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  • All HBS Web  (1,625)
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  • March 2009
  • Article

Trading Restrictions and Stock Prices

By: Robin Greenwood
Firms can manipulate their stock price by limiting the ability of their investors to sell. I examine a series of corporate events in Japan in which firms actively reduced their float—the fraction of shares available to trade—for periods of one to three months, locking... View Details
Keywords: Equity; Stock Shares; Investment; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Japan
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Greenwood, Robin. "Trading Restrictions and Stock Prices." Review of Financial Studies 22, no. 3 (March 2009): 509–539.
  • June 1986
  • Article

Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices

By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price
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Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
  • August 1999
  • Article

How Are Stock Prices Affected by the Location of Trade?

By: K. A. Froot and E. Dabora
Keywords: Asset Pricing; Market Segmentation; International Markets; Law Of One Price; Behavioral Finance
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Froot, K. A., and E. Dabora. "How Are Stock Prices Affected by the Location of Trade?" Journal of Financial Economics 53, no. 2 (August 1999): 189–216. (Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003. Also reprinted in Advances in Behavioral Finance, Vol. 2, edited by Richard Thaler. New Jersey: Princeton University Press; New York: Russell Sage Foundation, July 2005, 102-129.)
  • Article

Expected Stock Returns Worldwide: A Log-Linear Present-Value Approach

By: Akash Chattopadhyay, Matthew R. Lyle and Charles C.Y. Wang
This study provides the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are... View Details
Keywords: Expected Returns; Discount Rates; Fundamental Valuation; Implied Cost Of Capital; International Equity Markets; Present Value; Investment Return; Equity; Markets; Global Range
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Chattopadhyay, Akash, Matthew R. Lyle, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Expected Stock Returns Worldwide: A Log-Linear Present-Value Approach." Accounting Review 97, no. 2 (March 2022): 107–133.
  • 05 Jul 2006
  • Working Paper Summaries

Analyst Disagreement, Forecast Bias and Stock Returns

Keywords: by Anna Scherbina; Financial Services
  • November 2002 (Revised April 2003)
  • Case

New York Stock Exchange versus NASDAQ, The

By: Estelle S. Cantillon and Tarun Khanna
Reviews the competition between stock markets, specifically the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ, as it plays out both in the United States and internationally. The competition between the two exchanges is interesting because of technological developments and the... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Globalization; Strategy; Competition; United States
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Cantillon, Estelle S., and Tarun Khanna. "New York Stock Exchange versus NASDAQ, The." Harvard Business School Case 703-439, November 2002. (Revised April 2003.)
  • 2005
  • Working Paper

Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis

By: Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho
Modigliani and Cohn [1979] hypothesize that the stock market suffers from money illusion, discounting real cash flows at nominal discount rates. While previous research has focused on the pricing of the aggregate stock market relative to Treasury bills, the... View Details
Keywords: Stocks; Price; Cash Flow
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Cohen, Randolph B., Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho. "Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11018, January 2005.
  • 1 Mar 2002 - 3 Mar 2004
  • Conference Presentation

Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances

Keywords: Governance; Stocks; Alliances
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Villalonga, Belen, and Anita M. McGahan. "Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances." Paper presented at the Brigham Young University-University of Utah Winter Strategy Conference, March 1, 2002–March 3, 2004. (Also presented at the Strategic Management Society Annual International Conference, Paris, September 2002; MIT Organizational Economics lunch seminar, September 2002; NBER Productivity lunch seminar, Boston, April 2002; Harvard Business School Finance lunch seminar, September 2001; Academy of Management Association Annual Meeting, Washington DC, August 2001; Strategy Research Forum, Northwestern University, May 2001.)
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns

By: Shirley Lu, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu and George Serafeim
Using large language models to measure firms' climate solution products and services, we find that high-climate solution firms exhibit lower stock returns and higher market valuation multiples. Their stock prices respond positively to events signaling increased demand... View Details
Keywords: Technology; Generative Ai; Large Language Models; Climate Finance; Climate Change; Innovation and Invention; Environmental Sustainability; AI and Machine Learning; Investment; Financial Markets
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Lu, Shirley, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu, and George Serafeim. "Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-024, November 2024.
  • 19 May 2008
  • Research & Ideas

Connecting School Ties and Stock Recommendations

Social networks matter for more than just efficient Internet communication. They're also crucial for the strong performance of stock recommendations by analysts, according to researchers at Harvard Business School and the University of... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Financial Services
  • March 2007
  • Article

Gender Effects and Stock Market Reactions to the Announcement of Top Executive Appointments

