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      • Faculty Publications  (159)

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      • Forthcoming
      • Chapter

      Oil, Macroeconomic Volatility and Crime in the Determination of Beliefs in Venezuela

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Javier Donna and Robert MacCulloch
      Book Abstract: At the beginning of the twentieth century Venezuela had one of the poorest economies in Latin America, but by 1970 it had become the richest country in the region and one of the twenty richest countries in the world, ahead of countries such as Greece,... View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Volatility; Crime and Corruption; Values and Beliefs; Non-Renewable Energy; Energy Industry; Venezuela
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Javier Donna, and Robert MacCulloch. "Oil, Macroeconomic Volatility and Crime in the Determination of Beliefs in Venezuela." Chap. 14 in Venezuela Before Chávez: Anatomy of an Economic Collapse, edited by Ricardo Hausmann and Francisco Rodriguez. Penn State University Press, 2014.
      • May 2013
      • Article

      The Stock Selection and Performance of Buy-Side Analysts

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul Healy, George Serafeim and Devin Shanthikumar
      Prior research on equity analysts focuses almost exclusively on those employed by sell-side investment banks and brokerage houses. Yet investment firms undertake their own buy-side research and their analysts face different stock selection and recommendation incentives... View Details
      Keywords: Buy-side Analysts; Sell-side Analysts; Stock Recommendations; Recommendation Optimism; Recommendation Performance; Investment Recommendations; Conflicts Of Interest; Financial Markets; Financial Institutions; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul Healy, George Serafeim, and Devin Shanthikumar. "The Stock Selection and Performance of Buy-Side Analysts." Management Science 59, no. 5 (May 2013): 1062–1075.
      • January 2013 (Revised April 2017)
      • Supplement

      Maxum Petroleum, Inc.

      By: W. Carl Kester
      Maxum seeks an oil-price hedging strategy that yields substantial cash during oil price spikes, is affordable under ordinary circumstances, and is easily managed. It is striving to avoid a repeat of the challenging situation encountered in 2008 when spiking oil prices... View Details
      Keywords: Hedging; Options; Commodities; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Risk Management; Futures and Commodity Futures; Financial Strategy; Volatility
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      Kester, W. Carl. "Maxum Petroleum, Inc." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 213-714, January 2013. (Revised April 2017.)
      • January 2013
      • Teaching Note

      Domino's Pizza (TN)

      By: David E. Bell and Mary Shelman
      Teaching Note for Domino's Pizza View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Commodity Prices; Price Volatility; Agribusiness; QSR; Franchise; Food; Supply Chain Management; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; United States
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      Bell, David E., and Mary Shelman. "Domino's Pizza (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 513-075, January 2013.
      • December 2012 (Revised August 2013)
      • Case

      Nestlé: Agricultural Material Sourcing Within the Concept of Creating Shared Value (CSV)

      By: Ray A. Goldberg and Lorin A. Fries
      Corporate Head of Agriculture Hans Jöhr's mind raced in anticipation of the executive board meeting that afternoon. Jöhr recognized the meeting as a key opportunity to strategize far into the future, reexamining how his team's efforts in sustainable agricultural... View Details
      Keywords: Agribusiness; Value Creation; Quality; Supply Chain Management; Social Issues; Environmental Sustainability; Problems and Challenges; Growth and Development Strategy; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Health Industry
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      Goldberg, Ray A., and Lorin A. Fries. "Nestlé: Agricultural Material Sourcing Within the Concept of Creating Shared Value (CSV)." Harvard Business School Case 913-406, December 2012. (Revised August 2013.)
      • 2012
      • Book

      Harder Than I Thought: Adventures of a Twenty-First Century Leader

      By: Robert D. Austin, Richard L. Nolan and Shannon O'Donnell
      Being a great leader today is much harder than you think—meet Jim Barton. He's a newly minted CEO, rising leader of a firm in transition, and manager of massive complexity—thanks to our incredibly networked and increasingly unpredictable world of business. What if you... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership; Complexity; Crisis Management; Problems and Challenges; Volatility
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      Austin, Robert D., Richard L. Nolan, and Shannon O'Donnell. Harder Than I Thought: Adventures of a Twenty-First Century Leader. Harvard Business Review Press, 2012.
      • November 2012 (Revised April 2013)
      • Case

