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  • 20 May 2015
  • Working Paper Summaries

Career Concerns of Banking Analysts

Keywords: by Joanne Horton, George Serafeim & Shan Wu; Banking; Financial Services
  • January 1992 (Revised March 1993)
  • Case

Maison Bouygues

By: John A. Quelch
The vice president of marketing is reviewing the 1991 marketing plan and budget for Maison Bouygues, the leading builder of new single family homes in France. Due to recession, the company's sales are forecast to be flat and adjustments may need to be made in the... View Details
Keywords: Housing; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Brands and Branding; Construction Industry; France
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  • September 2002
  • Case

Align Technology, Inc.: Matching Manufacturing Capacity to Sales Demand

By: H. Kent Bowen and Jonathan P Groberg
Align Technology is a four-year-old medical products company that has invented a new product requiring new manufacturing processes. Demand for the new product has grown more slowly than initial forecasts predicted, and the cost structure is preventing the company from... View Details
Keywords: Health Care and Treatment; Collaborative Innovation and Invention; Problems and Challenges; Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Sales; Demand and Consumers; Production; Health Industry
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    Walter A. Friedman

    Walter A. Friedman is Director of the Business History Initiative and Lecturer.  He edits Business History Review with Geoff Jones. He specializes in business, labor, and economic history. He is author of Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First... View Details

    Keywords: advertising; automobiles; automotive; electrical equipment; electronics; information technology industry; marketing industry; railroad; retailing; soft drink
    • 2023
    • Working Paper

    The Limits of Algorithmic Measures of Race in Studies of Outcome Disparities

    By: David S. Scharfstein and Sergey Chernenko
    We show that the use of algorithms to predict race has significant limitations in measuring and understanding the sources of racial disparities in finance, economics, and other contexts. First, we derive theoretically the direction and magnitude of measurement bias in... View Details
    Keywords: Racial Disparity; Paycheck Protection Program; Measurement Error; AI and Machine Learning; Race; Measurement and Metrics; Equality and Inequality; Prejudice and Bias; Forecasting and Prediction; Outcome or Result
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    • 2005
    • Working Paper

    Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

    By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
    We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
    Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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    • 2017
    • Working Paper

    Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers

    By: Elisabeth Kempf, Alberto Manconi and Oliver Spalt
    Learning by doing matters for professional investors. We develop a new methodology to show that mutual fund managers outperform in industries where they have obtained experience on the job. The key to our identification strategy is that we look "inside" funds and... View Details
    Keywords: Fund Managers; Experience and Expertise; Performance; Forecasting and Prediction
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    • February 1982 (Revised August 1985)
    • Case

    U.S. Retail Coffee Market (A)

    Set in mid-1978, this case covers all aspects of the U.S. retail coffee market both cross-sectionally and historically. The market is recovering from dramatic price rises and volume drops. The overall issue is the forecast of future market evolution and the... View Details
    Keywords: Marketing Strategy; Industry Growth; Market Timing; Food and Beverage Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; United States
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    • January 1999 (Revised June 2006)
    • Case

    Advanced Technologies, Inc.

    By: Thomas R. Piper
    The CEO of a semiconductor equipment manufacturer is assessing the financial forecasts and financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Continued rapid growth will create substantial financing pressures, especially if profitability fails to recover and/or if... View Details
    Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Earnings Management; Financial Condition; Financial Reporting; Risk and Uncertainty; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Outcome or Result; Growth and Development; Crisis Management; Profit; Financial Strategy; Semiconductor Industry; Manufacturing Industry
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    • Video

    Edwin Land in a new factory space. Produced for Polaroid, Dr. land Stockholders Meeting, 1969-1970

