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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(3,288)
- News (516)
- Research (2,499)
- Events (43)
- Multimedia (18)
- Faculty Publications (1,606)
- July – August 2011
- Article
What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?
A firm's competitive environment, its strategic choices, and its internal capabilities are considered important determinants of its future performance. Yet there is little evidence on whether analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors... View Details
Keywords: Competition; Forecasting and Prediction; Industry Growth; Judgments; Performance; Valuation; Price; Quality; Innovation and Invention; Organizational Culture; Competency and Skills; Surveys
Groysberg, Boris, Paul Healy, Nitin Nohria, and George Serafeim. "What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?" Financial Analysts Journal 67, no. 4 (July–August 2011).
- October 2005 (Revised February 2010)
- Background Note
Calculating Free Cash Flows
By: Robin Greenwood and David S. Scharfstein
Outlines the mechanics of calculating free cash flows from historical and proforma financial statements. Focuses on the mechanical process of transforming numbers from financial forecasts into cash flows. View Details
Greenwood, Robin, and David S. Scharfstein. "Calculating Free Cash Flows." Harvard Business School Background Note 206-028, October 2005. (Revised February 2010.)
- 03 Aug 2015
- Research & Ideas
Why Fierce Competitors Apple and Amazon Became ’Frenemies’ Over eReaders
insufficient room to collaborate. Zhu and his collaborators predict that as digitization increasingly de-couples hardware and software in many industries, corporate frenemies... View Details
- March 2015
- Article
Inside the “Black Box” of Sell-Side Financial Analysts
By: Lawrence D. Brown, Andrew C. Call, Michael B. Clement and Nathan Y. Sharp
Our objective is to penetrate the “black box” of sell-side financial analysts by providing new insights into the inputs analysts use and the incentives they face. We survey 365 analysts and conduct 18 follow-up interviews covering a wide range of topics, including the... View Details
Keywords: Knowledge Use and Leverage; Investment; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Services Industry
Brown, Lawrence D., Andrew C. Call, Michael B. Clement, and Nathan Y. Sharp. "Inside the “Black Box” of Sell-Side Financial Analysts." Journal of Accounting Research 53, no. 1 (March 2015): 1–47.
- 24 Jul 2018
- News
How Amy Hood Won Back Wall Street and Helped Reboot Microsoft
Hood needed to correct missteps made on Ballmer’s watch. First up: the $9.5 billion Nokia deal. Less than a year after closing, it was foundering and had missed Hood’s initial forecast for sales View Details
- Web
Building and Sustaining a Successful Enterprise - Course Catalog
HBS Course Catalog Building and Sustaining a Successful Enterprise Course Number 1504 Baker Foundation Professor of Management Practice Willy Shih Senior Lecturer Derek van Bever Fall; Q1Q2; 3.0 credits 28 Sessions Paper Overview: BSSE at... View Details
- 06 Jun 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017
survival of only the most productive domestic firms. We investigate the roles of the two different mechanisms in determining the aggregate productivity gains by exploring their distinct predictions on the distributions of domestic firms:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 16 Oct 2013
- Op-Ed
Response to Readers: Combating Climate Change with Nuclear Power and Fracking
newly approved Gen III+ nuclear reactors (e.g., AP-1000 variants or even the still-to-be-approved, but largely derivative Small Modular Reactors) are not likely to produce power cheaply enough to change the currently forecast build out of... View Details
- 22 Aug 2024
- Research & Ideas
Reading the Financial Crisis Warning Signs: Credit Markets and the 'Red-Zone'
at the same time there's a lot of household credit expansion it's a measure that you're in the Red-zone. We found that that is very predictive of crises. Generally, that and a couple of other papers that Sam... View Details
- May 1993
- Case
Kaufmann Manufacturing Company (A)
By: Julie H. Hertenstein and William J. Bruns Jr.
A management team at Kaufmann is studying the latest year's operations and sales, which seem to have led to very confusing financial results. Sales exceeded forecast and production for the first six months, however Kaufmann reported a loss. Yet, when sales were below... View Details
Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Earnings Management; Cost Accounting; Financial Reporting; Cost vs Benefits; Capital Budgeting; Cost Management; Profit; Outcome or Result
Hertenstein, Julie H., and William J. Bruns Jr. "Kaufmann Manufacturing Company (A)." Harvard Business School Case 193-159, May 1993.
- 04 Sep 2019
- Research & Ideas
'I Know Why You Voted for Trump' and Other Motivation Misperceptions
She hopes the results make business leaders think twice about how they size up their customers and rely on previous purchases to predict the products they want. “For instance, imagine you see a person buy a... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
- 2023
- Working Paper
Do Active Funds Do Better in What They Trade?
By: Marco Sammon and John J. Shim
We develop two new, simple measures to quantify active fund decisions at the individual position level. The intuition is to separate passive rebalancing induced by flows and position changes from active rebalancing decisions. We find that additive active rebalancing --... View Details
Sammon, Marco, and John J. Shim. "Do Active Funds Do Better in What They Trade?" Working Paper, November 2023.
- 15 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Find Your Pragmatic Path through Radical Uncertainty
willing to bear to reopen the economy. No one can predict with any certainty how shopping patterns and consumer tastes will change. No one can be sure when people will feel safe enough to travel so that the... View Details
- July 1987 (Revised October 2009)
- Background Note
A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method"
By: William A. Sahlman and Daniel R Scherlis
Describes a method for valuing high-risk, long-term investments such as those confronting venture capitalists. The method entails forecasting a future value (e.g., five years from the present) and discounting that terminal value back to the present by applying a high... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Investment; Risk Management; Valuation
Sahlman, William A., and Daniel R Scherlis. A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method". Harvard Business School Background Note 288-006, July 1987. (Revised October 2009.)
- 24 Oct 2006
- First Look
First Look: October 24, 2006
Working PapersManaging Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning Authors:Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson Abstract To date, little research... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Jun 2023
- News
Three Alumni Clubs Celebrate Leadership, Community, and History over Dinner
successes and failures, as well as predictions about the future. His recounting of trends among the next generation of leadership, as seen in his Stanford GSB students, was especially interesting," says... View Details
Keywords: Margie Kelley
- 21 Nov 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, November 21, 2017
of the battery-powered quartz watch, mechanical watches and the Swiss watchmakers who built them were predicted to be nearly obsolete (Landes, 1983). Unexpectedly, however, by 2008 the Swiss mechanical... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 30 Sep 2019
- Book
Book Excerpt: Why a Volume on Race, Work, and Leadership
superiority or inferiority of a given race (Gannon, 2016; Goodman, 2003; Kolbert, 2017), the color line persists as an enduring social issue in the United States. Over 150 years post-emancipation, the wealth gap between blacks and... View Details
Keywords: Re: Andi Wang
- 08 Jan 2020
- Research & Ideas
NFL Head Coaches Are Getting Younger. What Can Organizations Learn?
particular traits and skills allowing them to maintain relevance. These include adaptability, a proclivity for collaboration and communication, a willingness to delegate tasks when appropriate, View Details
- June 2016
- Teaching Note
HubSpot: Lower Churn through Greater CHI
By: Jill Avery, Asis Martinez Jerez and Thomas Steenburgh
HubSpot, a web marketing startup selling inbound marketing software to small- and medium-sized businesses, is under pressure from its venture capital partners to rapidly acquire new customers and to maintain a low level of customer churn. The B2B SaaS company is in the... View Details