      Colbún and the Future of Chile's Power

      By: Forest Reinhardt and Shon R. Hiatt
      This case is about Colbún, Chile's second largest electricity generator, which is facing significant uncertainty regarding the cost and availability of alternative energy sources. Problems with the contracted supply of natural gas and the volatility of oil prices,... View Details
      Keywords: Energy; Chile; Environmental Protection; Energy Generation; Energy Industry; South America; Chile
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      Reinhardt, Forest, and Shon R. Hiatt. "Colbún and the Future of Chile's Power ." Harvard Business School Case 713-047, November 2012. (Revised April 2013.)
      • 2012
      • Working Paper

      Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market

      By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
      Reaching-for-yield—the propensity to buy riskier assets in order to achieve higher yields—is believed to be an important factor contributing to the credit cycle. This paper analyses this phenomenon in the corporate bond market. Specifically, we show evidence for... View Details
      Keywords: Fixed Income; Reaching For Yield; Financial Intermediation; Insurance Companies; Insurance; Bonds; Assets; Risk Management; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Insurance Industry
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      Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Reaching for Yield in the Bond Market." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-103, May 2012. (Revised December 2012. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18909, March 2013)
      • Article

      The Stock Selection and Performance of Buy-Side Analysts

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy, Georgios Serafeim, Devin Shanthikumar and Gui Yang
      We examine the selection and performance of stocks recommended by analysts at a large investment firm relative to those of sell-side analysts during the period mid-1997 and 2004. The buy-side firm's analysts issued less optimistic recommendations for stocks with larger... View Details
      Keywords: Buy-side Analysts; Sell-side Analysts; Stock Recommendations; Recommendation Optimism; Recommendation Performance; Investment Recommendations; Conflicts Of Interest; Financial Markets; Financial Institutions; Stocks; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul M. Healy, Georgios Serafeim, Devin Shanthikumar, and Gui Yang. "The Stock Selection and Performance of Buy-Side Analysts." Harvard Business School Working Knowledge (March 20, 2012).
      • February 2012 (Revised June 2012)
      • Case

      Rospil.info

      By: Paul Healy, Karthik Ramanna and Matthew Shaffer
      What should business leaders do about corruption? In December 2011, four HBS alumni met to debate how to engage the unprecedented protests against Vladimir Putin's corrupt government, which had erupted in Russia in response to alleged fraud in the recent parliamentary... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership; Crime and Corruption; Government and Politics; Social and Collaborative Networks; Blogs; Information Industry; Russia
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      Healy, Paul, Karthik Ramanna, and Matthew Shaffer. "Rospil.info." Harvard Business School Case 112-033, February 2012. (Revised June 2012.)
      • 2012
      • Book

      Uncommon Service: How to Win by Putting Customers at the Core of Your Business

      By: Frances Frei and Anne Morriss
      Most companies treat service as a low-priority business operation, keeping it out of the spotlight until a customer complains. Then service gets to make a brief appearance—for as long as it takes to calm the customer down and fix whatever foul-up jeopardized the... View Details
      Keywords: Customers; Business Ventures
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      Frei, Frances, and Anne Morriss. Uncommon Service: How to Win by Putting Customers at the Core of Your Business. Cambridge: Harvard Business Review Press, 2012.
      • January – March 2012
      • Article

      Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

      By: Luis M. Viceira
      This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
      • December 2011 (Revised September 2017)
      • Case

      Domino's Pizza

      By: David E. Bell, Phillip Andrews and Mary Shelman
      Domino's Pizza is the world's second-largest pizza company with 9,436 stores globally, 95% of which are franchised. Domino's franchisees in the U.S. market were able to purchase fresh dough, cheese, pizza toppings, and other menu ingredients and store supplies directly... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Market Entry and Exit; Supply Chain Management; Global Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Food and Beverage Industry
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      Bell, David E., Phillip Andrews, and Mary Shelman. "Domino's Pizza." Harvard Business School Case 512-004, December 2011. (Revised September 2017.)
      • December 2011
      • Article