    • April 2002 (Revised July 2002)
    • Case

    Imagicast

    By: John T. Gourville and Alison Berkley Wagonfeld
    Imagicast has brought to market an interactive, multimedia retail kiosk designed to increase product sales. In spite of promising projections by industry analysts and detailed demand forecasts by Imagicast management, the company has yet to sell a single kiosk. Time... View Details
    Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Crisis Management; Product Launch; Demand and Consumers; Sales; Technology; Retail Industry; United States
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    • February 2018 (Revised December 2020)
    • Case

    People Analytics at Teach For America (A)

    By: Jeffrey T. Polzer and Julia Kelley
    As of mid-2016, national nonprofit Teach For America (TFA) had struggled with three consecutive years of declining application totals, and senior management was re-examining the organization's strategy, including recruitment and selection. A few months earlier, former... View Details
    Keywords: Recruitment; Selection and Staffing; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction
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    • 19 Jan 2022
    • Blog Post

    From Retail to HBS: How I’m Building a Career Path at the Intersection of Arts, Culture, and Business

    challenge to predict what would resonate with customers when dealing with such subjective, creative products – but that blend of art and science is also what made it so fun for me. Why did you decide to... View Details
    • Article

    The Best of Both Worlds: Integrating Conscious and Unconscious Thought Best Solves Complex Decisions

    Two studies address the debate over whether conscious or unconscious mental processes best handle complex decisions. According to Unconscious Thought Theory (Dijksterhuis & Nordgren, 2006), both modes of thinking have particular advantages: conscious thought can follow... View Details
    Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Values and Beliefs; Information; Knowledge Management; Management Skills; Management Style; Measurement and Metrics; Success; Research; Cognition and Thinking; Personal Characteristics; Perception
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    • August 2024
    • Case

    The Walt Disney Company: Management Guidance

    By: Joseph Pacelli and James Weber
    In November 2023, financial analyst Aurora Fee was forecasting The Walt Disney Company’s earnings and stock price, with the goal of providing an investment recommendation to her clients. Disney, one of the world’s largest media and entertainment companies, had just... View Details
    Keywords: Valuation; Accounting; Investment; Communication; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Earnings; Growth and Development Strategy; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; United States
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    • July 2001
    • Technical Note

    Technical Note on LBO Valuation (A): LBO Structure and the Target IRR Method of Valuation

    By: Carliss Y. Baldwin
    Explains the equity cash flow method of valuation as it applies to leveraged buyouts. Also explains: 1) earnings and cash flow forecasts, 2) debt structure and the cash sweep, 3) the cashing out horizon and terminal valuation, and 4) the target IRR method of valuation. View Details
    Keywords: Valuation; Leveraged Buyouts; Capital Budgeting; Borrowing and Debt; Cash Flow; Equity; Profit; Price; Forecasting and Prediction
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    • 11 Oct 2024
    • Research & Ideas

    How AI Could Ease the Refugee Crisis and Bring New Talent to Businesses

    The world’s refugee population has exploded over the last decade, straining the resources of international resettlement agencies as staff struggle to keep up with manually matching millions of refugees and asylum seekers to host... View Details
    Keywords: by Ben Rand; Technology; Information Technology
    • 01 Dec 1998
    • News

    Year 2000 Computer Problem and You: Disaster for Some, Lessons for All

    With Y2K predictions running the gamut from glitches with home appliances to worldwide economic collapse, Y2K expert John F. Keane (MBA '54) assesses the situation as it appears with one year to go. John F. Keane is CEO View Details
    • Research Summary

    Voluntary Disclosure

    Professor Kimbrough's early work focused on the determinants and economic consequences of firms’ disclosure practices related to earnings. This included examinations of management forecasts and earnings-related conference calls. View Details
    • 01 Dec 2000
    • News

    Latin America's Decade

    clear that the business models that succeed in the Internet sector and e-commerce in emerging markets such as Latin America will resemble those in the United States," says Kennedy. Despite this lag time, the Net is nonetheless causing... View Details
    Keywords: Garry Emmons and Julia Hanna; Latin America; research; infrastructure; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments