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  • All HBS Web  (3,158)
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    • News  (697)
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  • 2021
  • Working Paper

Stock Investors' Returns Are Exaggerated

By: Jesse M. Fried, Paul Ma and Charles C.Y. Wang
The stock market generates less wealth than it appears. We show that total shareholder return (TSR), the standard measure of stock investor performance, substantially exaggerates returns earned by these investors in aggregate, and thus by most investors. The main... View Details
Keywords: All-shareholder Returns; Capital Flows; Dividend Reinvestment; Equity Premium; Total Shareholder Returns; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Timing
Citation
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Fried, Jesse M., Paul Ma, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Stock Investors' Returns Are Exaggerated." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-036, November 2021.
  • March 1995
  • Article

Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market

By: C. Engel, J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot and T. Rodrigues
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; CAPM; Capital Asset Pricing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Behavioral Finance; United States
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Engel, C., J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot, and T. Rodrigues. "Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market." Journal of Empirical Finance 2 (March 1995). (Revised from NBER Working Paper Nos. 2890, March 1989 and 4292, March 1993, "Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market," March 1993.)
  • 21 Jun 2013 - 22 Jun 2013
  • Conference Presentation

Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors

By: Frank Nagle
Citation
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Nagle, Frank. "Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors." Paper presented at the 11th ZEW Conference on the Economics of Information and Communication Technologies, Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, Germany, June 21–22, 2013.
  • December 1998 (Revised March 2001)
  • Case

Korea Stock Exchange, 1998

By: Tarun Khanna, Krishna G. Palepu and James Chang
Following a major financial crisis, the South Korean government attempted to revive the Korea Stock Exchange to spur equity investment in Korean companies. This case describes the reforms undertaken so far and the challenges that lay ahead. View Details
Keywords: Equity; Stocks; Restructuring; Emerging Markets; Corporate Governance; Business and Government Relations; Accounting Industry; Financial Services Industry; South Korea
Citation
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Khanna, Tarun, Krishna G. Palepu, and James Chang. "Korea Stock Exchange, 1998." Harvard Business School Case 199-033, December 1998. (Revised March 2001.)
  • 1984
  • Working Paper

Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices

By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
Citation
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Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1559-84, April 1984.
  • 2000
  • Other Unpublished Work

Do Executive Stock Options Encourage Risk-Taking?

By: Randolph B. Cohen, Brian J. Hall and Luis M. Viceira
Executive stock options create incentives for executives to manage firms in ways that maximize firm market value. Since options increase in value with the volatility of the underlying stock, executive stock options provide managers with incentives to take actions that... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Motivation and Incentives; Stock Options; Executive Compensation
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Cohen, Randolph B., Brian J. Hall, and Luis M. Viceira. "Do Executive Stock Options Encourage Risk-Taking?" 2000.
  • January 2002
  • Background Note

The Major Global Stock Exchanges

By: Ashish Nanda, Thomas J. DeLong and Lynn Villadolid Roy
Describes the major global stock exchanges. View Details
Keywords: Globalization; Financial Markets
Citation
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Nanda, Ashish, Thomas J. DeLong, and Lynn Villadolid Roy. "The Major Global Stock Exchanges." Harvard Business School Background Note 902-169, January 2002.
  • July 2001 (Revised March 2002)
  • Case

Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc., The

By: Andre F. Perold and Austin K Scee
NASDAQ's mission "to facilitate capital formation" is threatened by the emergence of Electronic Communication Networks, which are not as heavily regulated by the SEC. This case reviews the development of NASDAQ and its evolution from a loose network of broker-dealers... View Details
Keywords: Capital Markets; Stocks; Financial Markets; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Innovation Strategy; Performance Efficiency; Perspective
Citation
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Perold, Andre F., and Austin K Scee. "Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc., The." Harvard Business School Case 202-008, July 2001. (Revised March 2002.)
  • 20 Mar 2007
  • Research & Ideas

What’s Behind China’s Wild Stock Ride?

Podcast with: Li Jin Interviewer: James Aisner Running Time: 18 min., 55 sec. View Details
Keywords: Financial Services
  • 2005
  • Working Paper

Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns

By: Robin Greenwood
Aggregate investment in cash and liquid assets as a share of total corporate investment is negatively related to subsequent U.S. stock market returns between 1947 and 2003. The share of cash in total investment is a more stable predictor of returns than scaled price... View Details
Keywords: Stocks; Financial Liquidity; Cash; Investment Return; Corporate Finance
Citation
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Greenwood, Robin. "Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-014, April 2005.
  • 15 Aug 2012
  • Working Paper Summaries

Legislating Stock Prices

Keywords: by Lauren Cohen, Karl Diether & Christopher Malloy; Financial Services
  • June 1986
  • Article

Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices

By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price
Citation
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Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
  • Article

Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor

By: Luis M. Viceira, John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes and Pascal J. Maenhout
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Viceira, Luis M., John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes, and Pascal J. Maenhout. "Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor." European Finance Review 5, no. 3 (2001).
  • 29 Apr 2015
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Use Personal Experience to Pick Winning Stocks

Let's face it: in most cases, the stock market knows what it's doing. With millions of people performing their homework and investing money in stocks they hope will pay off,... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 2003
  • Article

Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns

By: Michael B. Clement, Richard Frankel and Jeffrey Miller
In this study we examine the association among confirming management forecasts, stock prices, and analyst expectations. Confirming management forecasts are voluntary disclosures by management that corroborate existing market expectations about future earnings. This... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Corporate Disclosure; Price; Stocks; Investment Return
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Clement, Michael B., Richard Frankel, and Jeffrey Miller. "Confirming Management Earnings Forecasts, Earnings Uncertainty, and Stock Returns." Journal of Accounting Research 41, no. 4 (2003): 653–679.
  • 1 Mar 2002 - 3 Mar 2004
  • Conference Presentation

Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances

Keywords: Governance; Stocks; Alliances
Citation
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Villalonga, Belen, and Anita M. McGahan. "Does governance form matter? Evidence from stock market reactions to acquisitions and alliances." Paper presented at the Brigham Young University-University of Utah Winter Strategy Conference, March 1, 2002–March 3, 2004. (Also presented at the Strategic Management Society Annual International Conference, Paris, September 2002; MIT Organizational Economics lunch seminar, September 2002; NBER Productivity lunch seminar, Boston, April 2002; Harvard Business School Finance lunch seminar, September 2001; Academy of Management Association Annual Meeting, Washington DC, August 2001; Strategy Research Forum, Northwestern University, May 2001.)
  • 1983
  • Working Paper

Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality

By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton
Citation
Related
Marsh, Terry A., and Robert C. Merton. "Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1475-83, September 1983.
  • September 1992
  • Article

Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation

By: Kenneth Froot, David S. Scharfstein and Jeremy Stein
Keywords: Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
Citation
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Froot, Kenneth, David S. Scharfstein, and Jeremy Stein. "Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation." Journal of Finance 47, no. 4 (September 1992): 1461–1484. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 3250, February 1990.)
  • 2005
  • Working Paper

Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis

By: Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho
Modigliani and Cohn [1979] hypothesize that the stock market suffers from money illusion, discounting real cash flows at nominal discount rates. While previous research has focused on the pricing of the aggregate stock market relative to Treasury bills, the... View Details
Keywords: Stocks; Price; Cash Flow
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Cohen, Randolph B., Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho. "Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11018, January 2005.
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns

By: Shirley Lu, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu and George Serafeim
Using large language models to measure firms' climate solution products and services, we find that high-climate solution firms exhibit lower stock returns and higher market valuation multiples. Their stock prices respond positively to events signaling increased demand... View Details
Keywords: Technology; Generative Ai; Large Language Models; Climate Finance; Climate Change; Innovation and Invention; Environmental Sustainability; AI and Machine Learning; Investment; Financial Markets
Citation
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Lu, Shirley, Edward J. Riedl, Simon Xu, and George Serafeim. "Climate Solutions, Transition Risk, and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-024, November 2024.
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