      Data Impediments to Empirical Work on Health Insurance Markets

      By: Leemore S. Dafny, David Dranove, Frank Limbrock and Fiona Scott Morton
      We compare four datasets that researchers might use to study competition in the health insurance industry. We show that the two datasets most commonly used to estimate market concentration differ considerably from each other (both in levels and in changes over time),... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Analytics and Data Science; Market Participation; Insurance Industry
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      Dafny, Leemore S., David Dranove, Frank Limbrock, and Fiona Scott Morton. "Data Impediments to Empirical Work on Health Insurance Markets." B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy 11, no. 2 (December 2011).
      • December 2011
      • Article

      Stock Price Fragility

      By: Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar
      We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. We define an asset to be fragile if it is susceptible to non-fundamental trading shocks. An asset can be fragile because of concentrated ownership or because its... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Ownership; Risk and Uncertainty; Assets; System Shocks; Financial Liquidity; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Volatility; Relationships; United States
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      Greenwood, Robin, and David Thesmar. "Stock Price Fragility." Journal of Financial Economics 102, no. 3 (December 2011): 471–490.
      • October 2011 (Revised August 2017)
      • Case

      Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment

      By: Aldo Musacchio and Sophus A. Reinert
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Government and Politics; Business and Government Relations; Syria
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      Musacchio, Aldo, and Sophus A. Reinert. "Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment." Harvard Business School Case 712-009, October 2011. (Revised August 2017.)
      • May 2011
      • Article

      Consequences and Institutional Determinants of Unregulated Corporate Financial Statements: Evidence from Embedded Value Reporting

      By: George Serafeim
      I analyze Embedded Value (EV) reporting by firms with life insurance operations to assess the impact of unregulated financial reporting on transparency and to examine the institutional characteristics that promote unregulated reporting. Under EV accounting the present... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Statements; Mergers and Acquisitions; Financial Reporting; Cash Flow; Contracts; Equity; Profit; Value; Corporate Disclosure; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Business and Shareholder Relations; Business Earnings
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      Serafeim, George. "Consequences and Institutional Determinants of Unregulated Corporate Financial Statements: Evidence from Embedded Value Reporting." Journal of Accounting Research 49, no. 2 (May 2011).
      • February 2011 (Revised May 2011)
      • Case

      Utilis: Designing, Producing, and Selling Rapid Deployment Shelters for a Troubled World

      By: Herman B. Leonard, Daniela Beyersdorfer and Simon Harrow
      How can a company that supplies disaster response and humanitarian agencies best handle the intrinsically unpredictable and highly volatile demand for its products? Utilis is a French supplier of rapid-deploy high-end tent solutions for civilian and military uses (such... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Growth and Development Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Strategic Planning; Natural Disasters; Competitive Strategy; Consumer Products Industry; Industrial Products Industry; France
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      Leonard, Herman B., Daniela Beyersdorfer, and Simon Harrow. "Utilis: Designing, Producing, and Selling Rapid Deployment Shelters for a Troubled World." Harvard Business School Case 311-096, February 2011. (Revised May 2011.)
      • January – February 2011
      • Article

      Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly

      By: Malcolm Baker, Brendan Bradley and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Contrary to basic finance principles, high-beta and high-volatility stocks have long underperformed low-beta and low-volatility stocks. This anomaly may be partly explained by the fact that the typical institutional investor's mandate to beat a fixed benchmark... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Stocks; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management; Performance Expectations
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      Baker, Malcolm, Brendan Bradley, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly." Financial Analysts Journal 67, no. 1 (January–February 2011).
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Ricardo Gimeno
      This article explores the demand for the euro for risk management purposes and the evidence of stock market integration in the euro area. We define a reserve currency as one that investors demand either because it helps them hedge real interest risk and inflation risk,... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Inflation and Deflation; Capital Markets; Currency; Stocks; Financial Markets; Financing and Loans; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Ricardo Gimeno. "The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors." Chap. 4 in Spain and the Euro. The First Ten Years, 149–178. Madrid, Spain: Banco de España, 2010.
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