects inferior CEOs from dismissal, while at the same... View Details
      Keywords: Governing and Advisory Boards; Value; Retention; Resignation and Termination; Corporate Governance; Management Teams; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Fisman, Ray, Rakesh Khurana, Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, and Soojin Yim. "Governance and CEO Turnover: Do Something or Do the Right Thing?" Management Science 60, no. 2 (February 2014): 319–337.
      • October 2013
      • Article

      How Much to Make and How Much to Buy? An Analysis of Optimal Plural Sourcing Strategies

      By: Phanish Puranam, Ranjay Gulati and Sourav Bhattacharya
      While many theories of the firm seek to explain when firms make rather than buy, in practice, firms often make and buy the same input—they engage in plural sourcing. We argue that explaining the mix of external procurement and internal sourcing for the same input... View Details
      Keywords: Supply Chain; Forecasting and Prediction; Framework; Prejudice and Bias; Mathematical Methods
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      Puranam, Phanish, Ranjay Gulati, and Sourav Bhattacharya. "How Much to Make and How Much to Buy? An Analysis of Optimal Plural Sourcing Strategies." Strategic Management Journal 34, no. 10 (October 2013): 1145–1161.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      Measurement Errors of Expected-Return Proxies and the Implied Cost of Capital

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang
      Despite their popularity as proxies of expected returns, the implied cost of capital's (ICC) measurement error properties are relatively unknown. Through an in-depth analysis of a popular implementation of ICCs by Gebhardt, Lee, and Swaminathan (2001) (GLS), I show... View Details
      Keywords: Measurement and Metrics; Cost of Capital; Investment Return
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      Wang, Charles C.Y. "Measurement Errors of Expected-Return Proxies and the Implied Cost of Capital." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 13-098, May 2013. (Revised February 2015.)
      • May 2013
      • Article

      From Russia with Love: The Impact of Relocated Firms on Incumbent Survival

      By: Oliver Falck, Christina Guenther, Stephan Heblich and William R. Kerr
      We identify the impact of local firm concentration on incumbent performance with a quasi-natural experiment. When Germany was divided after World War II, many firms in the machine tool industry fled the Soviet occupied zone to prevent expropriation. We show that the... View Details
      Keywords: Geographic Location; Competition; Supply and Industry; Labor; West Germany; Soviet Union
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      Falck, Oliver, Christina Guenther, Stephan Heblich, and William R. Kerr. "From Russia with Love: The Impact of Relocated Firms on Incumbent Survival." Journal of Economic Geography 13, no. 3 (May 2013): 419–449.
      • 2013
      • Dictionary Entry

      Managerial Decision Biases

      By: Ting Zhang and Max Bazerman
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      Zhang, Ting, and Max Bazerman. "Managerial Decision Biases." In Encyclopedia of Management Theory. Volume 1 edited by Eric H. Kessler, 470–474. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 2013.
      • 2013
      • Chapter

      Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Current Survey

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We survey the theory and evidence of behavioral corporate finance, which generally takes one of two approaches. The market timing and catering approach views managerial financing and investment decisions as rational managerial responses to securities mispricing. The... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Theory; Corporate Finance; Financial Management; Investment; Market Timing; Behavioral Finance; Prejudice and Bias; Economics; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Current Survey." In Handbook of the Economics of Finance, Volume 2A: Corporate Finance, edited by George M. Constantinides, Milton Harris, and Rene M. Stulz, 357–424. Handbooks in Economics. New York: Elsevier, 2013.
      • 2013
      • Book

      Judgment in Managerial Decision Making

      By: Max Bazerman and Don A. Moore
      Is your judgment influenced by personal biases? In situations requiring careful judgment, we're all influenced by our own biases to some extent. But, with Judgment in Managerial Decision Making, you can learn how to overcome those biases to make better... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Management Practices and Processes; Management Skills; Managerial Roles; Performance Improvement; Prejudice and Bias
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      Bazerman, Max, and Don A. Moore. Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 8th ed. John Wiley & Sons, 2013.
      • October 2012
      • Article

      The Effect of Reference Point Prices on Mergers and Acquisitions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Xin Pan and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Prior stock price peaks of targets affect several aspects of merger and acquisition activity. Offer prices are biased toward recent peak prices although they are economically unremarkable. An offer's probability of acceptance jumps discontinuously when it exceeds a... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Stocks; Price; Valuation; Negotiation
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      Baker, Malcolm, Xin Pan, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Effect of Reference Point Prices on Mergers and Acquisitions." Journal of Financial Economics 106, no. 1 (October 2012): 49–71.
      • 2012
      • Working Paper

      Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market

      By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
      Reaching-for-yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyses this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for... View Details
      Keywords: Fixed Income; Reaching For Yield; Financial Intermediation; Insurance Companies; Insurance; Bonds; Assets; Risk Management; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Insurance Industry
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      Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-103, May 2012. (Revised December 2012. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18909, March 2013)
      • May 2012
      • Case

      Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (A)

      By: Amy C. Edmondson and Kerry Herman
      This case documents decision-making processes, organizational culture, and other contributors to NASA's failed Columbia mission in 2003. Addresses the question of how organizations should deal with "ambiguous threats" - weak signals of potential crisis - and explores... View Details
      Keywords: Cognitive Biases; Teams; Organizational Learning; Ambiguous Threat; Leadership; Organizational Culture; Decision Making; Failure; Crisis Management; Aerospace Industry
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      Edmondson, Amy C., and Kerry Herman. "Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (A)." Harvard Business School Case 612-095, May 2012.
      • May 2012
      • Supplement

      Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (B)

      By: Amy C. Edmondson and Kerry Herman
      Keywords: Cognitive Biases; Teams; Organizational Learning; Ambiguous Threat; Risk and Uncertainty; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Leadership; Corporate Disclosure; Groups and Teams; Decision Making; Organizational Culture; Public Administration Industry; Aerospace Industry
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      Edmondson, Amy C., and Kerry Herman. "Columbia's Final Mission (Abridged) (B) ." Harvard Business School Supplement 612-096, May 2012.
      • 2012
      • Working Paper

      When Performance Trumps Gender Bias: Joint versus Separate Evaluation

      By: Iris Bohnet, Alexandra van Geen and Max H. Bazerman
      We examine a new intervention to overcome gender biases in hiring, promotion, and job assignments: an "evaluation nudge," in which people are evaluated jointly rather than separately regarding their future performance. Evaluators are more likely to focus on individual... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Selection and Staffing; Behavior; Groups and Teams; Decision Making; Performance Evaluation; Gender
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      Bohnet, Iris, Alexandra van Geen, and Max H. Bazerman. "When Performance Trumps Gender Bias: Joint versus Separate Evaluation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-083, March 2012.
      • January 2012 (Revised March 2012)
      • Case

      Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)'s Entry into the Retirement Market

      By: Lauren Cohen and Christopher Malloy
      This case examines Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)'s decision to enter the retirement market with their new "Dimensional Managed DC" product, a complete retirement solution that aimed to provide investors with what they really wanted: the same standard of living in... View Details
      Keywords: Retirement; Asset Management
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      Cohen, Lauren, and Christopher Malloy. "Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)'s Entry into the Retirement Market." Harvard Business School Case 212-068, January 2012. (Revised March 2012.)
      • December 2011 (Revised July 2013)
      • Background Note

      Hypothesis-Driven Entrepreneurship: The Lean Startup

      By: Thomas Eisenmann, Eric Ries and Sarah Dillard
      Firms that follow a hypothesis-driven approach to evaluating entrepreneurial opportunity are called "lean startups." Entrepreneurs in these startups translate their vision into falsifiable business model hypotheses, then test the hypotheses using a series of "minimum... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Business Startups
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      Eisenmann, Thomas, Eric Ries, and Sarah Dillard. "Hypothesis-Driven Entrepreneurship: The Lean Startup." Harvard Business School Background Note 812-095, December 2011. (Revised July 2013.)
      • August 2011
      • Article

      Coming Clean and Cleaning Up: Does Voluntary Self-Reporting Indicate Effective Self-Policing

      By: Michael W. Toffel and Jodi L. Short
      Regulatory agencies are increasingly establishing voluntary self-reporting programs both as an investigative tool and to encourage regulated firms to commit to policing themselves. We investigate whether voluntary self-reporting can reliably indicate effective... View Details
      Keywords: Environmental Sustainability; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Programs; Governance Compliance; Corporate Disclosure; Law Enforcement
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      Toffel, Michael W., and Jodi L. Short. "Coming Clean and Cleaning Up: Does Voluntary Self-Reporting Indicate Effective Self-Policing." Journal of Law & Economics 54, no. 3 (August 2011): 609–649.
      • June 2011
      • Article

      Truth in Giving: Experimental Evidence on the Welfare Effects of Informed Giving to the Poor

      By: Christina Fong and Felix Oberholzer-Gee
      It is often difficult for donors to predict the value of charitable giving because they know little about the persons who receive their help. This concern is particularly acute when making contributions to organizations that serve heterogeneous populations. While we... View Details
      Keywords: Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Policy; Information; Knowledge Acquisition; Game Theory; Prejudice and Bias; Poverty; Welfare
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      Fong, Christina, and Felix Oberholzer-Gee. "Truth in Giving: Experimental Evidence on the Welfare Effects of Informed Giving to the Poor." Special Issue on Charitable Giving and Fundraising Journal of Public Economics 95, nos. 5-6 (June 2011): 436–444.
      • January 2011 (Revised March 2011)
      • Case

      Development and Promotion at North Atlantic Hospital

      By: Boris Groysberg, Lisa Leffert, Kerry Herman and Libby Williams
      Dr. Elizabeth Harris, Chair of the Department of Anesthesiology (DA) at North Atlantic Hospital (NAH), faces several significant challenges. Staff satisfaction surveys confirmed her assessment that department faculty morale was low, the tenure and promotion system was... View Details
      Keywords: Training; Employees; Retention; Performance Evaluation; Personal Development and Career; Motivation and Incentives; Health Industry
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      Groysberg, Boris, Lisa Leffert, Kerry Herman, and Libby Williams. "Development and Promotion at North Atlantic Hospital." Harvard Business School Case 411-018, January 2011. (Revised March 2011.)
      • Article

      From Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making.

      By: Dan Ariely and Michael I. Norton
      Due to the sheer number and variety of decisions that people make in their everyday lives-from choosing yogurts to choosing religions to choosing spouses-research in judgment and decision making has taken many forms. We suggest, however, that much of this research has... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Cognition and Thinking; Judgments; Research; Problems and Challenges
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      Ariely, Dan, and Michael I. Norton. "From Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making." Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science 2, no. 1 (January–February 2011): 39–46.
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