Analyst Forecasts - Publications - Faculty & Research

June 2012
Article

Decoding Inside Information

By: Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Lukasz Pomorski

Using a simple empirical strategy, we decode the information in insider trading. Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is predictable, identifiable "routine" insider trading that is not informative for the future of firms.... View Details

Keywords: Strategy; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Law Enforcement; Opportunities; Geographic Location; Business Earnings

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16 Jun 2015
First Look

First Look: June 16, 2015

importance of return on equity in forecasting future stock returns depends on the quality of the accounting information. This extension also reconciles our model with alternative characteristic-based forecasters. These findings suggest... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

12 Aug 2014
First Look

First Look: August 12

Meanwhile, analysts were pushing for more international expansion, but efforts at building business in South Africa, Canada, and Australia had been slow, with only 16% of revenues coming from outside the UK in 2013, a figure little... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

Web

Online Business Analytics Course | HBS Online

results of a series of website A/B tests 8 hrs Module 4 Single Variable Linear Regression Analyze the relationship between two variables and develop forecasts for values outside the data set. Highlights Prediction Intervals Interpreting... View Details

01 Oct 2001
Research & Ideas

How To Make Restructuring Work for Your Company

its consumer tissue products business. Management was quite open in declaring this goal. However, experience suggests that investors and analysts generally reward promises of revenue growth much less than they do evidence of cost... View Details

Keywords: by Stuart C. Gilson

14 Mar 2023
In Practice

What Does the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Say About the State of Finance?

crisis—and was the second-biggest to fail ever. Analysts say SVB was largely unprepared for the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate increases, which shrank the value of its investments. As word spread quickly online that the bank... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Financial Services; Banking

16 Jul 2007
Research & Ideas

Understanding the ‘Want’ vs. ’Should’ Decision

choice to vote. Katy is also pursuing a study of the earnings forecasts made by sell-side stock analysts. Along with John, she is examining biases in the way analysts update their earnings View Details

Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Retail; Entertainment & Recreation

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Profiles - MBA

and Diversity in Tech Formative experience at the intersection of technology and business: On campus, I've explored my interests in tech and business through my role as the Co-President of Harvard Women in Computer Science, as well as my investment research experience... View Details

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Team - Case Method Project

curriculum development for the Case Method Project. He received his Ph.D. in history from Columbia University and is author of Birth of a Salesman: The Transformation of Selling in America (2004) and Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic View Details

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Advisory Board - Entrepreneurship

computer simulation modeling. In a joint program with Harvard Law School, he lectured on marine legal / regulatory policy. His research focused on forecasting economic and environmental consequences of offshore oil and gas development. He... View Details

15 Jul 2019
Book

Many Executives Are Afraid of Finance. Here's How They Can Gain Confidence

the capital allocation problem is the central way to evaluate management. Gerdeman: You say that valuation is both an art and a science, and even the best equity analysts and investors confuse the two and get things wrong. Why is that?... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

13 Nov 2019
Research & Ideas

Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet

leverage content from customers’ product reviews to identify their future needs. But here the human analysts are key players. They must review the selected content and formulate customer needs, because natural language processing... View Details

Keywords: by Kristen Senz

26 Nov 2001
Op-Ed

Why Corporate Budgeting Needs To Be Fixed

exceeding. But the price for his little white lie was extremely high: The company based its demand planning on his sales forecast and consequently ran out of its core product in one of its largest markets at the height of the holiday... View Details

Keywords: by Michael C. Jensen

21 Aug 2019
Research & Ideas

What Machine Learning Teaches Us about CEO Leadership Style

such as the mobile phone and Internet of Things explosions across many fast-growing Asian economies. Beyond academic questions, business analysts could use these machine-learning techniques, which the researchers say are relatively simple... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding

Research Summary

Overview

The overarching goal of my research is to produce works that are influential and informative to both academics and practitioners in the field of operations management. To accomplish this, I collaborate with industry partners who provide knowledge about their field,... View Details

28 May 2020
Research & Ideas

Coronavirus Could Create a 'Bankruptcy Pandemic'

couple of years could top what we saw during the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis, when there were more than 100,000 business bankruptcies. Some analysts are forecasting that by the end of 2021 up to 20... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Financial Services; Banking

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Frequently Asked Questions | HBS Online

basic understanding of capital markets, portfolio theory, and risk and return. Can I use this course for CFA Institute credit? CFA Institute (including the Chartered Financial Analyst and Certificate in Investment Performance Measurement... View Details

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Harvard Business School

league-wide risk management program to insure all property and casualty risks across the league through a new captive insurance company, improved the budgeting and financial reporting of MLB's central offices, and implemented an improved club financial reporting and... View Details

06 Feb 2006
What Do You Think?

Should CEOs of Public Companies Offer Earnings Guidance?

an average -3.6 percent three-day return around the announcement to stop guidance. . . . After the elimination of guidance, stock prices lead earnings less, but there is no change in overall stock return volatility or analyst attention.... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Financial Services

Fast Answer

Economic reports

Forecasting Service (Economist Intelligence Unit) U.S. Economy at a Glance (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)) See also Survey of Current... View Details

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