This study uses Kanter's token status theory to link announcements of top executives to shareholder reactions, highlighting possible gender effects. Using a sample of top executive announcements from 1990 to 2000, our results show that investor reactions to the... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Management Succession; Gender; Management Teams
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Lee, P., and E. H. James. "Gender Effects and Stock Market Reactions to the Announcement of Top Executive Appointments." Strategic Management Journal 28, no. 3 (March 2007): 227–241. (Paper ranked in Social Science Research Network.)
  • May 2011
  • Case

Oriental Fortune Capital: Building a Better Stock Exchange

By: Josh Lerner and Keith Chi-ho Wong
When ChiNext opened in October 2009 as the second tier market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE), it aimed to provide Chinese entrepreneurs with equity capital and to facilitate the exits of venture capital firms and other investors which had previously relied on... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Stocks; Financial Markets; Venture Capital; Private Equity; International Finance; Financial Services Industry; China
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Lerner, Josh, and Keith Chi-ho Wong. "Oriental Fortune Capital: Building a Better Stock Exchange." Harvard Business School Case 811-105, May 2011.
  • 09 Jun 2020
  • Working Paper Summaries

Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns During Pandemics, in Real Time

Keywords: by Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari, Andrew Greenland, and Peter K. Schott
  • 20 Mar 2012
  • Working Paper Summaries

The Stock Selection and Performance of Buy-Side Analysts

Keywords: by Boris Groysberg, Paul Healy, George Serafeim, Devin Shanthikumar & Gui Yang; Financial Services
  • 2021
  • Working Paper

Going by the Book: Valuation Ratios and Stock Returns

By: Ki-Soon Choi, Eric So and Charles C.Y. Wang
We study the use of firms’ book-to-market ratios (B/M) in value investing and its implications for comovements in firms’ stock returns and trading volumes. We show B/M has become increasingly detached from common alternative valuation ratios over time while also... View Details
Keywords: Valuation Ratios; Book-to-market Ratios; Investment Return; Investment; Decision Making
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Choi, Ki-Soon, Eric So, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Going by the Book: Valuation Ratios and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-126, May 2021.
  • February 2018 (Revised October 2019)
  • Case

Steinhoff International and the Stock Exchange

By: Siko Sikochi and Austin Lim
Nicky Newton-King, the Chief Executive Officer of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), was put in a difficult position. A scandal had broken out at Steinhoff, a JSE-listed company, under her watch and there were calls to suspend listing of the company securities from... View Details
Keywords: Accounting; Financial Reporting; Mergers and Acquisitions; Financial Markets; Corporate Governance; Retail Industry; Manufacturing Industry; Distribution Industry; Africa; South Africa
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Sikochi, Siko, and Austin Lim. "Steinhoff International and the Stock Exchange." Harvard Business School Case 118-066, February 2018. (Revised October 2019.)
  • Research Summary

Analyst Disagreement, Forecast Bias and Stock Returns

We present evidence of inefficient information processing in equity markets by documenting that biases in analysts' earnings forecasts are reflected in stock prices. In particular, investors fail to account for analysts' tendency to withhold negative views and to issue... View Details
  • September – October 2007
  • Article

Trading Patterns and Excess Comovement of Stock Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Nathan Sosner
n April 2000, 30 stocks were replaced in the Nikkei 225 Index. The unusually broad index redefinition allowed for a study of the effects of index-linked trading on the excess comovement of stock returns. A large increase occurred in the correlation of trading volume of... View Details
Keywords: Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods
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Greenwood, Robin, and Nathan Sosner. "Trading Patterns and Excess Comovement of Stock Returns." Financial Analysts Journal 63, no. 5 (September–October 2007): 69–81.
  • spring 2008
  • Article

Cost Reductions, Cost Padding and Stock Market Prices: The Chilean Experience with Price Cap Regulation

By: Rafael Di Tella and Alexander Dyck
Keywords: Cost; Price; Stocks; Markets; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Chile
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Alexander Dyck. "Cost Reductions, Cost Padding and Stock Market Prices: The Chilean Experience with Price Cap Regulation." Economía 8, no. 2 (spring 2008).
  • 2003
  • Article

Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns

By: Michael B. Clement, Richard Frankel and Jeffrey Miller
In this study we examine the association among confirming management forecasts, stock prices, and analyst expectations. Confirming management forecasts are voluntary disclosures by management that corroborate existing market expectations about future earnings. This... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Corporate Disclosure; Price; Stocks; Investment Return
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Clement, Michael B., Richard Frankel, and Jeffrey Miller. "Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns." Journal of Accounting Research 41, no. 4 (2003): 653–679.
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