Publications

Publications

Filter Results: (174) Arrow Down

Show Results For

← Page 6 of 174 Results →
Sort by

Are you looking for?

→Search All HBS Web
  • October 2024
  • Article

How to Use Sales Assessments

By: Frank V. Cespedes
Judging a person’s fit for a sales job is complex, and research shows that managers greatly overrate their ability to predict someone’s performance on the basis of interviews. Hence, using assessments is a growing trend in sales hiring and training. This article... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Sales
Related
  • 23 Jan 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 23, 2018

features a regime-switching short-rate model. We evaluate the out-of-sample performance of our model in terms of forecasting ability and coverage properties and find that it improves on the standard Diebold... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Sep 2013
  • First Look

First Look: September 17

impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Feb 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Inexperienced Investors and Market Bubbles

managers over-invested in technology stocks. Why are the less-experienced managers drawn to technology? A: Our hypothesis is that younger managers, and inexperienced investors more generally, are more likely to extrapolate past price movements when forming their View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services
  • 08 Feb 2016
  • Research & Ideas

The Civic Benefits of Google Street View and Yelp

Yelp restaurant reviews to target hygiene inspections? “There is so much data now, it’s exhilarating—and frightening” “There is all sorts of data that is coming in now,” says Luca, “and if you use it carefully you could revamp the way that every policy is View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Consumer Products
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

Behavioral Decision Making The Impact of 'Display-Set' Options on Decision-Making By: Karmarkar, Uma R. Abstract—The way a choice set is constructed can have a significant influence on how individuals perceive and evaluate their options... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Article

The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential

By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation
Related
  • 14 Dec 2011
  • Research & Ideas

The New Measures for Improving Nonprofit Performance

worked in our favor was that we had developed multiyear financial forecast models. We were dealing with bank workout teams, which is very rugged. But because we had that information, we stunned them. They didn't expect that coming from a... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna
  • 14 Apr 2009
  • First Look

First Look: April 14, 2009

is available at this time. Publisher's link: http://www.springer.com/business/production/book/978-0-387-78902-6 The Harvard Economic Service and the Problems of Forecasting Author: Walter Friedman Publication: History of Political Economy... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • February 2021
  • Tutorial

Assessing Prediction Accuracy of Machine Learning Models

By: Michael Toffel and Natalie Epstein
This video describes how to assess the accuracy of machine learning prediction models, primarily in the context of machine learning models that predict binary outcomes, such as logistic regression, random forest, or nearest neighbor models. After introducing and... View Details
Keywords: Statistics; Experiments; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; AI and Machine Learning
Related
  • 10 Jan 2005
  • Research & Ideas

Professors Introduce Valuation Software

financial data to perform accounting analysis, ratio analysis, forecasted financials, and valuation. It also provides benchmarking for comparable firms. It was created by Harvard Business School faculty Krishna Palepu and Paul Healy, in... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 Mar 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 27, 2018

sell-side analysts employed at state-owned brokerages issued relatively optimistic earnings forecasts and stock recommendations during these periods. This relative optimism is particularly pronounced in earnings View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 19, 2010

Abstract Purpose-The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the influence of psychological hardiness, social judgment, and "Big Five" personality dimensions on leader performance in U.S. military academy cadets at West Point.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 5, 2008

No abstract is available at this time. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-057.pdf Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning Authors:Rogelio... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • October 2007
  • Journal Article

Psychosocial Development and Leader Performance of Military Officer Cadets

By: Scott Snook and Paul T. Bartone
Efforts to educate and develop future military officers aim to produce highly competent, ethical and effective leaders to serve the nation. But while there is general agreement about desired outcomes, the underlying developmental processes associated with these... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Leadership Development; Performance Evaluation; Personal Development and Career; Social Psychology
Related
  • 24 Sep 2014
  • Op-Ed

We Need a Miracle. New Nuclear Might Provide it.

On September 4, the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) published its 2014 International Energy Outlook. Earlier this year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its latest World Energy Investment Outlook. Both watchdogs tell us the same story. Energy... View Details
Keywords: by Joseph Lassiter; Energy; Utilities
  • 12 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

charcoal and fuel wood. Antitrust Scrutiny of Google Authors:Edelman, Benjamin G. Publication:Journal of Law Abstract I evaluate antitrust claims against Google and propose possible remedies. While Google's specific tactics are often... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 11

students and investors how to evaluate mutual funds and other collective investment vehicles. It discusses how different types of funds are managed, marketed, and regulated. It also reviews how funds invest and gather assets in countries... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 5, 2007

own ethicality. We argue that the temporal trichotomy of prediction, action and evaluation is central to these misperceptions: People predict that they will behave more ethically than they actually do, and when View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • April 2023
  • Article

Performance on Patient Experience Measures of Former Chief Medical Residents as Physician Exemplars Chosen by the Profession

By: Lucy Chen and J. Michael McWilliams
OBJECTIVE To compare care for patients of primary care physicians (PCPs) who were former chiefs with care for patients of nonchief PCPs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Using 2010 to 2018 Medicare Fee-For-Service Consumer Assessment of Healthcare... View Details
Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Competency and Skills; Surveys; Health Industry
Related

Are you looking for?

→Search All HBS Web