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- All HBS Web (178)
- Faculty Publications (84)
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- 16 Jul 2007
- Research & Ideas
Understanding the ‘Want’ vs. ’Should’ Decision
choice to vote. Katy is also pursuing a study of the earnings forecasts made by sell-side stock analysts. Along with John, she is examining biases in the way analysts update their earnings View Details
- 14 Mar 2023
- In Practice
What Does the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Say About the State of Finance?
crisis—and was the second-biggest to fail ever. Analysts say SVB was largely unprepared for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate increases, which shrank the value of its investments. As word spread quickly online that the bank... View Details
- 15 Jul 2019
- Book
Many Executives Are Afraid of Finance. Here's How They Can Gain Confidence
the capital allocation problem is the central way to evaluate management. Gerdeman: You say that valuation is both an art and a science, and even the best equity analysts and investors confuse the two and get things wrong. Why is that?... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
- 13 Nov 2019
- Research & Ideas
Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet
leverage content from customers’ product reviews to identify their future needs. But here the human analysts are key players. They must review the selected content and formulate customer needs, because natural language processing... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
- 26 Nov 2001
- Op-Ed
Why Corporate Budgeting Needs To Be Fixed
exceeding. But the price for his little white lie was extremely high: The company based its demand planning on his sales forecast and consequently ran out of its core product in one of its largest markets at the height of the holiday... View Details
Keywords: by Michael C. Jensen
- 21 Aug 2019
- Research & Ideas
What Machine Learning Teaches Us about CEO Leadership Style
such as the mobile phone and Internet of Things explosions across many fast-growing Asian economies. Beyond academic questions, business analysts could use these machine-learning techniques, which the researchers say are relatively simple... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
- 28 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Coronavirus Could Create a 'Bankruptcy Pandemic'
couple of years could top what we saw during the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis, when there were more than 100,000 business bankruptcies. Some analysts are forecasting that by the end of 2021 up to 20... View Details
- Research Summary
Overview
The overarching goal of my research is to produce works that are influential and informative to both academics and practitioners in the field of operations management. To accomplish this, I collaborate with industry partners who provide knowledge about their field,... View Details
- 06 Feb 2006
- What Do You Think?
Should CEOs of Public Companies Offer Earnings Guidance?
an average -3.6 percent three-day return around the announcement to stop guidance. . . . After the elimination of guidance, stock prices lead earnings less, but there is no change in overall stock return volatility or analyst attention.... View Details
- 27 Mar 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research, March 27, 2018
sell-side analysts employed at state-owned brokerages issued relatively optimistic earnings forecasts and stock recommendations during these periods. This relative optimism is particularly pronounced in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 12 Jul 2010
- Research & Ideas
Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide
do managers forecast total revenue? You can get a sense of that from looking at investment analysts' forecasts. While it is true that managers have information that analysts lack, analysts' estimates and... View Details
- 07 Jul 2009
- First Look
First Look: July 7
Missing Quarterly Analysts Forecasts (revised) Authors:Richard Mergenthaler, Shiva Rajgopal, and Suraj Srinivasan Abstract We find that missing the quarterly analyst consensus... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Apr 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research, April 11
forthcoming Journal of Accounting & Economics Career Concerns of Banking Analysts By: Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu Abstract—We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' View Details
- 02 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 2
over consensus forecasts would be large in the next fiscal year. Our results show that historical inventory and gross margin contain information useful to forecast sales, and that equity View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Dec 2007
- First Look
First Look: December 11, 2007
Working PapersThe Seer of Wellesley Hills: Roger Babson and the Babson Statistical Organization Author:Walter A. Friedman Abstract Roger Babson was a pioneer of the business-forecasting industry in the United States in the early twentieth century. He built the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 19 Jan 2011
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 18
analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors and which are considered most important. We use survey data from 967 analysts ranking 837 companies to judge how their View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 8
http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-103.pdf Do Analysts Add Value? Evidence from Corporate Spinoffs Authors:Emilie Feldman, Stuart Gilson, and Belén Villalonga Abstract We investigate the information content and View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 01 Aug 2016
- Research & Ideas
Retail Execs Underplay Current Performance to Investors--but Why?
search for driving directions to a Walmart was counted toward Walmart’s consumer activity for the week. The researchers’ within-quarter measure accurately tracked current-period revenue growth and predicted announcement surprises and View Details
- 12 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 12, 2007
Malloy, and Felicia Marston Abstract Comparing two snapshots of the historical I/B/E/S database of research analyst stock recommendations, taken in 2002 and 2004 but each covering the same time period 1993-2002, we identify 54,729 ex-post... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 20 Dec 2011
- First Look
First Look: December 20
The Wall Street Journal. We find no evidence that compensation is related to earnings forecast accuracy. But consistent with prior studies, we find analyst turnover to be related to View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel