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  • All HBS Web  (1,273)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,048)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (801)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (1,273)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,048)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (801)
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  • 21 Feb 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 21

incremental improvements to it. Each firm has its own assessment of the market potential for the radical innovation, and the reliability of these market forecasts can differ. We show that when the entrant's market-assessment capability is... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: January 10

forecasted probability of future funding by funding more innovative ideas. We propose that extremely novel technologies may need 'hot' financial markets to get through the initial period of discovery or diffusion. Download the paper:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Nov 2011
  • First Look

First Look: November 15

Analyst Recommendation and Earnings Forecast Anomaly Author:George Serafeim Publication:Chap. 3 in The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies: Translating Market Inefficiencies into Effective Investment Strategies, 63-91. John Wiley &... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Feb 2022
  • Research & Ideas

When Will the Hot Housing Market Finally Start to Cool?

only 910,000 homes on the market remained unsold nationwide, an all-time low. And Zillow, the online real estate sales platform, recently revised its 2022 forecast upward, predicting home prices will surge 16 percent nationwide. The... View Details
Keywords: by Christine Pazzanese, Harvard Gazette
  • August 2024 (Revised November 2024)
  • Case

No Labels and the 2024 Presidential Insurance Plan

By: Robert F. White and Tom Quinn
After observing record voter dissatisfaction with the choices in the 2024 U.S. presidential election—Democratic nominee President Joe Biden and Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump—the bipartisan nonprofit No Labels decided to reserve ballot access in... View Details
Keywords: Disruption; Forecasting and Prediction; Lawsuits and Litigation; Failure; System Shocks; Political Elections; Motivation and Incentives; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; United States
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White, Robert F., and Tom Quinn. "No Labels and the 2024 Presidential Insurance Plan." Harvard Business School Case 825-044, August 2024. (Revised November 2024.)
  • January 2021
  • Case

Aster DM Healthcare: Budgeting for a Crisis

By: V.G. Narayanan and Amy Klopfenstein
In April 2020, Alisha Moopen, Deputy Managing Director of Aster DM Healthcare, a network of clinics, hospitals, and pharmacies in the Middle East and India, must create her company’s budget for the 2021 fiscal year in light of the onset of Covid-19. The pandemic had... View Details
Keywords: Decision Making; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Judgments; Decision Choices and Conditions; Cost vs Benefits; Budgets and Budgeting; Health Pandemics; Health Industry; Asia; India; United Arab Emirates; Dubai
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Narayanan, V.G., and Amy Klopfenstein. "Aster DM Healthcare: Budgeting for a Crisis." Harvard Business School Case 121-001, January 2021.
  • July 2010 (Revised December 2011)
  • Background Note

Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis

By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
Pricing is one of the most difficult decisions marketers make and the one with the most direct and immediate impact on the firm's financial position. This toolkit will introduce the fundamental terminology and calculations associated with pricing and profitability... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Profit; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Marketing Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Measurement and Metrics; Strategic Planning; Mathematical Methods; Retail Industry
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Steenburgh, Thomas J., and Jill Avery. "Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 511-028, July 2010. (Revised December 2011.)
  • November 1999 (Revised July 2003)
  • Case

Pre-Paid Legal Services, Inc.

By: Paul M. Healy and Jacob Cohen
Pre-Paid Legal Services' business model reveals two key issues--managing the sales force and sales growth and managing claims. Students analyze the economics of the business and consider how to measure firm performance, how to evaluate and reward the sales force, and... View Details
Keywords: Financial Management; Financial Strategy; Salesforce Management; Marketing Strategy; Accrual Accounting; Business Cycles; Forecasting and Prediction; Insurance; Business Growth and Maturation; Insurance Industry
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Healy, Paul M., and Jacob Cohen. "Pre-Paid Legal Services, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 100-037, November 1999. (Revised July 2003.)
  • April 2012
  • Article

Bouncing Out of the Banking System: An Empirical Analysis of Involuntary Bank Account Closures

By: Dennis Campbell, F. Asis Martinez-Jerez and Peter Tufano
Using a new database, we document the factors that relate to the extent of involuntary consumer bank account closure resulting from excessive overdraft activity. Consumers who have accounts involuntarily closed for overdraft activity may have limited or no access to... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Customers; Social Issues; Outcome or Result; Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Banks and Banking; Policy; Personal Characteristics; Credit; Employment; United States
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Campbell, Dennis, F. Asis Martinez-Jerez, and Peter Tufano. "Bouncing Out of the Banking System: An Empirical Analysis of Involuntary Bank Account Closures." Journal of Banking & Finance 36, no. 4 (April 2012): 1224–1235.
  • September 2011
  • Supplement

TopCoder (B)

By: Karim R. Lakhani, Eric Lonstein and Stephanie Pokrywa
Metrology plays a key role in the manufacture of mechanical components. Traditionally it is used extensively in a pre-process stage where a manufacturer does process planning, design, and ramp-up, and in post-process off-line inspection to establish proof of quality.... View Details
Keywords: Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Change Management; Production; Machinery and Machining; Planning; Quality; Competition; Diversification; Technology Adoption; Measurement and Metrics; Product Design; Manufacturing Industry
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Lakhani, Karim R., Eric Lonstein, and Stephanie Pokrywa. "TopCoder (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 612-044, September 2011.
  • 14 Nov 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

probability of a crash; (3) attributes of the price run-up, including volatility, turnover, issuance, and the price path of the run-up, can all help forecast an eventual crash and future returns; and (4) some of these characteristics can... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 01 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 1

prepared a grave for NBC as the 2012 London Olympics approached. Indeed, critics created #NBCFail to characterize their expectations. Yet, as the Games wound down, it was NBC that was smiling. Their forecast had paid off. They found that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 17, 2009

that issuance is partly an attempt to arbitrage mispriced characteristics. Our approach helps forecast returns to portfolios based on book-to-market, size, price, distress, payout policy, profitability, and industry. Our results provide a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 23 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 23

attention to the returns of firms that do not issue at all, suggesting that issuance is partly an attempt to cater to broad time-varying patterns in characteristics mispricing. Our approach helps forecast returns to portfolios based on... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Dec 1999
  • News

A Class Act

October 1986 Business is typical. Forecasts spell wealth greater than imagination; actuals result in delay-the-dividend/bonus one more quarter. How in God's name I ended up in satellite insurance is beyond me. The mindless, youthful... View Details
Keywords: Nancy O. Perry
  • 20 Jun 2016
  • Research & Ideas

When Predicting Other People's Preferences, You're Probably Wrong

implications for anyone looking to impress others, for those who are tasked with forecasting consumer behavior, or for salespeople who consult with customers on prospective purchases. In short, it’s dangerous to predict what others will... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Retail
  • May 1998 (Revised May 2001)
  • Case

Merchandising at Nine West Retail Stores

By: Ananth Raman and Colin S Welch
Describes the merchandising decision process (organization, structure, and incentives) at Nine West retail stores, a large footwear retailer in the United States. Also describes changes currently occurring at Nine West and thus provides a context in which students can... View Details
Keywords: Organizational Structure; Situation or Environment; Motivation and Incentives; Decision Making; Change; Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Brands and Branding; Marketing Strategy; Product Marketing; Retail Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry; United States
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Raman, Ananth, and Colin S Welch. "Merchandising at Nine West Retail Stores." Harvard Business School Case 698-098, May 1998. (Revised May 2001.)
  • 01 Mar 2018
  • What Do You Think?

Two Decades Later, is the 'New Economy' Finally Here?

“Many decisions, judgments, and forecasts now made by humans should be turned over to algorithms Even though machine learning systems still lack common sense, they are accomplishing ‘useful work’ and are advancing rapidly.” The massive... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • May 2025
  • Case

'Net Zero in Action': Impact Investing at the McKnight Foundation

By: Lauren Cohen, Christina R. Wing and Sophia Pan
Elizabeth McGeveran, Vice President of Investments at the McKnight Foundation, reflected on how to effectively advance the organization’s net-zero strategy. The foundation had committed 10% of its endowment to building a portfolio of impact investments and was among... View Details
Keywords: Investment Fund; Philanthropy; Charitable Donations; Sustainability; Foundation; Impact Investing; ESG; Family Business; Forecasting and Prediction; Private Sector; Renewable Energy; Social Entrepreneurship; Climate Change; Environmental Sustainability; Green Technology; Financial Strategy; Investment Funds; Investment Portfolio; Institutional Investing; Corporate Accountability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Mission and Purpose; Private Ownership; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Social Issues; Sustainable Cities; Financial Services Industry; Minnesota; United States
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Cohen, Lauren, Christina R. Wing, and Sophia Pan. "'Net Zero in Action': Impact Investing at the McKnight Foundation." Harvard Business School Case 225-095, May 2025.
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

within their private networks, who then transmit the information to arm’s length analysts outside the network. Specifically, we show that firms with more connected analysts have more accurate consensus forecasts and lower View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
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